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Useless factoid from my poli. sci. class: You have a greater chance of dying on the way to the polls (car accident, lightning, etc.) than of your vote being the deciding vote in the election.
Nevertheless, you should definitely still vote, for the reasons people have given above. As has been said, your impact on local elections is much greater than on the presidential. It's somewhat ironic that many people only pay attention to the election that they have the smallest chance of affecting.
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