Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post - Am I the only one tired of hearing about SARs?

BBtB · 05-03-2003, 09:37 PM

Okay I WANTED to title this thread "I am the only one tired of hearing about the killer bees.... wait not I mean the west nile virus... wait no I mean SARs" but that was to long. Seriously though people. I went to borders today and there were atleast 5 magizines that I saw that had SARs as the cover story. Now I have known all along that this SARs thing is just another one of our fears that is completly unfounded. Now to prove that to myself I decided to do a LITTLE research on SARs. Basically just trying to find some satistics. Much as I expected I found very little real information. But going to several websites I was able to come to a few conclusions. First the whole SARs thing seemed to start near the end of febuary. For arguments sake we will say March 1. And it has killed "over 200 people" again for arguments sake I am going to round that up to an even 250. That is worldwide for 2 months time. So to calculate someones chances of dieing from SARs I decide to do a little deduction. First take the commonly believe world population of 6 billion people. Now there is a very good chance that that number is inflated. But that is an argument for another time. Again, for the sake of argument we are going to round down the world population to 3 billion. So what are your chances of dieing from SARs? Using the numbers I have provided (all of them intentionally made disproportionate in the favor of SARs being a super virus) that makes the chances of you dieing from SARs in any given month (this is also saying that SARs dosn't spread but again from what I have read SARs isn't THAT contagius) as 1 in 24,000,000 OR if you are just concerned about getting it but living with it, The amount of infected people is around 4000. Round that up to 5000 to give err in favor of panic and plug that in and your chances of getting infected are... 1 in 1,200,000 in a given month.

05-03-2003, 09:37 PM	#1 (permalink)
BBtB ClerkMan! Location: Tulsa, Ok.	Am I the only one tired of hearing about SARs? Okay I WANTED to title this thread "I am the only one tired of hearing about the killer bees.... wait not I mean the west nile virus... wait no I mean SARs" but that was to long. Seriously though people. I went to borders today and there were atleast 5 magizines that I saw that had SARs as the cover story. Now I have known all along that this SARs thing is just another one of our fears that is completly unfounded. Now to prove that to myself I decided to do a LITTLE research on SARs. Basically just trying to find some satistics. Much as I expected I found very little real information. But going to several websites I was able to come to a few conclusions. First the whole SARs thing seemed to start near the end of febuary. For arguments sake we will say March 1. And it has killed "over 200 people" again for arguments sake I am going to round that up to an even 250. That is worldwide for 2 months time. So to calculate someones chances of dieing from SARs I decide to do a little deduction. First take the commonly believe world population of 6 billion people. Now there is a very good chance that that number is inflated. But that is an argument for another time. Again, for the sake of argument we are going to round down the world population to 3 billion. So what are your chances of dieing from SARs? Using the numbers I have provided (all of them intentionally made disproportionate in the favor of SARs being a super virus) that makes the chances of you dieing from SARs in any given month (this is also saying that SARs dosn't spread but again from what I have read SARs isn't THAT contagius) as 1 in 24,000,000 OR if you are just concerned about getting it but living with it, The amount of infected people is around 4000. Round that up to 5000 to give err in favor of panic and plug that in and your chances of getting infected are... 1 in 1,200,000 in a given month.