Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post - Am I the only one tired of hearing about SARs?

Loki · 05-04-2003, 01:36 AM

um, theres also concern that SARS leaves permanent lung damage, and is also capable of staying dormant.

also, its believed that the virus is capable of rapid mutation, making a vaccine very hard to do, and making the potential virulence of the virus very hard to estimate.

for instance in HK the original mortality rate was 2%, but that went up to 5% 2 weeks ago, and now 10% recently. (http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...sars_mutate_dc )

i don't know where you got your statistics from, but according to reuters almost 6000 likely cases have been reported and has caused almost 400 deaths to date, mostly in china and hong kong. that was according to reuters on may 2nd. (http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...nm/who_sars_dc )

If we go a bit more recently... 2 hours ago according to the website, SARS has infiltrated 27 countries with around 6200 infections and 435 deaths, according to the WHO (http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...sars_cases_low)

so yes, i think theres some cause of worry. I do agree wholeheartedly with you that the media exaggerate to all hell, but no, i don't think this is an issue thats been way overrated.

the final thing that i'd like to say is that your statistics are not really an accurate representation of the probabilty of getting SARS. For your stats to work, every person would have to have an equal chance of being infected, which is clearly not the case. (someone in America has a much much lower chance of being infected then someone in HK, for instance.)

05-04-2003, 01:36 AM	#4 (permalink)
Loki Psycho Location: Drifting.	um, theres also concern that SARS leaves permanent lung damage, and is also capable of staying dormant. also, its believed that the virus is capable of rapid mutation, making a vaccine very hard to do, and making the potential virulence of the virus very hard to estimate. for instance in HK the original mortality rate was 2%, but that went up to 5% 2 weeks ago, and now 10% recently. (http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...sars_mutate_dc ) i don't know where you got your statistics from, but according to reuters almost 6000 likely cases have been reported and has caused almost 400 deaths to date, mostly in china and hong kong. that was according to reuters on may 2nd. (http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...nm/who_sars_dc ) If we go a bit more recently... 2 hours ago according to the website, SARS has infiltrated 27 countries with around 6200 infections and 435 deaths, according to the WHO (http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...sars_cases_low) so yes, i think theres some cause of worry. I do agree wholeheartedly with you that the media exaggerate to all hell, but no, i don't think this is an issue thats been way overrated. the final thing that i'd like to say is that your statistics are not really an accurate representation of the probabilty of getting SARS. For your stats to work, every person would have to have an equal chance of being infected, which is clearly not the case. (someone in America has a much much lower chance of being infected then someone in HK, for instance.)