Welcome back Ustwo. I too am growing more confident every day that Bush will be re-elected. The Kerry campaign appears to be nearing a meltdown. Calls from the DNC to change campaign tactics (and leaders) are but one indication.
You raise an interesting point about implications after the election. Should Kerry win I suspect things will not be significantly different in the country. Most policies will remain about the same and, unless the Dems also gain a majority in Congress there is very little chance of any significant move toward the left.
Now, should Kerry lose, the DNC will really need to examine their options. The primary for this year showed just how divided the party is. 9 candidates vying for the nomination isn't entirely surprising but the length of time it took to narrow the field seemed considerably longer than any race that I recall in the last 20 years or so. The range of beliefs within those candidates was among the most disparate I think I've ever seen.
The number of Democrats coming out for Bush in this race has also surprised me. If anyone told me 4 years ago that Ron Silver and Ed Koch would be backing a Republican for re-election i'd have thought they had been mixing their pills with a fifth of whiskey.
The Dems still have some more moderate prospects to offer and I don't count them out in the coming elections. Certainly there is no lock on this for Bush but barring some serious skill or luck on the part of the Kerry campaign and/or very bad news about the economy (And for the thousandth time, the economy is nowhere near bad. If you really think it is then you will have a stroke when we see a real economic down turn.), Iraq, or another terrorist attack I suspect we'll be seeing another four years for Bush.
__________________
Strive to be more curious than ignorant.
|