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ARG uber-poll shows presidential dead heat
http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/
Quote:
How close is the race for president?
* George W. Bush is at 47% and John Kerry is at 46% in the weighted national popular vote.
* Bush leads outside the margin of error in 17 states with 133 electoral votes.
* Kerry leads outside the margin of error in 10 states with 132 electoral votes.
* Bush has any lead in 29 states with 253 electoral votes.
* Kerry has any lead in 20 states with 270 electoral votes.
* Bush and Kerry are tied in Wisconsin and West Virginia.
* Bush needs to defend small leads in 5 states - Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Ohio.
* Kerry needs to defend small leads in 5 states - Maine, Florida, Minnesota, Oregon, and Pennsylvania.
* Among men nationwide, 51% say they would vote for Bush and 42% say they would vote for Kerry.
* Among women nationwide, 42% say they would vote for Bush and 50% say they would vote for Kerry.
600 completed telephone interviews among likely voters
in each state and DC on dates in September (Sep).
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If you do the math, that means that over 30,000 people were polled. I submit it without comment.
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