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Originally Posted by djtestudo
Notice how similar their career paths are: both had several years of inconsistant potential, a decent year, and a great contract year.
Ponson got $22.5 million last year, and promptly had one of the worst first-halves of a pitcher in the last ten years (though he pitched well later in the season).
Pavano will likely get at least 4 years, $40 million.
Risky pick.
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There is one glaring thing that is left out of your analysis: Ponson weighs 500 lbs. I definitely agree, however, that Sid and Carl have gone down similar career paths. Ponson fluctuating weight has to be a factor when discussing them, though. I think if Pavano is smart and goes to Boston, he could learn quite a bit from Schilling and perhaps continue the upward trend of his career. Of course, Pavano might also benefit from a vet like Mussina, if George breaks the bank.
Pavano will get a minimum of $40M and possibly more if teams get desperate.