|
No Al Sadr is not a mastermind.
He knows his power lies in the Shi'it majority. He knows this is his one chance to grab hold of power in the new Iraq.
He's gunning for the US to push elections quickly without building checks and balances. He knows Shi'it outnumber the Sunni and Kurdish both, so pure democracy is what a Shi'it cleric wants. Him flexing his muscles would give him popular support after the showdown (if he survives).
Falluja will be captured, he will be imprisoned or killed. Many Iraqis will be pissed, but most will go on living.
How many lives it will cost is anyones guess.
|