I've got a Rottweiler/hound mix. She's not the brightest dog in the world. Rottys can be unpredictable (as all dogs can but I've heard it quite a bit more about Rottweilers). I have had no bad experiences with mine but ours is exceptionally timid.
We also have a German Shepherd which is the route I would suggest. She is extremely protective, scary looking enough to be a deterrent, is predictable, is extremely intelligent, and is great around children. There are very real reasons why they are used so extensively by police forces and all of the above are examples.
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