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I believe no matter what restrictions you place in the name of security someone will put the time and effort into finding a way around that system of restrictions if they really want to. Do I believe there will be an attack before voting. I think it's possible, likely, don't know.
The other problem I see, the more restrictions you place on a people in the name of safety, the more and more people will try to figure out workarounds (be it simply for the sake of saving themselves "time", or for the sake of chaos).
I do think the Bush Administration will play with the Alert system, and "possible terrorist" attacks to benefit their campaign. I'm sure they're pushing with all their resources to capture Bin Ladin, because sadly, that would be something that would easily tilt the election in Bush's favor "Look, I was successful in capturing Bin Ladin, now lets invade Iran!!!"
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