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Originally Posted by Rodney
We can't, not this year or maybe even this decade. But we can start working toward it by encouraging and subsidizing new energy technologies until economies of scale make their manufacture cheaper. And we can share them with our friends, if they aren't already ahead of us on them. (Northern Europeans, for instance, are huge on wind power, much bigger than us.)
I don't think we can get off oil entirely even in the next 20 years in that time while continuing to work towards an oil-free energy system, we and our friends would have more leverage with the oil producers in the meantime.
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I'll be shocked if there isn't a significant number of countries (60 to 70%) who aren't almost completely dependent on oil in 100 years.
Having a few countries ahead of us is nothing. It will take 50 years before China is substantially developed and it will be dependent on oil at least that long. Add in other developing countries and there's little chance you'll see the kind of progress you are expecting.