Call me what you will (naive, nuts...) but I don't think that an October surprise of Bin Laden would help Bush more than it would help him. People are expecting it and if it happens too many IMO would believe Bush had rigged the capture and see it as an election ploy, thus creating a backlash and allowing Kerry the win.
I do think 2 things are possible and more realistic.
1) An attack or rise in "Terror Alert" to focus on a martial law and "delay" of the elections. I've said this before and people have jumped on me saying it was unconstitutional and that we'd revolt and yada yada yada. BUT, with the GOP controlling congress it would not be unconstitutional, because the US Constitution does not name a specific date for elections. it just says, that Congress shall appoint a day on which electors shall give their votes (Article 2 Section 1).
2. A country such as Iran or Syria gets involved in Iraq and attacks our military, thus creating a much bigger war and at the time Bush looks to be taking good measures and keeping it under "control using diplomacy", showing he is "a far better wartime and diplomatic man than Kerry".
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I just love people who use the excuse "I use/do this because I LOVE the feeling/joy/happiness it brings me" and expect you to be ok with that as you watch them destroy their life blindly following. My response is, "I like to put forks in an eletrical socket, just LOVE that feeling, can't ever get enough of it, so will you let me put this copper fork in that electric socket?"
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