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Stompy · 07-28-2004, 07:51 PM

The probability of both happening is 1/32, or 3%. So yes, they will happen equally as often. The result of the fifth spin is 50/50 because it can only be red or black, but as mentioned above, we're calculating probability of a sequential set of results, not the probability of the result of the fifth spin itself.

I'm not saying it's fool proof, because I'll probably run this thing through a billion times and find out that the player ends up with a loss somehow, but I think a lot of people are confusing chance of an individual spin's result with the sequential probability, which is what my lil "plan" was based on.

07-28-2004, 07:51 PM	#31 (permalink)
Stompy Banned from being Banned Location: Donkey	The probability of both happening is 1/32, or 3%. So yes, they will happen equally as often. The result of the fifth spin is 50/50 because it can only be red or black, but as mentioned above, we're calculating probability of a sequential set of results, not the probability of the result of the fifth spin itself. I'm not saying it's fool proof, because I'll probably run this thing through a billion times and find out that the player ends up with a loss somehow, but I think a lot of people are confusing chance of an individual spin's result with the sequential probability, which is what my lil "plan" was based on. __________________ I love lamp. Last edited by Stompy; 07-28-2004 at 07:55 PM..