The question of a potential draft is a valid question. This is always true during a large-scale war. The answer to the question is ultimately unknowable at this time. We can deduce probabilities based on information such as the number of active troops, the number of reserves, where troops are located, what requirements there are for those locations and the probabilities for escalation in troop levels based on potential circumstances (additional simultaneous wars, escalation in activity of existing conflicts), etc.
I personally have not looked into any of that information as it pertains to a draft because I will not be drafted and whether any of my friends or family are drafted would have had no bearing on my vote.
For many people, those two facts are not applicable and the concern of a draft is real.
But the answer to the question of whether there will be a draft is assuredly not going to be found in any politician claiming that they will not have a draft, nor in the artificial purposes of the Democrats bring draft bills to the House, nor in the artificial purposes of the Republicans bring it to vote in order to vote it down.
A seperate, and valid, question is the one posed by smooth - is the "back door draft" essentially equivalent to a draft that causes concern.
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