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While I don't think succession is a particularly good idea, I think it is silly to assume it would be settled in military terms. Presuming succession were really popular enough in the states in question, a campaign of non-violent resistence would be pretty tough for the remaining states to squelch. All California has to do is refuse to pay tax revenues to have a big effect on the U.S. Any really widespread civil disobediance that was actually supported by the corresponding state governments would be impossible for the U.S. military to control -- we don't have enough troops for that. And killing people for tax evasion isn't going to happen unless the rest of the U.S. has really embraced fascism.
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