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To be honest #3 is pretty much for sure the Blue Jays - they have a pretty explosive offense and good pitching (Halladay seemed to destroy other AL East teams alone last year) . Its kinda sad that if the Blue Jays were in any other division except the AL East they would probably be easily a 95+ game and division winner with little problem.
The D-Rays and Orioles are a toss up for 4/5 - on the one hand Orioles got big bats but have very questionable pitching. D-Rays have bad pitching also but have had signs of brilliance last year - and they have added veterans and have probably the top prospects in the game right now.
Actually what's amazing is that the D-Rays played something like 30+ games decided by two runs or less - imagine if they simply had a little bit better pitching or hitting what a difference it could make between losing 95 and 75.
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