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Originally Posted by Zeld2.0
Oh nos the dread poll!
Whats funny is Time is the only one that even has that big of a difference - all the other polls show them in a statistical tie which is weird.
Anyways this is kind of expected after conventions - the real poll test for both candidates comes November..
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That stat oddity is what I was wondering about. I was always under the impression that the stat margin of error was set in stone by mathmatics, something like this many people questioned so the margin of error must be in this set of values (X%) in relation to the opinion of the entire country, if the group polled was random by poll standards and the question asked was not worded in a way to give a canidate an advantage.
Edit: After reading Wikipedia and google, I learned that the margin of error is correct X percent of the time, usually either 90 or 95. I think this might be a situation where the Time's poll simply fell far outside the expected margin of error range. I believe this is the case because the Zogby and ARG polls did not show anything like an 11 point gap.
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Originally Posted by Norseman on another forum:
"Yeah, the problem with the world is the stupid people are all cocksure of themselves and the intellectuals are full of doubt."
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