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Originally Posted by Publius
Hmmm well this does seem like a very bold statement then doesn’t it? Well I will be the first to admit that I really don’t know much about the internal politics of Spain prior to the bombing there, but I’m guessing neither do most of the people here either. So that being said let me play devil’s advocate here for just a moment. Could it be that the Spanish people didn’t “capitulate” to terrorist demands as some would have us believe? Seems to me that a lot of the population wasn’t very happy with their political leadership prior to the election anyway. It could just be that the bombing their simply galvanized the population in their resolve to get out the vote on election day to replace their government with one that they believed would more accurately reflect the opinion of their population instead of “capitulating” to the demands of the US. It is important to bare in mind that the war in Iraq is very unpopular globally and has already cost more then a few politicians their jobs.
And here is a question for thought, what would have happened had the US been hit at home with a similar attack just prior to the election? (Course this is all hypothetical at this point, thank God that we weren’t). Would the democrats have been able to get out the vote more or less do you suppose? Would support for an administration claiming to be keeping us safe from attacks (while the other guys wouldn’t be able to ie. Dick Cheney’s remarks) have increased or, more likely, decreased after such an event? Just something to ponder.
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I'm not claiming to know all that much about Spanish politics, I'm just saying no one here seems to be disputing the impact of the terrorist attack preceding the election both in intent by the terrorists and capitulation by the electorate. It is my understanding that the candidate who backed US efforts re: terrorism and Iraq (of course, not completely) was unquestionably ahead in the polls prior to the attack and lost the election because of the attack. If I am wrong, I'm sure there is someone out there who knows more about it than me.
If it is assumed that the terrorists had that type of an impact on a great democracy, I wouldn't call it a success just that there haven't been any attacks in the past few months in Spain. Bullies don't just want your lunch money once.
If it happened here in 04, my guess is that W would have won by a greater margin. The outcome may be different in a different circumstances. I'm sure Dick Cheney would have said whatever he thought would help W get re-elected if an attack happened just like he did when an attack didn't happen.