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Actually the odds of getting in are 1/27. (400,000 signups. 130,000 disqualified/korean, leaving 270,000 confirmed). These numbers come from GFraizer (Web Specialist at Blizzard), and ARE a "Rough Estimate".
4 stages of beta. First, Second, and Third will each let in 10,000 people. 4th (as you probably know) will be open beta (everyone let in).
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