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If I were on the Bush campiagn team, I'd be adveritisng the hell out of Florida and Ohio right now. Come to think of it, I'd be doing the same if I were on the Kerry team..
Looking at the "barely" states, If Bush grabbed Kerry's top "barely" state, Kerry would have to take Bush's top two "barely" states to recoup the loss. If TN swings to Bush (if they voted against the hometown boy last time, I don't see why we shouldn't expect it to happen again,) he only has to worry about Florida (which he has a chance of winning again, going on the assumption that a majority that would vote for his brother as governor would vote for him as president,) and one other of Kerry's "barely" states to win it.
In case the map changes before the election, I'm saving a copy so we can see how it compares to the real thing.
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