View Single Post
Old 10-26-2004, 04:19 AM   #19 (permalink)
smooth
Junkie
 
Location: Right here
Quote:
Originally Posted by redlemon
Booboo - Let's say Candidates A and B are very similar, and C is very different. 60% of the voters like both A and B. 40% like C. In the current system, C could easily win, since A and B could end up with about 30% apiece. Approval voting would put A and B both above C.

As I understand it, candidate C should win in this scenario. If C has 40% and A and/or B only have 30% each, C is more generally like than either A or B. Approval voting would put A and B (each netting just 30%) above C (netting 40%).

I'm still not following the logic you are laying here as to why that would be better than IRV.

This is from the original website:
Quote:
Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) is also known as the "Alternative Vote" and "Preferential Voting." Voters rank the candidates as first, second, third, etc. The tables to the left illustrate the IRV tallying procedure for an example with four candidates (A,B,C,D) and 16 voters. The leftmost table shows the original votes in sorted order (the last choice is not shown).

The first step is to count the first choices. Candidate B got 6 of the 16 first choices, while A got 5, D got 3, and C got 2. If one candidate had received a majority of first choices, that candidate would have won, but nobody did in this case. The counting procedure therefore goes to a second round.

The candidate with the fewest first choices, candidate C, is now eliminated. Each vote for C is transferred to the next candidate. Thus, all C entries are eliminated and the remaining choices are pushed left, if necessary, to fill in the empty cells. The middle table shows the result (the third column is no longer needed).

The top choices are now counted again. Candidate A gained one new top choice (the second from last vote) for a total of 6. Still no candidate has a majority, so the counting procedure goes to a third round. Candidate D now has the fewest top choices and is therefore eliminated. The rightmost table shows the result.

In the final round, the third from last vote has been exhausted, so only 15 active votes remain. Candidate A picked up two votes and now has 8 votes, which is a majority of the remaining votes, so candidate A wins. In this example, candidate A had fewer first choices than candidate B in the first round, but ultimately won the election.
The main contention I have with their conclusion is that they constantly argue against the results based on the initial vote pattern.

In this case, it's more explict than in the original claim. Notice--in the last sentence, the claim is that A won over B even though A had fewer initial votes. Of course, we should back up here and realize that the purpose of IRV is not to guarantee that the person with the most initial votes wins, but htat the person with the most end votes wins. That is, to guarantee that the majority of the population gets a candidate it is willing to accept if the top choice doesn't net a majority of the votes. That is, it's perfectly acceptable and desirable that B not win, because A received a majority of the votes with the final tally--not B.


This is from the top of this thread:
Quote:
Suppose my true preference is for the Libertarian first and the Republican second. Suppose further that the Libertarians are the strongest "minor" party. At some round of the IRV counting process, all the candidates will be eliminated except the Republican, the Democrat, and the Libertarian. If the Libertarian then has the fewest first-choice votes, he or she will be eliminated and my vote will transfer to the Republican, just as I wanted. But what if the Republican is eliminated before the Libertarian? Unless all the Republican votes transfer to the Libertarian, which is extremely unlikely, the Democrat might then beat the Libertarian. If so, I will have helped the Democrat win by not strategically ranking the Republican first. But that's the same situation I'm in now if I vote my true preference for the Libertarian!

What happened in the above example is that IRV essentially ignored one of my key preferences. By voting (Libertarian, Republican, ..., Democrat), I increase the chances that the Republican will be eliminated before the Libertarian. If that then happens, my preference for the Republican over the Democrat is essentially discarded or ignored. This is the fundamental problem with IRV. The only preference that is sure to be counted is my first choice.
Notice that the writer is hinging his argument of a dilemma on the spectre that the only 'sure' preference is one's first choice. Well, we could argue that's all that should be sure, except that secret method responded to me that the idea isn't to 'guarantee' a candidate anyway--so what's the problem here?

The only way a candidate will win is if he or she nets a majority of the votes. I could argue hypothetically, as this article id, that it's unlikely that the republican votes would transfer to the libertarians. But isn't it just as unlikely (or moreso) that they would shift to the democrat?!

In any case, one's preference is not 'ignored.' It simply didn't win out. If that were a valid criticism of voting procedures, roughly half of america is going to feel left out this voting cycle when their top (and only) choice isn't selected. In fact, under no circumstances will every voter get his or her top choice unless we agree to elect all candidates! I find that proposition silly.


The only way a libertarian couldn't get either a libertarian or republican candidate into office is if all libertarian votes or all republican votes still couldn't muster a majority. The only way the democratic candidate would win is if he or she was able to muster a majority of the votes--that's exactly what should happen in my opinion of how the voting system operates best.

If you can't get a majority with all of the votes sliding from one to another, then you don't have the most popular candidate and will just have to suck it up until the next cycle. That's the short and nasty of it unless someone will take the time to explain where my logical errors are occurring.
__________________
"The theory of a free press is that truth will emerge from free discussion, not that it will be presented perfectly and instantly in any one account." -- Walter Lippmann

"You measure democracy by the freedom it gives its dissidents, not the freedom it gives its assimilated conformists." -- Abbie Hoffman

Last edited by smooth; 10-26-2004 at 04:46 AM..
smooth is offline  
 

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360