Disclaimer: I'm going to start by saying I'm a Falcons fan.
I totally agree that their record is in part due to a weak schedule. Before the season began, with the team they had assembled, I expected them to get 8-10 and have a shot at a wild card. For them to get 11, and possibly up to 13, is extremely fortunate.
But I also think that part of their record has to do with the fact that they have a healthy Vick, and a pretty solid defense. I don't see them getting 11 wins with Matt Schaub as their QB, or with the same defensive scheme as was used last year.
To me, the Falcons aren't overrated, but just simply decent. Not stellar, but just decent. I can't fault people saying that the Falcons are contenders for the Superbowl, simply because you have to admit they have a pretty good shot. They have a home game in the playoffs, which is a huge advantage, and (assuming both they and Philly win) will face a weakened Eagles team. Certainly Vick and co will have a revenge factor in their minds from their divisional playoff loss from 2 years ago.
Also, I can certainly use the same overrated via strength of schedule argument with the Eagles. But I'm smarter than that because I know that the Eagles have a decent team (but should be interesting to see how they respond to the TO loss).
Whatever happens the rest of the way, the Falcons will need to get some WRs and develop Vick more as a passer. I still hold my breath every time he runs up the field and flails his body after a dive/awkward tackle. But the thought of a Vick who can both pass well and bust out a highlight reel rush every game is better not just for the Falcons but for the NFL in general.
|