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Sorry analog, I've lived on the southwest coast for 45 years. Been through many, many tropical storms and hurricanes. This is the real thing.
Latest storm tracking predicts landfall somewhere between Sarasota and Cedar Key on Friday late afternoon. The storm staying west of us is almost as bad as a direct hit. The storm surge event will cause massive flooding. The barrier islands will be completely under water.
With the storm track almost matching the coastline it is almost impossible to predict exact landfall. But the NE quadrant of the storm is where the storm surge is so any landfall to the north is not good news for me. My sister lives on Bayshore Blvd. in Tampa. They could get a 6' storm surge very easily. The water is forced up into the bays and creeks making the flooding worse than on the barrier islands.
Wish me luck.
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