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Ukraine is on the "border" between the Western sphere, and the Orthodox Russian sphere. This election is just part of a struggle over that border. In essence, the Ukrainian people are used as pawns in this political and cultural struggle.
Given the relatively good relationship between the EU and Russia, Russia will probably try to keep things peaceful; OTOH, they cannot allow Ukraine moving away from them - that'd mean they'd lose power. A compromise solution can be reached if the pro-western opposition promise they won't get *too* close to the EU.
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