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Old 07-28-2004, 08:37 AM   #25 (permalink)
hannukah harry
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stompy, here's the flaw in your system as i see it... you and CA are both looking at it from different terms. he's looking at it from turn to turn, and you're looking at it long term.

the thing is is that the past doesn't matter. there may have been six black rolls in a row, the next roll, because it is independent, has a a 50% chance of being black and a 50% chance of being red. there isn't a 99.3% chance of it being red because the previous pattern doesn't matter to the ball and wheel.

hell, you saw 14 black spins in a row at the casino, doesn't that tell you something? you can't make long term bets because even if you look at the statistics of what it the odds are x number of black spins, you're not betting htat far down. only the next one matters, not the previous or future rolls. to think that the roulette wheel works that way you've built your method is a misapplication of statistics. it may work some of the time, but whenever it hits enough in times in a row on one color, it'll bust you.
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