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Old 06-30-2004, 04:22 PM   #71 (permalink)
cthulu23
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Quote:
Originally posted by wonderwench
cthulhu,

You are making a mistake in assuming that the population of the levels of income is static. People move up or down the income levels after various stages of their careers.
Sure, social mobility is a reality, but i would posit that most Americans tend to stay in the same income class. I'll see if I can dig up some numbers.

Edit: follow this link for a look at american social mobility (from Google Answers no less...how could they be wrong?)

http://answers.google.com/answers/threadview?id=291907

Of course, there is no easy answer to the question, but this quote says a little:

Quote:
The effects of such a correlation on individual opportunity are
significant. Assuming a normal distribution of long-term income, the
correlation of 0.4 would imply that a son whose father's income was at
the 25th percentile would have a 26 percent chance of being in the
bottom quintile, a 39 percent chance of rising above the median, and a
12 percent chance of moving up to the highest income quintile. A son
whose father's income was at the 95th percentile would have a 5
percent chance of being in the bottom quintile, a 76 percent chance of
being above the median, and a 42 percent chance of being in the top
quintile. Thus, Solon's findings indicate that there remains a
substantial component of income immobility in the United States."
Of course, we can debate the real meaning of these numbers if we want to.


Last edited by cthulu23; 06-30-2004 at 04:34 PM..
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