Quote:
|
Originally Posted by bond007
btw: another statistical factor (called the Ballpark Index) that favors Clemens, is that he achieved his success while pitching in a more "hitter-friendly" ballpark.
|
Actually Bank One is slightly more of a hitter's park than Minute Maid. It's really close enough that it can be completely ignored. BOB is actually 2nd in elevation to Coors Field.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/ar...articleid=3289
Regarding the W-L record, Clemens has only 2 more wins. People are focusing on the losses that Johnson has, which IMO, is sort of short-sighted.
Looking at some of the losses Johnson got:
4/6 COL 6.0IP 3R, 3ER
5/7 PHI 6.1IP 2R, 2ER
5/12 NYM 7.0IP, 1R, 1ER
6/29 SD 8.0 3R, 2ER
7/20 SF 7.0 3R, 2ER
8/10 MON 6.0IP, 3R, 3ER
8/20 CIN, 7.2IP 2R, 1ER
8/25 PIT, 8.0IP, 2R, 2ER
9/22 COL, 7.0IP, 3R, 1ER
And ALL of his no-decisions:
4/11 STL 7.0IP, 5R, 5ER
6/23 SD, 7.0IP, 3R, 3ER
7/15 LA, 7IP, 0R
7/25 COL 8.0IP, 0R
8/31 LA 8.0IP, 1R, 1ER
With the exception of the 4/11 game he should have won all all of those. Instead, those are 9 losses and 5 no-decisions due to the AA hitting team and second worst-fielding team that went to the field behind him.
Clemens only had 2 losses when he pitched at least 7 and gave up 3 or less. He also had 5 no decisions where he gave up 4 or more.
I also think you are discounting the differences in ERA, IP, and WHIP. That is almost a half a run/9innings, 31 innings, and a 22% difference in baserunners allowed.
I just don't think that anyone could have been more sucessful in his role this year. If he and Roger had switched places, Clemens would not be 16-14 and RJ would be better than 18-4.