Quote:
Originally posted by TheBrit
That is true. However, the chances of rolling a 1 in 6 rolls are higher than rolling a 1 in 1 roll. Therefore the chance of getting pregnant after having sex 200 times is higher than the chance of getting pregnant of having pregnant after 1 time.
You are confusing the likelihood of rolling 1 on a specific roll with rolling a 1 on any roll out of the 6.
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Actually, that's only partly true. It sounds like it should be true, but mathematically it is not. a 1-in-6 chance is a 1-in-6 chance whether you rolls once, six times or fifty times. Besides, as my previous post stated, there are more things than a single, simple chance at work regarding this issue.