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My guess: Kerry says a bunch of things that are popular but wrong, while Bush says the same thing as often as possible.
If the questions the candidates get are more off-the-wall, I think Bush has the better chance b/c he doesn't have a soundbite to recite. Think back to the N. Korea portion of the last debate--he had details, and spoke in an educated manner. It makes no sense to me why he didn't do that throughout the debate, especially considering his interview with Bill O'Reilly. There was certainly stump-speech stuff in that interview, but he also offered some new insight about some issues. We'll see how it goes this time.
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