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-   -   The money and banking system - what are money ? (https://thetfp.com/tfp/tilted-politics/111961-money-banking-system-what-money.html)

pai mei 12-30-2006 09:14 AM

The money and banking system - what are money ?
 
Hello all. When I was little I always wondered who makes the money, I heard that the state makes them, and because I heard that the state has a debt to pay I said "they are stupid, they can print all the money they want and pay the debt". I did not know much about money back then.
I found this documentary :

http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...686947&q=money
http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...500927&q=money

It has two parts, it is very well made, it explains the origins of money and banking from 2000 years ago until the present day. It is against the World Bank and it's system of loans that takes the money out of developing countries - yes, they have to pay more for the aid then the aid itself
I also found out that the Federal Reserve is a private institution, and that banks can give more money than they have in stock - creating money and inflation, trough the "fractional reserve system", they are the only bussines wich can do that legally.

Here is what Woodrow Wilson said in 1913:

"I am a most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated Governments in the civilized world no longer a Government by free opinion, no longer a Government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a Government by the opinion and duress of a small group of dominant men." -Woodrow Wilson, after signing the Federal Reserve into existence

Willravel 12-30-2006 10:00 AM

Yes, our economy is basd on the *idea* that our money is worth something. Between ignorance and dependance, we really are in a pickle. So long as we continue to print money out of thin air, the dollar will lose value.

I stongly suggest that if you wish to invest, do so in gold or something that will keep it's value. I've recently started buying portions of gold and keeping them in this huge safe that almost killed me when I tried bringing it down the stairs into the basement. I figure if a theif can get it up the stairs, they've earned the gold.

As for fixing the problem, we'd need to balance the budget and get back in the black again, then invest in some sort of system to back the USD. I'm not sure if gold will work becuase there may not be enough gold to back every USD printed.

pan6467 12-30-2006 10:13 AM

Back in the day our money was based on something. $1 meant you owned $1's worth of the gold in your country. (Silver Certificate bills and coins were based in silver).

When Nixon took us of the Gold Standard and money then became just based on trust and nothing solid, we saw the great inflation of the 70's, gold skyrocketed prices for everything went up. But it also allowed government to have massive deficits and not worry about truly paying them back.

pai mei 12-30-2006 10:21 AM

Backing money with gold is not the solution, 2/3 of the world's gold is in the hands of private banks. The value of the gold is kept high by those banks, not by real value - as maufactured goods. The above documentary shows a solutin : no more fractional reserve banking. Money need not be backed by anything , as long as the volume of money is kept under check by the government and the government prints it's own money. Today that is not the case, the Federal Reserve prints as much money as it wants, money backed by nothing - and it is a private bussines

The_Dunedan 12-30-2006 10:21 AM

Nixon took us off Silver, but it was that traitor Rooseveldt who took us off Gold, way back in the 30s. Until the 70s, owning tradeable quantities of Gold was actually illegal in the US.

Jimellow 12-30-2006 11:40 AM

Printed money might be worthless, but on that note, so is gold.

Is it not just a pretty metal?

Willravel 12-30-2006 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimellow
Printed money might be worthless, but on that note, so is gold.

Is it not just a pretty metal?

Gold has been used as currency for a very, very long time because of it's rarity, usefulness (great conductor), and beauty.

pai mei 12-30-2006 05:16 PM

The real problem is "fractional reserve banking". Banks creating money out of nothing. Let's say I am the World Bank, is it fair that I give you 1 million $ - wich I create out of nothing, just a click and you have a credit card with 1 million $, then you have to work - for real to give me back my money + interest ? Also becouse I create money , I create inflation
Governments use tax money to pay the debt, then becouse they run out of money they borrow again, and so on, the bank just gets richer and the debt will never be payed - just what the bank wants : the more time you have the debt, the bigger the interest, and they have nothing to lose - the thin air from which the money appeared in the first place
Banks can do what I said above and they do it all the time ,it is legal.
Watch the documentary from my first post it explains very well how did it come to this, I am not inventing anything

Dragonlich 12-31-2006 02:23 AM

Things are a bit more complex than that, Pai Mei. Banks can "create" money, but they cannot create too much money. Their outstanding loans have to be covered by a certain amount of cash. At least in my country, the national bank dictates the percentage cash vs. loans.

Suppose your world bank creates 1 million dollars for a loan, but the client wants it in cash? Or suppose all the people that put their money in said banks (loaned it to the bank, in fact) want their money back, in cash, because they don't trust them any more? It's happened before, and banks have gone bankrupt because of it. Whole economies have been driven into depression because of it...

Furthermore, inflation (created by a bank's excess money-making) is bad. Not only do the outstanding loans lose their value (compensated by high interest rates), but the actual cash they have to cover those loans also loses it's value. Besides, lots of inflation means people won't be able to repay their debts and/or interest; they need the money to buy food. This leads to lower profit; the profit the bank does make also goes down in value because of the inflation. In the end, high inflation can lead to a lower net income for the bank and it's owners.

As for the idea that governments can simply print money to get rid of their debts: look at Germany after world war one. They had massive debts (compensation for the war). The only way to repay the debts was to print large amounts of extra money (luckily the debts were in German Marks). The debts vanished, but there was massive inflation. This led to an economic nightmare, which in turn led to global recession and depression. Afterwards it also indirectly led to the second world war...

pai mei 12-31-2006 03:51 AM

The Federal Reserve is a private business, I did not say to pay the debts by printing money , I said that is what I knew about money when I was little
Here you will find that president Kennedy issued an executive order against the Federal Reserve Bank, it is still valid but it's being ignored :
http://www.sweetliberty.org/issues/eo/eo2.htm
"A number of "Kennedy bills" were indeed issued - the author has a five dollar bill in his possession with the heading "United States Note" - but were quickly withdrawn after Kennedy's death. According to information from the Library of the Comptroller of the Currency, Executive Order 11,110 remains in effect today, although successive administrations beginning with that of President Lyndon Johnson apparently have simply ignored it and instead returned to the practice of paying interest on Federal Reserve notes. Today we continue to use Federal Reserve Notes, and the deficit is at an all-time high. "

Dragonlich 12-31-2006 08:24 AM

So your problem with the banking system in general is that in the US it's run by the federal reserve, which is not a government entity?

IMO, as long as they do a good job of keeping the money supply in check (and therefore the interest rates and inflation and the economy), I don't see a problem.

Besides, I fail to see what the federal reserve has to do with the US budget deficit. The deficit is caused by the US government spending more money than they have. Disbanding the federal reserve, and printing your own US money isn't going to change that fact.

Hell, we in the Netherlands have a government-run national bank in the netherlands, and we also have a deficit. Of course, most of the monetary policy is dictated by the European central bank, but even when we had our own dutch currency we had deficits. The central bank did (and is still doing) a pretty good job at keeping the money supply stable, resulting in low inflation and low interest rates; that didn't (and doesn't) change a thing for the government budget, though.

pai mei 12-31-2006 08:52 AM

Watch my documentary from the first post and you will see the problem - the money supply of the nation is in the hands of private people - The Federal Reserve is a private corporation, they can influence the economy, even cause a depression. The state borrows money from this corporation and has a debt to pay to it - artificial debt good only to that corporation, the people can have money with no debt - if state prints them, why borrow them ? I repeat the Federal Reserve is a private bank, why borrow from them when the government could print money ? Towards the end of the second part, the author proposes a solution - stop of the fractional reserve banking, and take control of the money printing - government job - today the Federal Reserve prints the money - a private corporation over which nobody has control. They finance both political parties, practicaly they control the economy
Why do the people need to pay debts trough the taxes ? We can have money with no debt linked to them

The_Dunedan 12-31-2006 09:13 AM

The reason that precious-metal standards are a good thing is that both gold and silver, but especially gold, have been extracted and preserved at a rate which has pretty closely matched the growth of the world's population. One good way to visualize this is by looking at a 1-ounce gold coin; a Krugerrand or a Liberty Dollar.

Both are worth somewhere around $500-$600 right now.

In ancient Rome, for example, that ounce of gold would buy you a nice suit of clothes, a toga, and a pair of sandals or shoes. You might have some left over for lunch on the way home. Today, that Krugerrand (once converted to Federal Reserve Dollars, that is) will buy you a pretty nice suit and pair of shoes. The buying power of the gold has, essentially, remained static because the supply of gold somewhat mirrors the world's population.

In an economic sense, this not only means that inflation is almost impossible, but also that fractional-reserve banking simply wouldn't work. If the bank was required to back their transactions with gold, there's no way that the fractional-reserve system could function. The Liberty Dollar folks are a working example of this.

As an aside, I'd rather have private, weight-based currency again, as we did before 1913. The problems start when one bank (or cartel of banks, aka the Federal Reserve) gets the Gov't to grant them a monopoly. At that point, they effectively gain near-total control over a nations economic life, which means they control the nation as well. Since the Gov't granting the monopoly must, of course, use the currency of the monopolist bank, that bank or group of banks can control the Gov't through the power of the purse. In return, they allow the Gov't to spend, spend, and spend some more...they get their pound of flesh in the end, after all.

Dragonlich 12-31-2006 10:55 AM

Pai Mei, you say <I>"The state borrows money from this corporation and has a debt to pay to it - artificial debt good only to that corporation, ..."</I>

I'd say that the money the government borrows is good for the government and for the country; with that money, the government can pay for lots of useful things. I'd prefer a balanced budget, but c'est la vie. :)

Then you say <i>"the people can have money with no debt - if state prints them, why borrow them ?"</I>

The economy doesn't work that way. As I've already said before, if a government could simply print money to cover their deficits, you'd get inflation. If they do not want this, they *have* to loan money from someone, be it from their own citizens or from abroad. By doing this, the total amount of money available doesn't change, hence there won't be inflation.

I expect the US government to have more control over the money supply than you think. I can only assume that, like our government, they have rules concerning the percentage banks (including the federal reserve) can lend compared to their cash. If they do not set those limits, the market will probably set them instead; after all, if a bank has too little cash to cover the loans, it runs risks. Eventually, they wouldn't be able to pay out, and they'd go bankrupt. Given the relatively low inflation and interest rates the US has had in the past, I'd say the federal reserve and banks in general are doing a good job, even if they're private entities.

IMO, there are two issues here:
1) Governments spend more than they get, leading to deficits and debt.
2) private banks can lend more money than they have in cash.

I do not believe that these issues are directly related. The economy is way more complicated than that. Getting rid of "fractional-reserve banking" (as if it's a bad thing) won't magically make debts disappear. And neither will disbanding the federal reserve.

As for the gold/silver standard:

Linking a currency to a finite resource like gold or silver means that the amount of money could never go up. This is a serious problem in today's world, with all the international trade. Given that China gets more money from the US than the US from China, for example, you could simply run out of cash. It's simply not possible these days.

One note: I just watched a bit of that documentary... I'd say it's rather one-sided. I suggest you read some books on macro economics to check the facts.

The_Dunedan 12-31-2006 11:08 AM

Quote:

Linking a currency to a finite resource like gold or silver means that the amount of money could never go up. This is a serious problem in today's world, with all the international trade. Given that China gets more money from the US than the US from China, for example, you could simply run out of cash. It's simply not possible these days.
So, lemme get this straight...you just admitted that a precious-metal standard would prevent the US from entering its' disastrous current situation with China; ie a massive trade deficit. How is this a bad thing?

As for preventing inflation, the US Gov't (through which the banks comprising the Federal Reserve act) is actively inflating the currency in order to have enough money (in raw, dollar-amount terms) to make payments on our National Debt and attempt to pay for, among other things, a welfare state and a hugely expensive military.

Compared to the buying power of $1 in 1906, the Federal Reserve Dollar is worth about six cents.

Dragonlich 12-31-2006 01:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The_Dunedan
So, lemme get this straight...you just admitted that a precious-metal standard would prevent the US from entering its' disastrous current situation with China; ie a massive trade deficit. How is this a bad thing?

No, I just said that if the dollar were linked to a precious metal, you'd be out of cash.

Quote:

Originally Posted by The_Dunedan
As for preventing inflation, the US Gov't (through which the banks comprising the Federal Reserve act) is actively inflating the currency in order to have enough money (in raw, dollar-amount terms) to make payments on our National Debt and attempt to pay for, among other things, a welfare state and a hugely expensive military.

So, now the US government *is* controlling the money supply, instead of the privately-owned federal reserve? ;)

FYI, the "hugely expensive military" takes up some 4% of the US GDP. That's not much higher than European countries, and lower than many other countries. Your welfare state gets pretty little cash, compared to European states. In absolute terms, it's a lot of money, but compared to the size of your economy (and potentially your tax income) the percentages are average, or lower than average.

Besides inflating the currency, another option to pay for things would be to increase taxes, just like they do in other countries. But I doubt anyone would get elected if they had such a message. I can see that there are a lot of problems with the US economy at the moment, but I don't think there's a quick fix.

Quote:

Originally Posted by The_Dunedan
Compared to the buying power of $1 in 1906, the Federal Reserve Dollar is worth about six cents.

And you have way more dollars to spend than you had in 1906. A quick google gave me <a href="http://www.chipublib.org/004chicago/1900/fam.html"> this link</A> showing the average income in 1900. People were earning 600 to 700 dollars a year in Chicago. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_income_in_the_United_States">Wikipedia</a> says that the average (mean) income was over 60000 dollars a year in 2004.

So, your dollar was worth 16 or 17 times more in 1906, while you get almost 100 times as many dollars today. Hardly bad news.

host 12-31-2006 09:43 PM

Dragonlich, I've posted the following to share with you why I believe von Mises statement to be correct, and why I am opposed to the concept of a central bank, like the Federal Reserve:
Quote:

(See article excerpts, below...)

......Mises’s conclusion, then, is that, once there is enough of a
supply of a commodity to be established on the market as money, there is no need
ever to increase the supply of money. This means that any supply of money
whatever is “optimal”; and every change in the supply of money stimulated by
government can only be pernicious.........
I've also included ample evidence from articles, quotes, and testimony of former Fed Chairman, Alan Greenspan, which supports my position. I've included references and text of news articles that make a strong case, IMO for the idea that central banks around the world were engaged, for more than 20 years, at least since 1980 in selling gold from their respective national reserves at far lower prices than can be had in today's market, supplemented by leasing of gold to short sellers at rates commonly of 1% annually, in a co-ordinated effort to instill a public perception that gold was a weaker store of purchasing power, than fiat paper currency. This effort, as von Mises predicted, has failed, and much of the leased gold is reported to be still outstanding....owed by "investors" who leased it from the central banks and unwisely did not cover their short positions as gold more than doubled in price in the last four years.
Quote:

http://www.321gold.com/fed/greenspan/1966.html
(Excerpted from the Last 3 Paragraphs of the Article):

......“The abandonment of the gold standard made it possible for the welfare statists to use

the banking system as a means to an unlimited expansion of credit....... In the absence of the

gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There

is no safe store of value........ Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the 'hidden'

confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a

protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the

statists' antagonism toward the gold standard.".....

<b>Alan Greenspan
[written in 1966]</b>

This article originally appeared in a newsletter called The Objectivist published in 1966 and

was reprinted in Ayn Rand's Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal
Quote:

http://www.usagold.com/gildedopinion...span-gold.html
<b>The Greenspan-Paul Congressional Exchanges
1997-2005
In Hearings before the U.S. House of Representatives' Committee on Financial Services during the Questions & Answers sessions </b>

.........7/22/1998

......Dr. PAUL. A very quick question. You seem to welcome, and you have been quoted as welcoming, a downturn in the economy to compensate for the surge and modest growth in the economy. Is it not true that in a free market, with sound money, you never welcome a downturn in the economy? You never welcome the idea of decreased growth, and you don't concern yourself about this? And yet, here we talk about when is the Fed going to intervene and turn down the economy?

It seems that there is a welcoming effect to the fact that the Southeast Asia has tampered-you know, price pressures. Couldn't we make a case that the free market would operate a lot better than the market we use today?

Mr. GREENSPAN. I think you have to define what you mean by a ''free market.'' If you have a fiat currency, which is what everyone has in the world--

Dr. PAUL. That is not free market.

Mr. GREENSPAN. That is not free market. Central banks, of necessity, determine what the money supply is. If you are on a gold standard or other mechanism in which the central banks do not have discretion, then the system works automatically.

The reason there is very little support for the gold standard is the consequences of those types of market adjustments are not considered to be appropriate in the 20th and 21st century. I am one of the rare people who have still some nostalgic view about the old gold standard, as you know, but I must tell you, I am in a very small minority among my colleagues on that issue........
Quote:

http://commdocs.house.gov/committees...hba65973_0.HTM

(Scroll 65% down the page:)
CONDUCT OF MONETARY POLICY

TUESDAY, JULY 25, 2000
U.S. House of Representatives,
Committee on Banking and Financial Services,
Washington, DC.

.....Dr. PAUL. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Mr. Greenspan, I have a couple of questions today. One is a general question. I want to

get a comment from you dealing with the Austrian free market explanation of the business

cycle. I will lead into that, as well as a question about the productivity statistics that are

being challenged in a few places.

But first off, I would like to lead off with a quote that I think is important that we

should not forget about our past history. ''Every new era in our history''—and we have had

several—''has been based upon the exaggerated enthusiasm and the inflationary forces set in

motion by some single new industry or industrial activity.'' This was written by Businessweek

in 1930, a couple of days after the crash.

Also, I would like to remind my colleagues about surpluses, and I know we look forward to

all the surpluses. First, that portion of the national debt we pay the interest on is still

going up. So there is a question about if we have true surpluses. But even if we did, I would

like to remind my colleagues that we were, as a country and as money managers, reassured in

the 1920's that our surpluses in the 1920's would serve us well, and it did not predict what

was happening in the 1930's.

Basically, the way I understand the Austrian free market explanation of a business cycle is

once we embark on inflation, the creation of new money, we distort interest rates and we cause

people to do dumb things. They overinvest, there is malinvestment, there is overcapacity and

there has to be a correction, and the many good members or well-known members of the Austrian

school, I am sure you are well aware of them, Mises, Hayek and Rothbord, as well as Henry

Hazlitt, have written about this, and really did a pretty good job on predicting. It was the

reason I was attracted to their writing, because certainly, Mises understood clearly that the

Soviet system wouldn't work.

In the 1920's, the Austrian economic policy explained what would probably come in the

1930's. None of the Austrian economists were surprised about the bursting of the bubble in

Japan in 1989, and Japan, by the way, had surpluses. And of course, the best prediction of the

Austrian economists was the breakdown of the Brettan Woods agreement, and that certainly told

us something about what to expect in the 1970's.

But the concerns from that school of thought would be that we still are inflating. Between

1995 and 1999, our M–3 money supply went up 41 percent. It increased during that period of

time twice as fast as the GDP, contributing to this condition that we have. We have had

benefits as a reserve currency of the world, which allows us to perpetuate the bubble, the

financial bubble. Because of our huge current account deficit, we are now borrowing more than

a billion dollars a day to finance, you know, our prosperity, and most economists, whether

they are from the Austrian school or not, would accept the notion that this is unsustainable

and something would have to happen.

Even recently I saw a statistic that showed total bank credit out of the realm of day-to-day

activity in control of the Fed is increasing at the rate of 22 percent. We are now the biggest

debtor in the world. We have $1.5 trillion foreign debt, and that now is 20 percent of the

GDP, and these statistics concern many of the economists as a foreboding of things to come.

And my question dealing with this is, where do the Austrian economists go wrong? And where

do you criticize them and say that we can't accept anything that they say?.....

<b>Mr. GREENSPAN.</b> Well, I will be glad to give you a long academic discussion on the

Austrian school and its implications with respect to modern views of how the economy works

having actually attended a seminar of Ludwig Mises, when he was probably 90, and I was a very

small fraction of that. So I was aware of a great deal of what those teachings were, and a lot

of them still are right. There is no question that they have been absorbed into the general

view of the academic profession in many different ways, and you can see a goodly part of the

teachings of the Austrian school in many of the academic materials that come out in today's

various journals, even though they are rarely, if ever, discussed in those terms.

We have an extraordinary economy with which we have to deal both in the United States and the

rest of the world. What we find over the generations is that the underlying forces which

engender economic change themselves are changing all the time, human nature being the sole

apparent constant throughout the whole process. I think it is safe to say that economists

generally continuously struggle to understand which particular structure is essentially

defining what makes the economy likely to move in one direction or another in the period

immediately ahead, and I will venture to say that that view continuously changes from one

decade to the next. We had views about inflation in the 1960's, and in fact, the desirability

of a little inflation, which we no longer hold any more, at least the vast majority no longer

hold as being desirable.

The general elements which contribute to stability in a market economy change from period

to period as we observe that certain hypotheses about how the system works do not square with

reality. <b>So all I can say is that the long tentacles, you might say, of the Austrian school

have reached far into the future from when most of them practiced and have had a profound and,

in my judgment, probably an irreversible effect on how most mainstream economists think in

this country.</b>

Dr. PAUL. You don't have time to answer the one on productivity, but in some ways, I am

sort of hoping you would say don't worry about these Austrian economists, because if you worry

too much about them, and these predictions they paint in the past came true, in some ways we

should be concerned, and I would like you to reassure me that they are absolutely wrong.

<b>Mr. GREENSPAN.</b> Let me distinguish between analyses of the way economies work and

forecasts people make as a consequence of those analyses. The remarkable thing about the

behavior of economies is they rarely square with forecasts as much as one should hope they

did. I know there is a big dispute on the issue of productivity data. I don't want to get into

that. We would be here for the rest of the month. I think the evidence, in my judgment, is

increasingly persuasive that there has been an indeed underlying structural change in

productivity in this country.
Quote:

http://www.mises.org/rothbard/scholarhero.pdf
Ludwig von Mises:
Scholar, Creator, Hero
by Murray N. Rothbard

(From Page 8):

......Even the best
monetary analysis, as in Ricardo, the Currency School, and Irving Fisher in the
United States, had been developed in terms of “price levels,”“velocities,” and
other aggregates completely ungrounded in any micro analysis of the actions of
individuals.
In particular, the extension of Austrian analysis to money faced a seemingly
insuperable obstacle, the “problem of the Austrian circle.” The problem was this:
for directly consumable goods the utility and therefore the demand for a product
can be arrived at clearly. The consumer sees the product, evaluates it, and ranks it
on his value scale. These utilities to consumers interact to form a market demand.
Market supply is determined by the expected demand, and the two interact to
determine market price. But a particular problem is posed by the utility of, and the
demand for, money. For money is demanded on the market, and held in one’s
cash balance, not for its own sake but solely for present or future purchases of
other goods. The distinctive nature of money is that it is not consumed, but only
used as a medium of exchange to facilitate exchanges on the market. Money,
therefore, is only demanded on the market because it has a pre-existing
purchasing-power, or value or price on the market. For all consumer goods and
services, therefore, value and demand logically precede and determine price. But
the value of money, while determined by demand, also precedes it; in fact, a
demand for money presupposes that money already has a value and price. A
causal explanation of the value of money seems to founder in unavoidable circular
reasoning.

(Continued on page 9):

In 1906, his doctorate out of the way, Mises determined to take up the
Helfferich challenge, apply marginal utility theory to money, and solve the
problem of the Austrian circle. He devoted a great deal of effort to both empirical
and theoretical studies of monetary problems. The first fruits of this study were
three scholarly articles, two in German journals and one in the English Economic
Journal in 1908-09, on foreign exchange controls and the gold standard in
Austria-Hungary. In the course of writing these articles, Mises became convinced
that, contrary to prevailing opinion, monetary inflation was the cause of balance
of payments deficits instead ofthe other way round, and that bank credit should
not be “elastic” to fulfill the alleged needs of trade.
Mises’s article on the gold standard proved highly controversial. He called for
a de jure return in Austria-Hungary to gold redemption as a logical conclusion of
the existing defacto policy of redeemability. In addition to running up against
advocates of inflation, lower interest rates, and lower exchange rates, Mises was
surprised to face ferocious opposition by the central bank, the Austro-Hungarian
Bank. .......

(From Page 10):

...........By basing his analysis on individual action, Mises was able to show the deep
fallacies of the orthodox mechanistic Anglo-American quantity theory and of
Irving Fisher’s “equation of exchange.” An increase in the quantity of money
does not mechanically yield a proportional increase in a non-existent “price
level,” without affecting relative utilities or prices. Instead, an increase lowers the
purchasing power of the money unit, but does so by inevitably changing relative
incomes and prices. Micro and macro are inextricably commingled. Hence, by
focusing on individual action, on choice and demand for money, Mises not only
was able to integrate the theory of money with the Austrian theory of value and
price; he transformed monetary theory from an unrealistic and distorted
concentration on mechanistic relations between aggregates, to one consistent with
the theory of individual choice.
8
(From Page 11):

.........Moreover, Mises revived the critical monetary insight of Ricardo and the
British Currency School of the first half of the nineteenth century: that while
money is a commodity subject to the supply-and-demand determination of value
of any other commodity, it differs in one crucial aspect. Other things being equal,
an increase in the supply of consumer goods confers a social benefit by raising
living standards. But money, in contrast, has only one function: to exchange, now
or at some time in the future, for capital or consumer goods. Money is not eaten or
used as are consumer goods, nor used up in production as are capital goods. An
increase in the quantity of money only serves to dilute the exchange effectiveness
of each franc or dollar; it confers no social benefit whatever. <b>In fact, the reason
why the government and its controlled banking system tend to keep inflating the
money supply, is precisely because the increase is not granted to everyone
equally.</b> Instead, the nodal point of initial increase is the government itself and its
central bank; other early receivers of the new money are favored new borrowers
from the banks, contractors to the government, and government bureaucrats
themselves. These early receivers of the new money, Mises pointed out, benefit at
the expense of those down the line of the chain, or ripple effect, who get the new
money last, or of people on fixed incomes who never receive the new influx of
money. In a profound sense, then, monetary inflation is a hidden form of taxation
or redistribution of wealth, to the government and its favored groups and from the
rest of the population. Mises’s conclusion, then, is that, once there is enough of a
supply of a commodity to be established on the market as money, there is no need
ever to increase the supply of money. This means that any supply of money
whatever is “optimal”; and every change in the supply of money stimulated by
government can only be pernicious.[9]

[9]<i> When gold or some other useful commodity is money, an increase in the stock of gold

does confer a social benefit in its non-monetary uses; for now there is more gold available

for jewelry,for industrial and dental uses, etc. Only in its monetary uses is any supply of

gold optimal. When fiat paper is the monetary standard, in contrast, there are no non-monetary

uses to render palatable an increase in its supply.</i>
Quote:

A Stirring, at Least, in the Long-Suffering Gold Market
Jonathan Fuerbringer. New York Times. New York, N.Y.: Mar 11, 2001. pg. 3.7

New York Times Company Mar 11, 2001

A TREMOR is rumbling through the gold market.

The interest rate for lending gold, which generally hovers around 1 percent, was above 2

percent for 10 trading days and then surged over 6 percent on Friday.

What does this seismic change mean? Is it temporary, like some past spikes? Or will it

persist? If it does, it would mean higher gold prices ahead.

Higher prices are what the gold market needs. With a jump of $5.40 on Friday after the surge

in lease rates, gold for April delivery was at $271.50 an ounce. But gold prices are still

down 0.8 percent for the year and just $17.80 above their 20-year low.

A rally would help gold stocks, which are already among the stock market's best performers

this year. Investors betting on such a rally often buy gold-company stocks instead of the

metal because stocks get a bigger lift when the price of gold rises.

The lease rate is the charge for lending gold to producers, who sell gold to lock in prices

for future production, and to investors, who sell gold to go short, hoping to make a profit if

the price falls. The lease rate is normally very low because the world's central banks have a

lot to lend.

For years, gold producers and short-sellers have taken advantage of low lease rates. And

because the borrowed gold was sold to hedge or to bet against gold, lending added to the

downward pressure on gold prices.

So a high lease rate can shift market dynamics. The higher cost discourages short-sellers from

betting against gold. Many of them, in fact, buy gold to unwind short positions and, in doing

so, push gold prices higher, as happened last week. The higher cost also deters producers from

hedging.

But determining if the jump in lease rates is temporary or permanent is difficult. First, this

surge has no certain explanation. Second, it is hard to judge probable causes in a market so

divided between believers in the ''magical'' qualities of gold and those who dare to treat it

as a mere commodity.

The increase in the lease rate would be clearly significant if it could be traced to a

decision by one or more European central banks to curtail their gold lending. The World Gold

Council, which represents major gold producers, has been lobbying central banks to do just

that.

But while many analysts can say confidently that central banks are unhappy with low leasing

rates, they cannot say that a central bank has changed policy.

One possibility, however, is that the Bank of England has reduced its lending. That might not

be a bad tactic, given that the bank will auction 25 tons of gold on Wednesday as part of its

planned sale of 415 tons over three years. If lease rates hold and the price of gold rises,

the bank could do better than expected a few weeks ago.

It would make sense for central banks to curtail their lending as a way to support the price

of gold, which many of them are selling. The problem is that in recent years, any jump in

lease rates has attracted other lenders into the market, pushing the rates back down. So while

the price of gold has risen with increases in lease rates, it has also fallen quickly as lease

rates declined.

The last big lease-rate surge came in the summer and fall of 1999, after gold hit what was

then 20-year low of $253.70 an ounce.

By September, the one-month lease rate was more than 4 percent at an annual rate. Then, on

Sept. 26, European central banks announced that they would limit their annual gold sales in

the next five years to 400 tons and restrict the amount of gold that they would lend to

then-current levels.

That sent the lease rate to 9.9 percent. From Sept. 20 to Oct. 6, the gold price jumped almost

30 percent, to $326 an ounce. But by November, the lease rate was back below 1 percent and the

price was less than $300.

Even if the current lease-rate jump does not last, it should produce a nice pop in gold. And

though it may be brief, that is about as good as it gets in the gold market today.
Quote:

http://www.findarticles.com/p/articl...08/ai_64998196

Uruguay gold sale stirs market
American Metal Market, August 25, 2000 by Alexander Corey

NEW YORK -- News that Uruguay had sold 750,000 ounces of its gold reserves sent jitters

through trading circles Wednesday, pushing down prices about $1 an ounce in a psychological

reaction to the sale.

Hint of the central bank sale came last week, when the Latin American country sent its entire

1.8-million-ounce gold stock to London for assessment before selling nearly 42 percent of its

reserves.

Traders were not reacting to hints; however. "As central banks keep selling, it doesn't do any

good for gold's image as an investment vehicle," a trader told Reuters.

The sale is expected to put downward pressure on gold prices at a time when the precious metal

continues to languish despite a-robust economy and a strong U.S. dollar. "There will be a

small decline, which is odd because news (of the sale) was out for a few days," said George

Milling Stanley, gold market analyst for the World Gold Council.

The trader told Reuters Wednesday that the sale could cause gold to slip. "Gold ... is now

sitting uncomfortably around the $272 level, and looks in serious danger of testing $270 and

possibly lower."

Despite the pessimism, Uruguay's sale is not expected to have a significant impact on the

market. "Actually, it's not a large amount of bullion," said Refco Inc. metals analyst James

Steel. "It's about 24 tons. The fact that it was publicized means -(the sale) already

occurred. Any sentiment is anecdotal now. The physical has already adjusted to the gold."

The liquidation of national gold reserves, a trend in the early 1990s, has abated in recent

years, partly because of the Washington Accord, a pact signed by 15 of the world's largest

gold holders who agreed not to sell more than 400 tonnes per year. Uruguay was not part of the

agreement.

Analysts speculated that Uruguay sold a sizeable portion of its gold reserves to either raise

U.S. dollars or to balance the country's portfolio.


Quote:

When Central Banks Put Their Gold into Play
Glynn, Lenny. Global Finance. New York: Sep 1991.Vol.5, Iss. 9; pg. 50, 2 pgs

Abstract (Document Summary)

An intriguing effect of last year's collapse of Drexel Burnham Lambert was to uncover the

fast-growing but little known practice of gold lending and trading by central banks. It seems

that the firm's New Jersey-based trading arm, DBL Trading, had managed to borrow nearly $650

million worth of bullion from half a dozen central banks in the months before Drexel's fall.

Portugal's central bank emerged as the most visible loser, having lent DBL Trading 9 tons of

bullion worth more than $100 million. Exactly how much gold central banks routinely put into

play in the market is unknown. Sitting on more then 35,000 tons, central banks own well over

1/3 of all the gold mined since King Solomon's days, more than 15 times the amount that comes

to market annually from all the mines in the world. That enormous overhang and the risk that

central banks will lend, write call options on, or sell their gold combine to depress or cap

gold's price.
Quote:

http://www.federalreserve.gov/boardd...8/19980724.htm
<b>Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan</b>
The regulation of OTC derivatives
Before the Committee on Banking and Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives
July 24, 1998

...<b>Potential Application of the CEA to OTC Derivatives</b>
The vast majority of privately negotiated OTC contracts are settled in cash rather than

through delivery. Cash settlement typically is based on a rate or price in a highly liquid

market with a very large or virtually unlimited deliverable supply, for example, LIBOR or the

spot dollar-yen exchange rate. To be sure, there are a limited number of OTC derivative

contracts that apply to nonfinancial underlying assets. There is a significant business in

oil-based derivatives, for example. But unlike farm crops, especially near the end of a crop

season, private counterparties in oil contracts have virtually no ability to restrict the

worldwide supply of this commodity. (Even OPEC has been less than successful over the years.)

<h3>Nor can private counterparties restrict supplies of gold, another commodity whose

derivatives are often traded over-the-counter, where central banks stand ready to lease gold

in increasing quantities should the price rise</h3>......
Quote:

http://www.house.gov/paul/congrec/co...2/cr071702.htm

7/17/2002

The gentleman from Texas, Dr. Paul.

Dr. PAUL. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Welcome, Chairman Greenspan. I have listened carefully to

your testimony, but I get the sense I may be listening to the chairman of the board of Central

Economic Planning rather than the Chairman of a Board that has been entrusted with protecting

the value of the dollar.

I have, for quite a few years now, expressed concern about the value of the dollar, which I

think we neglect here in the Congress, here in the committee, and I do not think that the

Federal Reserve has done a good job in protecting the value of the dollar. It seems that maybe

others are coming around to this viewpoint, because I see that the head of the IMF Mr.

Koehler, has expressed a concern and made a suggestion that all the central bankers of the

world need to lay plans for the near future to possibly prop up the dollar. So others have

this same concern.

You have in your testimony expressed concern about the greed factor on Wall Street, which

obviously is there, and you implied that this has come out from the excessive capitalization,

excessive valuations, which may be true. But I think where you have come up short is in

failing to explain why we have financial bubbles. I think if you have fiat money and excessive

credit, you create financial bubbles, and you also undermine the value of the dollar, and now

we are facing that consequence.

We see the disintegration of some of these markets. At the same time, we have potential real

depreciation of the value of our dollar. We have pursued rampant inflation of the money supply

since you have been chairman of the Federal Reserve. We have literally created $4.7 trillion

worth of new money in M-3. Even in this last year with this tremendous burst of inflation of

the money supply, it has gone up, since last January, over $1 trillion. You can't have

anything but lower value of that unit of account if you keep printing and creating new money.

Now, I would like to bring us back to sound money, and I would want to quote an eminent

economist by the name of Alan Greenspan who gives me some credibility on what I am interested

in. A time ago you said, ''in the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect

savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value without gold.

This is the shabby secret of the welfare state that tirades against gold. Deficit spending is

simply a scheme for the hidden confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this

insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights.''

But gold always has always had to be undermined if fiat money is to work, and there has to be

an illusion of trust for paper money to work. I think this has been happening for thousands of

years. At one time the kings clipped coins, then they debased the metals, then we learned how

to print money. Even as recently as the 1960s, for us to perpetuate a myth about our monetary

system, we dumped two-thirds of our gold, 500 million ounces of gold, on to the market at $35

an ounce, in order to try to convince people to trust the money.

Even today, there is a fair amount of trading by central banks in gold, the dumping of

hundreds of tons of gold, loaning of gold, for the sole purpose of making sure this indicator

of gold does not discredit the paper money, and I think there is a definite concerted effort

to do that.

My questions are twofold relating to gold. One, I have been trying desperately to find out the

total amount of gold either dumped and sold on the markets by all the central banks of the

world, or loaned by the central banks of the world. This is in hundreds and hundreds of tons.

But those figures are not available to me. Maybe you can help me find this.

I think it would be important to know since all central banks still deal with and hold gold,

whether they are dumping or loaning or buying, for that matter. But along this line, I have a

bill that would say that our government, our Treasury, could not deal in gold and could not be

involved in the gold market, unless the Congress knows about it.

That, to me, seems like such a reasonable approach and a reasonable request, but they say they

don't use it, so therefore, we don't need the bill. If they are not trading in gold, what

would be the harm in the Congress knowing about handling and dealing with this asset, gold?

<b>Mr. GREENSPAN.</b> Well, first of all, neither we nor the Treasury trades gold. My

impression is that were we to do so, we would announce it. It is certainly the case that

others do. There are data published monthly or quarterly which show the reported gold holdings

in central banks throughout the world, so you do know who holds what.....
<b>Additional Reading:</b>
Quote:

http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/ed...2005/1130.html
THE GREENSPAN WARNINGS
by Nick Barisheff
Bullion Management Services, Inc.
November 30, 2005.....
RE: Your comments on US military spending vs. GDP.
As recently as the fiscal year ending 9/30/2001, combined annual spending on security and intelligence was less than $350 billion. Total federal treasury debt was $5.7 trillion, and the annual deficit at the end of that fiscal year was $32 billion, only because of the newly innaugurated Bush admin. tax rebate check mailing.

Contrast that description with current treasury debt of <a href="http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdpdodt.htm">$8.6 trillion</a>, an increase of $570 billion in just the last 12 months, $700 billion in annual spending for security and intelligence, factoring in supplemental war appropriations, debt service interest costs have risen from $359 billion in FY 2001, to <a href="http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdint.htm">$405 billion in FY 2006</a>, and will certainly rise if the dollar continues to diminish in value.
US 2001 GDP was $10,128 billion and in <a href="http://64.233.161.104/search?q=cache:KTiGa9z90XIJ:bea.gov/bea/dn/gdplev.xls+bea+us+gdp+2001&hl=en&gl=us&ct=clnk&cd=1">2005, was $12,455</a> The 5 year GDP increase is 22.9%.... $2,327 billion, while the increase in security/intelligence spending is 100% and the annual accumulation of new treasury debt is up from $32 billion annually, to $570 billion, or more than 17 times the 2001 level. Five years ago, $260 bought an ounce of gold or $312 Euros. Today, $260 buys .42 of an ounce of gold, or 198.4 Euros.

These trends and comparisons do not concern you, yet? When do you predict that they will?

pai mei 01-01-2007 01:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dragonlich
Pai Mei, you say <I>"The state borrows money from this corporation and has a debt to pay to it - artificial debt good only to that corporation, ..."</I>

I'd say that the money the government borrows is good for the government and for the country; with that money, the government can pay for lots of useful things. I'd prefer a balanced budget, but c'est la vie. :)

Then you say <i>"the people can have money with no debt - if state prints them, why borrow them ?"</I>

The economy doesn't work that way. As I've already said before, if a government could simply print money to cover their deficits, you'd get inflation. If they do not want this, they *have* to loan money from someone, be it from their own citizens or from abroad. By doing this, the total amount of money available doesn't change, hence there won't be inflation.

I expect the US government to have more control over the money supply than you think. I can only assume that, like our government, they have rules concerning the percentage banks (including the federal reserve) can lend compared to their cash. If they do not set those limits, the market will probably set them instead; after all, if a bank has too little cash to cover the loans, it runs risks. Eventually, they wouldn't be able to pay out, and they'd go bankrupt. Given the relatively low inflation and interest rates the US has had in the past, I'd say the federal reserve and banks in general are doing a good job, even if they're private entities.

IMO, there are two issues here:
1) Governments spend more than they get, leading to deficits and debt.
2) private banks can lend more money than they have in cash.

I do not believe that these issues are directly related. The economy is way more complicated than that. Getting rid of "fractional-reserve banking" (as if it's a bad thing) won't magically make debts disappear. And neither will disbanding the federal reserve.

As for the gold/silver standard:

Linking a currency to a finite resource like gold or silver means that the amount of money could never go up. This is a serious problem in today's world, with all the international trade. Given that China gets more money from the US than the US from China, for example, you could simply run out of cash. It's simply not possible these days.

One note: I just watched a bit of that documentary... I'd say it's rather one-sided. I suggest you read some books on macro economics to check the facts.

Watch more, after 20 minutes it begins with the entire history of money and banking, from the Roman empire until today. It explains everything very well, fractional reserve banking is not good, it creates inflation and it's just wrong that I have to work for real to repay money created from nothing - to some private people - it should be illegal.
Money need not be backed by anything as long as banks do not create them out of nothing and the government prints them and is the only one in control over the money volume. Does the economy need more ? they print more, need less - then take some away. It's as simple as that , no need for gold standard, the government must do it's job and control the money volume, also the government must be the only one that creates money - printed and electronic, and no private banks that make money from nothing , they just lend what they have in reserves. That means real control over inflation

It is not natural for the economy to have ups and downs, that is only because "fractional reserve banking" - inflation, recession, economic growth - more borrow - more money from nothing, again inflation ,recession and so on

Dragonlich 01-01-2007 03:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pai mei
Watch more, after 20 minutes it begins with the entire history of money and banking, from the Roman empire until today. It explains everything very well, fractional reserve banking is not good, it creates inflation and it's just wrong that I have to work for real to repay money created from nothing - to some private people - it should be illegal.

Fractional reserve banking IS good. It allows banks to make some profit, allows the economy to grow (more), and does not automatically lead to inflation.

Inflation is caused by many different variables, often interconnected. In the context of this discussion, inflation occurs when there's more money than the economy needs. Creating too much money with "fractional reserve banking" is bad (inflation), creating too little is bad too (slows down the economy), creating enough is good. And enough is not necessarily the amount dictated by a government's stack of gold/silver.

Quote:

Originally Posted by pai mei
Money need not be backed by anything as long as banks do not create them out of nothing and the government prints them and is the only one in control over the money volume. Does the economy need more ? they print more, need less - then take some away. It's as simple as that , no need for gold standard, the government must do it's job and control the money volume, also the government must be the only one that creates money - printed and electronic, and no private banks that make money from nothing , they just lend what they have in reserves. That means real control over inflation

Total government control over the printing of money is simply not needed. You can control inflation by setting the total amount of money. One way to control "fractional reserve banking" is to set the percentage cash vs. loans, as I've explained. If a government or central bank dictates that banks can only loan, say, 10 times their amount of cash (= savings), you have effective control of the amount of money. I suggest you read some books about Keynesian economics, which should explain the principle.

Quote:

Originally Posted by pai mei
It is not natural for the economy to have ups and downs, that is only because "fractional reserve banking" - inflation, recession, economic growth - more borrow - more money from nothing, again inflation ,recession and so on

Yes it is natural, and it's not only because of evil banks. Just look at the oil crisis of the 70's, which was caused by an essential commodity (oil) getting more expensive. It had NOTHING to do with "fractional reserve banking".

Or look at the hyper-inflation and depression in Germany in the 30's, which was caused by a government printing excess money to pay *external* debts. The cause there wasn't fractional banking, it was the external debt. It was either printing more money, or defaulting on the debt; that had led to France's occupation of German industrial areas in previous years, so was not an option.

Total government control of the money supply is not a solution to the US' economic problems. A sound fiscal policy and overall economic policy is.

(I have to admit I didn't have the time to read your quotes, nor watch the documentary. I'll see if I can do that today. But I doubt that would change much about my statements here. I do know what I'm talking about.)

The_Dunedan 01-01-2007 10:41 AM

Quote:

Or look at the hyper-inflation and depression in Germany in the 30's, which was caused by a government printing excess money to pay *external* debts.
You mean like the U.S. Gov't is doing right now, attempting to pay off our astronomical debts to the Chinese and various Euro-American banking and industrial combines?


This was a situation which would never have occurred if fractional-reserve banking hadn't permitted the drastic overprinting of the Mark. If the Mark had been held to a standard, it could not have been inflated by overprinting. That's the whole point behind actually backing your money with something finite, like precious metals: if the money is required to actually be redeemable in something, it cannot exceed the supply of that "something" and inflation is prevented or at very least radically slowed.

Fiat currencies, and the inflation they always bring, have been responsible for the downfall of more than one great ruler or empire. The Mongol rulers of China eventually went broke after they imposed the use of unbacked paper money, and the infamous Assignats which immidiately preceeded the French Revolution are thought by many to have been the final nail in the Bourbon coffin. Everything which came after was just sparks to the fuse; the Assignats became worthless after only a few years at best (weeks in some places) because they were hugely overprinted in an effort to raise money and pay down the debts France had incurred in wars abroad and splendour at home.

host 01-01-2007 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dragonlich
Fractional reserve banking IS good. It allows banks to make some profit, allows the economy to grow (more), and does not automatically lead to inflation.

Inflation is caused by many different variables, often interconnected. In the context of this discussion, inflation occurs when there's more money than the economy needs. Creating too much money with "fractional reserve banking" is bad (inflation), creating too little is bad too (slows down the economy), creating enough is good. And enough is not necessarily the amount dictated by a government's stack of gold/silver.



Total government control over the printing of money is simply not needed. You can control inflation by setting the total amount of money. One way to control "fractional reserve banking" is to set the percentage cash vs. loans, as I've explained. If a government or central bank dictates that banks can only loan, say, 10 times their amount of cash (= savings), you have effective control of the amount of money. I suggest you read some books about Keynesian economics, which should explain the principle.



Yes it is natural, and it's not only because of evil banks. Just look at the oil crisis of the 70's, which was caused by an essential commodity (oil) getting more expensive. It had NOTHING to do with "fractional reserve banking".

Or look at the hyper-inflation and depression in Germany in the 30's, which was caused by a government printing excess money to pay *external* debts. The cause there wasn't fractional banking, it was the external debt. It was either printing more money, or defaulting on the debt; that had led to France's occupation of German industrial areas in previous years, so was not an option.

Total government control of the money supply is not a solution to the US' economic problems. A sound fiscal policy and overall economic policy is.

(I have to admit I didn't have the time to read your quotes, nor watch the documentary. I'll see if I can do that today. But I doubt that would change much about my statements here. I do know what I'm talking about.)

I'll attempt to explain von Mises theory briefly and simply. It boils down to the effect of expectations (psychology)....expectations which are distorted by the influences of credit availability that are a consequence of fractional reserve banking and fiat currency.....currency that is imposed by "fiat", i.e., government decree, rather than by the preference that a free market (the paychology of the free market) always chooses....gold and silver...

Quote:

http://www.mises.org/story/1333
The Origin of Money and its Value
By Robert Murphy
Posted on 9/29/2003

....Moreover, it is simply not the case that the owner of a telescope is in the same position as the owner of 1,000 units of wheat when each enters the market. Because the telescope is much less saleable, its owner will be at a disadvantage when trying to acquire his desired goods from other sellers.

Because of this, owners of relatively less saleable goods will exchange their products not only for those goods that they directly wish to consume, but also for goods that they do not directly value, so long as the goods received are more saleable than the goods given up. <b>In short, astute traders will begin to engage in indirect exchange. For example, the owner of a telescope who desires fish does not need to wait until he finds a fisherman who wants to look at the stars. Instead, the owner of the telescope can sell it to any person who wants to stargaze, so long as the goods offered for it would be more likely to tempt fishermen than the telescope.</b>

Over time, Menger argued, the most saleable goods were desired by more and more traders because of this advantage. But as more people accepted these goods in exchange, the more saleable they became. Eventually, certain goods outstripped all others in this respect, and became universally accepted in exchange by the sellers of all other goods. At this point, money had emerged on the market.....

<b>The Contribution of Mises</b>

Even though Menger had provided a satisfactory account for the origin of money, this process explanation alone was not a true economic theory of money. (After all, to explain the exchange value of cows, economists don't provide a story of the origin of cows.) It took Ludwig von Mises, in his 1912 The Theory of Money and Credit, to provide a coherent explanation of the pricing of money units in terms of standard subjectivist value theory....

......Mises eluded this apparent circularity by his regression theorem. In the first place, yes, people trade away real goods for units of money, because they have a higher marginal utility for the money units than for the other commodities given away. It's also true that the economist cannot stop there; he must explain why people have a marginal utility for money. (This is not the case for other goods. The economist explains the exchange value for a Picasso by saying that the buyer derives utility from the painting, and at that point the explanation stops.)

People value units of money because of their expected purchasing power; money will allow people to receive real goods and services in the future, and hence people are willing to give up real goods and services now in order to attain cash balances. Thus the expected future purchasing power of money explains its current purchasing power.

But haven't we just run into the same problem of an alleged circularity? Aren't we merely explaining the purchasing power of money by reference to the purchasing power of money?

No, Mises pointed out, because of the time element. People today expect money to have a certain purchasing power tomorrow, because of their memory of its purchasing power yesterday. We then push the problem back one step. People yesterday anticipated today's purchasing power, because they remembered that money could be exchanged for other goods and services two days ago. And so on.

So far, Mises's explanation still seems dubious; it appears to involve an infinite regress. But this is not the case, because of Menger's explanation of the origin of money. We can trace the purchasing power of money back through time, until we reach the point at which people first emerged from a state of barter. And at that point, the purchasing power of the money commodity can be explained in just the same way that the exchange value of any commodity is explained. People valued gold for its own sake before it became a money, and thus a satisfactory theory of the current market value of gold must trace back its development until the point when gold was not a medium of exchange. *
Quote:

http://www.mises.org/story/1298
The Anatomy of Deflation
By George Reisman
Posted on 8/18/2003

....Indeed, what creates the need for a sudden, substantial increase in the demand for money for holding is the preceding artificial decrease in the demand for money for holding brought about by credit expansion. <b>Credit expansion leads businessmen to believe that they can substitute for the holding of actual cash the prospect of easily and profitably borrowing the funds they might require.</b> It also encourages a reduction in the demand for money for holding by means of the seeming ease with which inventories can be profitably sold in the face of the rising sales revenues it fuels, which makes it appear better to hold more inventory and less cash. The rise in interest rates that credit expansion serves to bring about in the course of its further progress, as rising sales revenues raise nominal profits and thus the demand for loanable funds, also serves to reduce the demand for money for holding. <b>This is because the higher interest rates serve to make it worthwhile to lend out sums available for short periods of time that it would not have been worthwhile to lend out at lower interest rates. To these factors must be added the influence of any prospect of rising prices that credit expansion may create.</b> And finally, the loss of capital that credit expansion engenders, as the result of the extensive malinvestment that it causes, serves to make credit less available and thus to create a still further demand for money for holding.[5]

Avoid inflation and credit expansion, let the demand for money for holding be high, let prices and wages be adjusted to that fact, and the economic system will be secure from sudden increases in the demand for money for holding thereafter.
Quote:

http://blog.mises.org/archives/001558.asp
Posted by: Walt Byars at February 15, 2004 6:09 PM

DSpears,

As long as the currency is in the control of The State -- that is, as long as The State has a monopoly on issuing currency -- there will be problems. When we had a "real" gold standard, problems occured because The State debased the gold coins. See What Has Government Done to Our Money? at http://www.mises.org/money.asp and Taking Money Back at http://www.mises.org/rothbard/moneyback.asp. Alternatively, problems could occur because The State simply confiscated all of the money.

Your assertion that "all money is fiat currency", that is hogwash. <b>Gold (and silver) are the monetary standards that the free market has chosen, when given the opportunity. Hence, as it is the money that the free market chooses, it is not fiat.</b> Why you seem to think the standards chosen by the free market are "fiat" is incomprehensible to me, unless, of course, you think people had no good reason for choosing Gold and Silver as the monetary unit. Yet, there are many good reasons. For starters, you can't print out gold or silver, they have to be discovered, which takes work. Thus, they are relatively buffered against inflation. Other qualities include maleability and divisibility, as well as a high value per unit weight.....
<b>Conclusion:</b> A free market evolves, by the collective experiences of all participants, to a point where the most easily exchanged items, easy to divide, to personally carry in your pocket, difficult to produce, or to duplicate, become the most LIQUID.

Wheat is more easily exchanged than a telescope, but gold and silver are much easier to exchange in quantities small enough to be carried, than wheat is, and are rare enough to command the exchange of a multitude of items.

In 1980, there was a week when an ounce of gold, at $800 was sufficient exchange value for purchase of one share of each of the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA). Since that time, central banks have attempted to flood the market with gold, or short selling of gold, to create a psychology that values the DJIA at $12,500 and gold at $610.

This manipulated psychology has recently influenced a perception that an asset with high carrying, tax, and maintenance costs, and traditionally poor liquidity....real estate, is more liquid, more likely to appreciate in value, a sound investment at any price....until it isn't, and then the psychology will change. The change of psychology will result in the malinvestment, the waste evident in the resources that are expended in building an excess of real estate units temporarily demanded from the interest generated by the availability of credit produced by fractional reserve banking....and they are still at it:
Quote:

Fannie Mae Expnads Interest Only Loan Options
Expansion of Interest-Only Mortgage Loans Eligible for Delivery to Fannie Mae, and Elimination of the InterestFirst™ Product Name. In 2001, Fannie Mae ...
http://www.mortgagebankers.org/Newsa...News/47124.htm - 27k - Cached - Similar pages

2006 Lender Announcements and Letters
06-26, 12/20/06, Expansion of Interest-Only Mortgage Loans Eligible for Delivery to Fannie Mae, and Elimination of the InterestFirst™ Product Name ...
http://www.efanniemae.com/sf/guides/...6annlenltr.jsp - 25k - Cached - Similar pages
If psychology of the expectations as to the value of the future purchasing power of the most liquid mediums of exchange, i.e., "money" are not influenced by central bank schemes like selling and leasing their gold stores, raising and lowering interest rates, or by issuance and printing in excess, fiat paper currency, sentiment would be much more constant, and malinvestment would have little incentive to occur.

pai mei 01-01-2007 03:51 PM

Fractional reserve is bad , banks can make profits just from the interests
I did not say that a fixed volume of money is good, I said that volume needs to be controlled by the government
Fiat money are just as good as money backed by gold if their volume is controlled as I said above

"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation then by deflation, the banks and the corporations will grow up around them, will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs."
Thomas Jefferson

Dragonlich 01-02-2007 03:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The_Dunedan
You mean like the U.S. Gov't is doing right now, attempting to pay off our astronomical debts to the Chinese and various Euro-American banking and industrial combines?

Could you provide some information regarding this claim? I've looked at the historical US inflation levels, but don't see a large increase in the past years. If the US gov't is "printing money" to pay off those debts, I'd expect an increase in inflation (more money). I'd also expect an increase in interest rates on those loans (to compensate for potential inflation). Although the US interest rates have gone up over the past years (now some 4.5%), IMO the levels are not enough to compensate for a large amount of excess money printing.

Thus, even if the claim is correct, it doesn't appear to be working very well. Printing money to get rid of loans is only going to work if inflation levels are higher than the interest levels on those loans. Otherwise your extra money is only paying for a part of the interest rates, and not for the loans themselves.

Quote:

Originally Posted by The_Dunedan
This was a situation which would never have occurred if fractional-reserve banking hadn't permitted the drastic overprinting of the Mark. If the Mark had been held to a standard, it could not have been inflated by overprinting. That's the whole point behind actually backing your money with something finite, like precious metals: if the money is required to actually be redeemable in something, it cannot exceed the supply of that "something" and inflation is prevented or at very least radically slowed.

True, the hyper-inflation would never have occured if the Mark had been held to a finite standard. However, given the political and military reality of the time, *not* printing money was simply not an option. Hence my claim that the cause of the recession wasn't the printing of money, but ultimately the external debt.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Host
...
If psychology of the expectations as to the value of the future purchasing power of the most liquid mediums of exchange, i.e., "money" are not influenced by central bank schemes like selling and leasing their gold stores, raising and lowering interest rates, or by issuance and printing in excess, fiat paper currency, sentiment would be much more constant, and malinvestment would have little incentive to occur.

Please correct my if I'm wrong: you're basically saying that people started using money because (amongst other benefits) it's easier to use than other trade goods. Then you say (in the quote) that if the money supply is properly managed, there wouldn't be a lot of inflation.

If that is indeed what you're saying, I don't see what we're arguing about. I've already explained how a central bank (private or government controlled) can control the money supply, even if private banks give out more money than they have. The problem isn't fractional reserve banking, it's some schemes of a (private) central bank that cause inflation. To counter that, you could make it a not-for-profit organisation, like we have in Europe.

Quote:

Originally Posted by pai mei
Fractional reserve is bad , banks can make profits just from the interests

Yes, banks can make profits just from interests. They also run risks, and have large expenses. And they can make *more* money by giving out more loans, especially if only a fraction of the savings they have is ever going to be taken out in cash. Why waste the remainder when it's not necessary to do so?

Suppose for a moment that we make fractional reserve banking illegal. IMO, that would send the US economy into a massive depression. I think you'd see the following results:
- It'd be bloody hard getting a loan, given the current levels of loans vs. cash in the banks. From, say, a 10:1 ratio it needs to go down to 1:1.
- Because of this, interest rates would skyrocket.
- Capital investment (with US loans) would pretty much stop.
- House prices would plummet, because nobody can pay for them anymore.
- Banks would have waaaay less income, which will result in at least some going bankrupt.
- Lots of people would lose their life savings.
- Many people would lose their job and property.
- Savings would go down (to pay for those people's food), so the banks would be able to have even less outstanding loans.
...
-And to top it all off, tax income would go down, welfare spending would go up. The US government would need to borrow *more* money than ever before. And with no other options, foreign loans would be the only way to move forward. Hence, the US would have even more foreign debt.

In short, it's not going to happen, because it's NOT good for the economy.

Quote:

Originally Posted by pai mei
I did not say that a fixed volume of money is good, I said that volume needs to be controlled by the government
Fiat money are just as good as money backed by gold if their volume is controlled as I said above

IMO, governments directly controlling the money supply is a bad thing. Experience has shown that governments are notoriously bad at keeping the economy working, and are very good at using the money supply to compensate for their lack of knowledge. I'd rather have a central bank control the money supply, because they at least are impartial. As for the Federal reserve, if you don't trust a private bank, that's fine. Turn it into a proper not-for-profit and *independent* government agency, but please don't let the government control it directly!

And as shown before, a central bank, federal reserve or government *can* control the money volume, even with fractional reserve banking.

host 01-02-2007 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dragonlich
....Please correct my if I'm wrong: you're basically saying that people started using money because (amongst other benefits) it's easier to use than other trade goods. Then you say (in the quote) that if the money supply is properly managed, there wouldn't be a lot of inflation.

If that is indeed what you're saying, I don't see what we're arguing about. I've already explained how a central bank (private or government controlled) can control the money supply, even if private banks give out more money than they have. The problem isn't fractional reserve banking, it's some schemes of a (private) central bank that cause inflation. To counter that, you could make it a not-for-profit organisation, like we have in Europe.....

Dragonlich, what I am saying is that no fiat currency has ever existed that has not dramatically devalued. The only "free" market is one where the particiapnts determine what to use for money, and that is based on the experience of exchange.....gold and silver became popular because they won out in popularity in a competition among all other contenders. Wheat was too bulky to carry, telescopes were not in high enough demand to be very liquid, etc......

You make the same argument Greenspan attempted to make....and there is no history of that concept working to result in anything but devaluation of the medium of exchange, and surges and pullbacks in liquidity, i.e., credit availability, with all of the behavior that accompanies the waves of euphoria and despair of the surges. The euphoric times of easy credit always end with malinvestment....the false demand of house and condo "flippers" in the US for the past five years will result in an inventory excess that will take ten years to sell into actual demand....people needing a residence, as opposed to flippers who create demand that prompts the construction of unneeded housing units....

This speculation was initiated as the US central bank attempted to cushion the impact of the last bubble that it created with interest rate reductions, the stock market bubble. The reduction of the discount rate to one percent was in reality, a flood of liquidity, soaked up by speculators in a real estate market that had too little inventory to meet a sudden surge in artificial, liquidity induced demand. To keep it going, GSEs...Government sponered enterprises, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac introduced even easier, lower interest terms for mortgages....low doc, no doc, (you didn't have to provide evidence of how much money you made, or of your existing debts and assets to qualify for a mortgage), they agreed to buy mortgages written under those new guidelines, as well as interest only mortgages, and "no down payment" mortgages that actually lent 103 percent of the appraised property value, to cover closing costs of penniless homebuyers.

In a market where the only borrowing would come from holders of gold or silver who would have to be paid a high enough interest rate to persuade them to risk lending their "money" to a prospective homebuyer, would any of the above ridiculously lax criteria be tolerated? The Fed and the GSEs worked together to eliminate any competition for borrowers to obtain funds. Everyone was instantly qualified to borrow, and the demand drove prices of the underlying assets....real estate parcels, to the stratosphere.

Now we sit back and watch the mess unwind.....

If only those with assets did the lending, there would be no periods of easy or hard to come by credit.....there would be near constant interest rates and no spikes and troughs in demand.

There isn't much inflation because central banks around the world trade the US currency that comes into their countries' exporters, for paper currency that they print up out of thin air. Toyota for example, has little use for the hundreds of millions of US dollars that arrive in it's accounts in Japan each year. The Japanese central bank obligingly prints yen up, trades them for Toyota's dollars, and buys US treasuries with the dollars. Japan attempts to create an inflation psychology among it's domestic consumer base with the constant flood of yen, and it keeps the yen low enough to make Japanese exports competitive. The Japanese are satisfied to buy US central bank paper at 4-1/2 percent, with US dollars that they obtained in trade for yen that they printed up out of thin air.

This is the "system" that you are supporting....it will work until it doesn't. Gold and petroleum will relentlessly creap up in price, if I am correct, and the dollar will eventually collapse. The Japanese and Chinese see a greater reward than a risk...even it the US defaults on it's outstanding treasury obligations, they are only "out" the yen and the yuan that they printed up out of thin air to acquire the dollars. The US treasury bonds that they owned were simply an entry on a balance sheet.....

Dragonlich 01-03-2007 08:53 AM

Host, a system of fractional reserve, controlled by an impartial central bank does work. The economy will always naturally go up and down, but you can control it. Banning fractional reserve banking will NOT make things better, it will make things worse. Generally, going from one extreme to another isn't likely to help very much.

If you disagree, please feel free to disprove the "nightmare scenario" in my previous post. Do tell me what you think will happen.

By the way, I found an interesting article in the <a href="http://www.britannica.com/eb/article-234444/Great-Depression">Encyclopædia Britannica</a>, which suggests that the gold standard was to blame for America's depression being spread world-wide. It also suggests that (return to) the gold standard has led to large economic problems in other countries. I'd say it's not as great as some people here seem to think. :)

And another link (perhaps less reputable) about <a href="http://www.amatecon.com/gd/gdcandc.html">the great depression</a> has this to say about your "malinvestment":

Quote:

Malinvestment

"Malinvestment" is a term coined by the Austrian school of economics to sum up their explanation of the causes of business cycles. According to this theory, all business cycles are caused by government intervention in the market. Specifically, the central bank (the Fed in the case of the U.S.) artificially lowers the interest rate, flooding the economy with money. This money is then invested in capital goods that would not be justified at a market level of interest rates. The low interest rate cannot be sustained forever without an increase in inflation, so the Fed inevitably has to raise interest rates. When this happens, the investments that were "justified" under a lower interest rate must be liquidated. Any prevention of this liquidation by further government intervention will simply prolong the re-adjustment and thus exacerbate the recovery. <b>This view is held by very few economists.</b>
I happen to be one of the economists that disagree. ;)

aceventura3 01-04-2007 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pai mei
Hello all. When I was little I always wondered who makes the money, I heard that the state makes them, and because I heard that the state has a debt to pay I said "they are stupid, they can print all the money they want and pay the debt". I did not know much about money back then.
I found this documentary :

http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...686947&q=money
http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...500927&q=money

It has two parts, it is very well made, it explains the origins of money and banking from 2000 years ago until the present day. It is against the World Bank and it's system of loans that takes the money out of developing countries - yes, they have to pay more for the aid then the aid itself
I also found out that the Federal Reserve is a private institution, and that banks can give more money than they have in stock - creating money and inflation, trough the "fractional reserve system", they are the only bussines wich can do that legally.

Here is what Woodrow Wilson said in 1913:

"I am a most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated Governments in the civilized world no longer a Government by free opinion, no longer a Government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a Government by the opinion and duress of a small group of dominant men." -Woodrow Wilson, after signing the Federal Reserve into existence

In the first minute of the first video the documentry creates several false premises upon which they argue that the banking system controls our economy.

For example - "goverment tells us inflation is low while the buying power of our pay checks is declining at an alarming rate". The buying power of American consumers is at the highest point in history. We purchase and consume more goods and services than at any point in history. Americans have more leisure time than ever, better medical than ever, better food than ever, better leisure activity choices than ever, better access to education than ever, safer products than ever, etc, etc, etc. It is not all financed with debt. In fact if you measure our national net worth (Assets - debt = networth) it is higher than ever. More people are retired than ever. People start working careers later than ever. Our standard of living is the envy of the world, and better than ever.

I will listen to the next minute of the video tomorrow.

host 01-04-2007 08:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aceventura3
In the first minute of the first video the documentry creates several false premises upon which they argue that the banking system controls our economy.

For example - "goverment tells us inflation is low while the buying power of our pay checks is declining at an alarming rate". The buying power of American consumers is at the highest point in history. We purchase and consume more goods and services than at any point in history. Americans have more leisure time than ever, better medical than ever, better food than ever, better leisure activity choices than ever, better access to education than ever, safer products than ever, etc, etc, etc. It is not all financed with debt. In fact if you measure our national net worth (Assets - debt = networth) it is higher than ever. More people are retired than ever. People start working careers later than ever. Our standard of living is the envy of the world, and better than ever.

I will listen to the next minute of the video tomorrow.

aceventura3, do you live in the same country that I live in?

Three basic criteria.....affordable housing, the number of residents living below the poverty line, and the trend, and the numbers and percentage of people covered by private health insurance, and the trend:

In early 2003, qualifying income to purchase average priced house in the US was $40,320, and average income was $52,500 annually.

Less than 4 years later, in 2006, qualifying income to purchase average priced house was $52,512, an increase of 30.4 percent.

Annual income rose in the same period from $52,500 to $56,784, an increase of 8.16 percent.....the percentage increase of income that was required to purchase the average priced house increased nearly 4 times the amount that salary increased, in less than 4 years.

If you are a non-hispanic white American, your poverty rate as a percentage of your total number is declining. there are however, 37 million Americans living in poverty, including nearly 25 percent of blacks and 17.6 percent of all challenge. The total poverty percentage is up more than ten percent in just 5 years, from a low of 11.3 percent in 2000, to 12.6 percent in 2005.

In the area of private healthcare coverage, there are statistics that show a total of 8.3 percent of Americans not covered by an insurance plan for the entire 1997 year, By 2003, that number nearly doubled, to 15.6 percent were without health insurance for the entire year.

Your description of the economic condition of Americans seems inaccurate to the point of disconnection, in view of the numbers that I've presented, ace...
Quote:

http://www.realtor.org/Research.nsf/files/REL0611A.pdf/$FILE/REL0611A.pdf
Median Priced Monthly Payment Median Affordability Indexes
Existing Single- Mortgage P & I as a % Family Qualifying
Year Family Home Rate* Payment of Income

2003 180,200 5.74 840 19.1 52,680 40,320

2004 195,200 5.73 909 20.2 54,061 43,632

2005 219,000 5.91 1,040 22.4 55,823 49,920

2006 219,700 6.35 1,094 23.1 56,784 52,512
Quote:

http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/pover...5/pov05hi.html
HIGHLIGHTS

* The official poverty rate in 2005 was 12.6 percent, not statistically different from 2004.

* In 2005, 37.0 million people were in poverty, not statistically different from 2004.

* Poverty rates remained statistically unchanged for Blacks (24.9 percent) and Hispanics (21.8 percent) between 2004 and 2005. The poverty rate decreased for non-Hispanic Whites (8.3 percent in 2005, down from 8.7 percent in 2004).

* After 4 years of consecutive increases, the poverty rate stabilized at 12.6 percent in 2005—higher than the most recent low of 11.3 percent in 2000 and lower than the rate in 1959 (22.4 percent), the first year for which poverty estimates are available.

* The poverty rate in 2005 for children under 18 (17.6 percent) remained higher than that of 18-to-64-year-olds (11.1 percent) and that of people 65 and older (10.1 percent)—all were not statistically different from 2004.

* In 2005, the number in poverty remained statistically unchanged from 2004 for people under 18 and people 18 to 64 years old (12.9 million and 20.5 million, respectively). The number in poverty increased for seniors 65 and older—3.6 million in 2005, up from 3.5 million in 2004.
Quote:

http://www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p70-106.pdf

.....While a majority of people have private
health insurance, employment-based or
self-purchased, and others have
government-provided free health insurance,
some remain without health insurance.
2 According to the Annual Social and
Economic Supplement (ASEC) to the
Current Population Survey (CPS), 60.4 percent
of people in 2003 had employmentbased
health insurance, 26.6 percent had
government health insurance, and
15.6 percent were without health insurance
for the entire year.3
According to the Survey of Income and
Program Participation’s (SIPP) 1996 panel,
8.3 percent of people were without health
insurance coverage for the entire 1997
calendar year.4

aceventura3 01-05-2007 08:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by host
aceventura3, do you live in the same country that I live in?

Three basic criteria.....affordable housing, the number of residents living below the poverty line, and the trend, and the numbers and percentage of people covered by private health insurance, and the trend:

In early 2003, qualifying income to purchase average priced house in the US was $40,320, and average income was $52,500 annually.

Less than 4 years later, in 2006, qualifying income to purchase average priced house was $52,512, an increase of 30.4 percent.

Annual income rose in the same period from $52,500 to $56,784, an increase of 8.16 percent.....the percentage increase of income that was required to purchase the average priced house increased nearly 4 times the amount that salary increased, in less than 4 years.

Good point. Here is a better one.

Quote:

There was a slight decline in homeownership rate in 2005 from the recent high recorded in 2004, according to the Housing Vacancy Survey, conducted by the US Census Bureau in conjunction with the Current Population Survey.

The home ownership rate for 2005 was 68.9%, down slightly from the recent high of 69.0% recorded in 2004. The 2004 rate was the highest rate since the Census Bureau began reporting these statistics in 1965.

By region, home ownership in 2005 was highest in the Midwest at 73.1%, followed by the South (70.8%), the Northeast (65.2%) and the West (64.4%).
http://www.danter.com/STATISTICS/homeown.htm

Remember many factors other than income go into the home affordability issue. 25 years ago mortgage rates were about 15%, today they are about 6%.

Quote:

If you are a non-hispanic white American, your poverty rate as a percentage of your total number is declining. there are however, 37 million Americans living in poverty, including nearly 25 percent of blacks and 17.6 percent of all challenge. The total poverty percentage is up more than ten percent in just 5 years, from a low of 11.3 percent in 2000, to 12.6 percent in 2005.
That also is a good point. I can not reconcile those statistic with reality. I can say that there were four periods in my life when I was officially in poverty. As a child after my parents divorced, while in college, after getting laid-off once, and my first year of owning my own business. I always had food, shelter, and other basic necesities. I think there is a difference between real poverty and the government's definition. I was never in what I would consider real poverty.

Quote:

In the area of private healthcare coverage, there are statistics that show a total of 8.3 percent of Americans not covered by an insurance plan for the entire 1997 year, By 2003, that number nearly doubled, to 15.6 percent were without health insurance for the entire year.
First ther is a difference between being able to get healthcare and having healthcare insurance.

Most people without healthcare insurance choose not to purchase healthcare insurance. The coverage is available, and if more healthy people purchased coverage rates would go down. Many who choose not to purchase the coverage are taking a calculated risk.

Quote:

Your description of the economic condition of Americans seems inaccurate to the point of disconnection, in view of the numbers that I've presented, ace...
I disagree. I think there is a disconnect between the way people actually live and their perception of the way others live.

Compare your lifestyle to that of your parents, grandparents. Do you live better or worse? In my case, I did not grow up in a "leave it to Beaver" world. My dad worked two jobs, minimum 60 hours per week in a factory and he would work overtime at his primary job at every opportunity my mother worked too. I have never worked as hard as my parents and I would bet that is true of most Americans when compared to their parents. Yet, I have more material things than they ever dreamed of having.

pai mei 01-27-2007 09:02 AM

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/mai...8/cneuro18.xml
What do you have to say about this ? As you can see money are just a tool and that is what they should remain.

aceventura3 01-27-2007 09:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pai mei
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/mai...8/cneuro18.xml
What do you have to say about this ? As you can see money are just a tool and that is what they should remain.

I think it means that underlying goods and services determine value not the medium of exchange. The medium of exchange can be dollars, Euros, Chiemgauers, PayPal credits, or whatever, as long as there is an orderly maket.

pan6467 01-27-2007 10:15 AM

The difference is Ace, people live on far far more credit than your parents did.

There is something wrong in this country and with the system when you can pay the top 1% millions upon millions and the poor SOB that works hard for 40 hours a week can barely pay his bills, can't afford a new car, and if he has kids......

I work I guess in "public service" people I work with have Master's, doctorates, nursing degrees, initials at the back end of their name.

None of the people I work with on a daily basis makes more than $15/hour. That's $600 a week. The average person I work with makes $11.50 an hour. Roughly $450/week. And in this area that is a good wage.

So how do you expect someone to raise a family, buy durable goods like a house or car, save for emergencies, pay bills, feed money into the machine by spending "discretionary funds", basically live? And this area is one of the cheapest areas to live in.

You can't, even 1 person can barely do that, I know, I've been there.

Now the CEO of this "non profit" company and the directors each make over $400,000/year, not to mention bonuses and options.

It's not just our company, it is the vast majority of companies.... actually we're lucky, our CEO only makes 10 times what his average worker does. Most companies the CEO and top level people make 100+ times their average employee.

When the difference is that great there are serious problems in the system.

True capitalism is not feed the people at the top the most and let the crumbs trickle off the table for the rest.... that's Reaganomics.

True capitalism is to put enough money into the workers hands so that they can afford to buy houses, cars, pay bills, and have the necessary discretionary funds to buy goods that keep workers working.

Right now we are on a sinking ship and there is no land in swimming distance. Instead of working to save the ship the rich are swarming the life boats.

Here's how we are doing it: we ship jobs out for lower wages and taxes so that people can afford to buy product to keep the economy afloat.... however, we lay people off because they make too much and they can only find jobs with lower wages.... so they have less to spend.... so we need to ship more jobs out for lower wages so that those people can still buy things.... but we cut more jobs and those people make less..... so we give credit out..... but foreclosures, repos and bankruptcies skyrocket... well we can't have that so instead of being more strict on who gets credit... we just make it harder to file bankruptcy..... meanwhile, decent waged jobs are being lost, factories and business close down, local and state tax revenue falls, education suffers.

So we have people working for less, maxxed out on credit and the kids falling behind other countries...... all the while the rich sit back, never taking pay cuts, getting bonuses for laying people off coming up with ways to save money (i.e. lower wages, take away benefits, etc.).

The gap grows bigger and bigger.

The people buying into the "Reaganomics", this warped view and defend it by saying "find the jobs, work 2 or 3 jobs, blah blah blah" are the ones that live on the credit, have decent jobs and think they won't be hurt.

But then that's what most of the people who are already sinking thought. That's what the vast majority of college students who are berdened with HUGE student loan payments and can't find a job thought.

Most people want to be out of their parents homes by 30...... yet more and more can't afford to be.

The system needs to be overhauled and restructured, the wealth needs to be distributed more fairly.... or the rich will have their lifeboats while the rest of us kill each other trying to stay afloat.

aceventura3 01-27-2007 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pan6467
There is something wrong in this country and with the system when you can pay the top 1% millions upon millions and the poor SOB that works hard for 40 hours a week can barely pay his bills, can't afford a new car, and if he has kids......

I respect your position and understand the point of view presented in your post. There are some inequities in our system of compensating people. However, my view is simple. People should be compensated based on the value they add to marketable goods and services.

If a CEO or a person like Warren Buffet as the unique ability to manage and deploy capital and in the process make billions of dollars after taxes for his company and investors, he should be paid accordingly. If a guy is being paid to hold a traffic sign at a construction site, somthing that billions of people can easily learn and do well, he should be paid based on the value of the service he is providing based on market supply and demand. if millions of people want to pay hundres of dollars to see Shaq dunk a basketball, he should be paid according to the market demand for his skill.

I think the biggest weakness in our system is related to illegal discrimination, fraud, cronyism, and government interference (rather than appropriate regulation) in the market place. I am not sure how you can measure the extent of this problem.

pai mei 01-27-2007 01:30 PM

CEO may have ability, but there are billions of people who will never get a chance to prove they have the same ability. Muhammad Ali said about golf :
"I'm the best. I just haven't played yet. "

aceventura3 01-27-2007 02:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pai mei
CEO may have ability, but there are billions of people who will never get a chance to prove they have the same ability. Muhammad Ali said about golf :
"I'm the best. I just haven't played yet. "

I agree. This is another weakness in our sysytem. The only thing a person can do is to always do their best and make the most of their opportunities. At least in this country the children of the most impoverished can rise to the ranks of CEO

host 01-27-2007 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aceventura3
I agree. This is another weakness in our sysytem. The only thing a person can do is to always do their best and make the most of their opportunities. At least in this country the children of the most impoverished can rise to the ranks of CEO

....and that ace, is the "cake".....that the peasants of pre-revolutionary France were told to "eat", and the "bread and circuses" that the Roman emporers provided to the masses.

shakran explained it here:

http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/showpos...32&postcount=3
Quote:

Originally Posted by shakran
I'll take the liberty of quoting 1776 (the musical) here. They talk about exactly why people were so accepting of the status quo even though it meant brutal oppression by King George.



We see all these displays of wealth around us and dream of one day having it for ourselves. <b>The American Dream myth lives on. We've convinced the country that the only reason they're not filthy rich is that they don't work hard enough. Well for a select few hard work has indeed made them rich.</b> But for many more hard cheating and dishonesty is what gave them their fortune. We admire Bill Gates for being the richest man on earth, but he got there by lying, cheating, and stealing from Xerox.

It's funny - Les Mis is my all time favorite musical. I saw it for the umpteenth time a few months ago but this time I saw it in a totally different light. Folks, those students and poor people in the French revolution aren't much different from us. The Revolution started in part because the gap between the rich and the poor widened to absurd proportions. We've got the same thing happening here right now, and eventually we'll get to the point where the poor have had enough and will start an uprising. Unfortunately that doesn't seem to matter to the wealthy in power because they're too busy counting their money.

The trouble is, ace...it's a bullshit myth intended to control the "have not" masses. In the inner cities, the dream of playing in the NBA helps keep a lid on the logical consequences of the economic and opportunity inequity that you seem so satisfied with.

It also keeps "most people" from using the power of the sheer numerical superiority of their votes to effect what that numerical advantage should give them.....a progressive income tax and checks and balances on the potenital of the wealthiest one percent to buy the political representation out from under the rest of us (and the courts.....the local zoning boards....regulatory agencies....etc...etc....etc.....etc.....etc....)!

pan6467 01-28-2007 11:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aceventura3
I respect your position and understand the point of view presented in your post. There are some inequities in our system of compensating people. However, my view is simple. People should be compensated based on the value they add to marketable goods and services.

If a CEO or a person like Warren Buffet as the unique ability to manage and deploy capital and in the process make billions of dollars after taxes for his company and investors, he should be paid accordingly. If a guy is being paid to hold a traffic sign at a construction site, somthing that billions of people can easily learn and do well, he should be paid based on the value of the service he is providing based on market supply and demand. if millions of people want to pay hundres of dollars to see Shaq dunk a basketball, he should be paid according to the market demand for his skill.

I think the biggest weakness in our system is related to illegal discrimination, fraud, cronyism, and government interference (rather than appropriate regulation) in the market place. I am not sure how you can measure the extent of this problem.


Ace, we've been here before. I don't disagree that a CEO if he has the accumen to make billions for a company, should be reimbursed well. However, not at the workers cost (layoffs, benefits lost, outsourcing, etc.).

As Henry Ford said, "Pay your workers enough to buy your product and you will always have customers."

It's not class envy, like we have been brainwashed to believe. It's doing the right thing.

Eventually it comes down to this...... what is more valuable in the end? Money and the making of it, or working to better humanity and treating ALL people with dignity?

Right now, this country has chosen money and that will destroy the freedoms and all our forefathers worked hard to build.

We don't have to fear the communist China, the terrorist countries... we are already doing it from within because of our greed.

Plus, we are seeing it all over the place.... CEO's making millions and millions getting all these perks.... then the business goes down... they get fired but they still get millions and millions as a contract buyout.

Excuse me, when a normal worker can't live up to his end of the contract people view it as his fault, he gets fired and nothing, and life goes on.

If the CEO loses millions shouldn't he be held responsible and have to face the ax, a salary cut, loss of perks?????? Why do they have to give him a pass and blame the worker?

Yet on the other side of the coin, the company makes millions in profit, the CEO takes all the credit, gets raises, gets more perks and so on.... but again, the workers get nothing..... if they are lucky the company "won't have to layoff this quarter."

Does that sound like the America that our forefathers wanted?

aceventura3 01-28-2007 02:13 PM

I agree that CEO's should be held accountable for failure. The problem is CEO have to have long-term outlooks. It take the CEO of a company like GE years before the fruits or weeds of his labor blossom. If the cashier at Walmart fails to balance her cash register, the result are know today as are the consequences in some circumstances.

Again, I say life is not fair and will never be fair. People simply have to do the best they can. Capitalist systems allow anyone to become a CEO.

pan6467 01-28-2007 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aceventura3
Again, I say life is not fair and will never be fair. People simply have to do the best they can. Capitalist systems allow anyone to become a CEO.

Name 1 fortune 500 company where the CEO started from a poor family and worked his way up through it.

If you do find 1, tell me this, does that CEO make 100x's the average employee of his company?

If you truly want strong product and a workforce that takes pride in what they do, you need to pay them fairly. Why do you think things don't last like they used to, even though technology is better?

hiredgun 01-29-2007 03:17 AM

To the original OP and the discussion it spawned (which we seem to have veered from a bit): I think your understanding of the banking system is a little confused.

The issuance of loans by banks is not the stage of the banking process during which money is created.

You are correct when you state elsewhere that it is the Federal Reserve, and only the Fed, that regulates the money supply; yes, the Fed is a private institution insofar as other financial institutions may hold its stock, but it was created by an act of government and, as the Central Bank of the US, remains a quasi-governmental organization (I would point you to www.federalreserve.gov). The Board of Governors is appointed by the President.

Private banks do not have carte blanche to loan out 'imaginary' money. If you get a loan from a bank, what you are receiving is real, accountable money, even if the physical transaction is only electronic.

Money creation is practiced only by the Federal Reserve, through the sale or purchase of (usually) Treasury securities. This step, yes, is a bit contrived, but it functions to steer the economy between inflation and stagnation by curbing or stimulating spending. You can read about the process here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_creation

There are various germane criticisms of the process and there's no problem with suggesting reforms, but it's not nearly so sinister as you seem to think, and the elimination of fractional reserve banking altogether is not the answer.

By the way, 'fractional reserve' banking simply means that the amount banks MUST (by law) hold 'in reserve' is only a fraction of what you deposit. This is what allows banks to function, because they can earn interest on your deposit (by lending or, more likely, investing it) instead of letting it rot in their vault. Despite this, if you go and ask to cash out your entire account, they will be able to do so; and if they cannot (if there's a run on the bank) and it goes under, the FDIC will bail you out for $100,000 per account (or $250k for an IRA). In practice the need for this is relatively rare.

aceventura3 01-29-2007 04:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pan6467
Name 1 fortune 500 company where the CEO started from a poor family and worked his way up through it.

If you do find 1, tell me this, does that CEO make 100x's the average employee of his company?

If you truly want strong product and a workforce that takes pride in what they do, you need to pay them fairly. Why do you think things don't last like they used to, even though technology is better?

How about Oprah Winfrey as an example.

I recently read a bio on Jack Welch former CEO of GE, he came from a working class family.

How about the gentleman Will smith is playing in his latest movie ( I have not seen it), I understand he was homeless and is now the CEO of his company.

Those come to mind as I type, I am sure if I took the time and actually gave it some thought, there would be many, many more examples. Agood book to read is "The Millionaire Next Door". Most millioaires in this country started middle-class or poor and earned their wealth through conservative values, of working hard, saving, and living within their means.

Yakk 01-29-2007 11:13 AM

I'm Bob.

I say to Charlie "I want to buy a Tractor". Charlie says "sure, 10000$".

I say "I'm good for it -- but can I pay you 300$ per year (3%) for 10 years, then pay you the 10000$?"

Charlie says "sure, your credit is good with me!".

Charlie then goes to Alice. "Hey Alice. I need some spare parts. I have a note here from Bob that says he'll pay me 10000$ in 10 years -- can I swap for some parts?"

Alice says "sure, I'll give you 7000$ in Parts for that".

Alice then sells the Bob debt to Doug for 7000$ in metal to make Parts with.

Doug then sells the 7000$ Bob debt back to Charlie to buy a Truck.

Notice that Bob Debt(tm) is acting like cash. That 10000$ note says "this is a promise to pay 10000$ on the 1st of Janurary 2017 made by Bob".

If Bob is well enough known to make good on his debts, that promissary note is as good as cash. Now, imagine if Bob was a bank.

The Bob note would act as cash.

Quote:

Originally Posted by pan6467
There is something wrong in this country and with the system when you can pay the top 1% millions upon millions and the poor SOB that works hard for 40 hours a week can barely pay his bills, can't afford a new car, and if he has kids......

Working hard, without any other knowledge, isn't worth shit. You need to work hard at something useful to be worth it. How useful is it? Well, how much is he getting paid for doing it?

Quote:

I work I guess in "public service" people I work with have Master's, doctorates, nursing degrees, initials at the back end of their name.

None of the people I work with on a daily basis makes more than $15/hour. That's $600 a week. The average person I work with makes $11.50 an hour. Roughly $450/week. And in this area that is a good wage.
Those people clearly had the chance to be highly educated, right? So, they knew what they where getting into -- they chose a path that lead to 11.50$ per hour jobs. I'm guessing that they felt that the personal fullfillment from their job would make up for the poor wages.

If they chose, they could have gone off and gotten a marketable degree and made more money. But they chose to follow a path of self sacrafice. I believe in respecing people's choices.

Now, there are people who didn't have the opportunity to choose what to do with their lives. There you have a point -- but saying that people who had the chance to get a masters degree, and chose to enter a profession where they wouldn't get paid much?

Quote:

Originally Posted by aceventura3
I respect your position and understand the point of view presented in your post. There are some inequities in our system of compensating people. However, my view is simple. People should be compensated based on the value they add to marketable goods and services.

If a CEO or a person like Warren Buffet as the unique ability to manage and deploy capital and in the process make billions of dollars after taxes for his company and investors, he should be paid accordingly.

I strongly suspect a good chunk of CEO pay comes from the "rockstar" effect. Ie:
1> If your CEO says "I quit", it hurts your company.
2> If your CEO chooses to embezzle, it really hurts your company.
3> If your CEO slacks off, it hurts your company.
4> If you pick someone without a history as your CEO, and they screw up, you are sued.
5> If you pick someone with a history as your CEO, and they screw up, you are much safer.
6> People will be willing to sacrafice alot to even look like a good CEO candidate.

There could be 50 people who would be perfectly competent at being CEO. But once someone is selected to be CEO, you can't go back. That person has now been dubbed "rockstar".

If you don't pay them that much, they can take their newly CEO'd CV and try to get a job somewhere else. Because they now have a CEO history, they are far more qualified to be a CEO than they where when you hired them. So you have to price your salary for CEO defensively. But so does everyone else. So you have a lovely war over CEO salaries.

By paying your CEO lots of cash, they have far less incentive to use their control to make themselves some money.

Lastly, by paying your CEO lots of cash, it acts as a very efficient motivator for your lower-level management. They feel "if I work really hard, harder than anyone else, I too can become CEO". For every 1$ of CEO salary, you can get more than 1$s worth of total motivation from the pleeb management.

It is like a Hollywood star. Almost everyone of them is a talented actor or really beautiful person. But for everyone of them, there are 100s of equally talented and beautiful people who slaved day and night trying to get that break and never did. Once they got their break their name and their face got value.

Not all pricing is because "that is what your skills are worth". Sometimes there are two jobs -- one counts the beans (and has to be paid enough to not steal beans), the other shovels dirt. It might not take much skill to count beans, but you need to pay that job more in order to make the bean counter more likely to be honest. And other times merely giving someone a job increases their value, regardless of their skills.

aceventura3 01-29-2007 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Yakk
Not all pricing is because "that is what your skills are worth".

You would have to take the role of buyer at the moment of purchase to determine what someone's skill are worth. If my employer thinks my skills are worth $1 million, and signs a contract with me good for the million. That was the price, that was the worth, even if that is not what you would pay. If I add $1 million in value to my employer is another issue. At the end of the contract he may find my skills were worth $10 million, or $0. In a free market you get a true measure of worth. In a controlled market you don't. For example: If the government says I Have to use Union labor at an inflated wage, then you have a situation where not all pricing is what your skills are worth.

Yakk 01-29-2007 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aceventura3
You would have to take the role of buyer at the moment of purchase to determine what someone's skill are worth. If my employer thinks my skills are worth $1 million, and signs a contract with me good for the million. That was the price, that was the worth, even if that is not what you would pay. If I add $1 million in value to my employer is another issue. At the end of the contract he may find my skills were worth $10 million, or $0.

If you define X as X, yes then X is X. If you define "X is worth what would be paid in a free market", then yes free markets pay everyone exactly what they are worth, no more and no less.

Proof by defining terms so you are correct isn't interesting.

Second, note I mentioned "why your skills are worth".

Quote:

If a CEO or a person like Warren Buffet as the unique ability to manage and deploy capital and in the process make billions of dollars after taxes for his company and investors, he should be paid accordingly.
Notice the use of "ability" in your post.

If it is Buffet's reputation that makes him worth the money, then his ability has nothing to do with it. If you pay a CEO a high salary with golden parachutes not because of the CEO's unique skills, but rather to ensure he doesn't go up and quit on you half way through the contract -- that isn't what the CEO's skills are worth, that a the cost of having a corperate structure with a CEO at the head.

Quote:

In a free market you get a true measure of worth. In a controlled market you don't. For example: If the government says I Have to use Union labor at an inflated wage, then you have a situation where not all pricing is what your skills are worth.
Yes, if that is how you define the terms.

But what do you mean by a free market -- I notice you didn't mention "regulated free market". In a free market, any idiot can see the economic benefits of claiming, buying or forming a monopoly, especially a natural monopoly.

The labour laws don't force anyone to hire someone from a union -- they usually just prevent you from hiring a non-union employee for the reason. You won't hire another employee unless you expect them to make you more money than it costs you to hire them.

To the buyer (employer) at the moment of purchase (when they hire another union employee), the value of the employer is at least as high as the salary offered. That was the price, that was the worth.

So by "free market", do you mean a market with free competition? Monopolistic competition? Natural monopolies? Oligopolies? Cartels? Patents? Copyright? Trademarks?

pan6467 01-29-2007 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aceventura3
How about Oprah Winfrey as an example.

I don't exactly count cult of personalities CEO's. Oprah just took over what Phil Donahue did, and because of her sex and perhaps race (oops did I go there) she became an entity made by her own PR... much like the Beatles. People looked to her for advice, a movement of some form in culture. She provided that.

I truly do not believe she is as powerful as people or the press portray her to be.

Once upon a time Michael Jackson had more money than God also.....

Quote:

I recently read a bio on Jack Welch former CEO of GE, he came from a working class family.
He also came from a generation where education was well funded and valued by the government and citizenry.

Quote:

How about the gentleman Will smith is playing in his latest movie ( I have not seen it), I understand he was homeless and is now the CEO of his company.
Have no idea, can't comment on it.

Quote:

Those come to mind as I type, I am sure if I took the time and actually gave it some thought, there would be many, many more examples. Agood book to read is "The Millionaire Next Door". Most millioaires in this country started middle-class or poor and earned their wealth through conservative values, of working hard, saving, and living within their means
That was in the 80's.... look around today and tell me we have that going on now.

Look plain and simple.... say I own a widget company.... my widgets are better, last longer, are more reliable, easier to fix than my competition's. However, I have to pay higher wages for better workers, so my product costs more.

Now, people can afford my product, but they want to also make money last longer so even though my competitions widgets only last half as long, people buy them.

But my saving grace is my employees. I pay them enough to buy my widgets and they pass on to their friends the value of having my widget for twice as long, and how it is easier to maintain.

But, then I decide I need to cut prices, but in order to do so I need to layoff people and pay less..... well those I laid off are pissed and hurt and buy my competition 's product to get back at me, their friends do the same and I start losing even more business.

So I cut more jobs and lower wages again..... but as I'm doing that my competition went overseas for very cheap labor, upgraded their technology to equal mine.... and now there are no advantages. No matter what I pay my workers my competition can pay less.

The communities that needed my workers and my factories taxes to keep education up.... are now broke and education decreases to bare minimum.... and I can't upgrade my own company now because there isn't anyone truly able to keep up technologically with the competition.

My widgets start becoming obsolete and I have to go from being a great paying, good benefits employer to being someone who pays workers barely enough to survive....

But the saving grace for me is in the process of lowering wages, firing people, destroying the communities, destroying the educations, ruining area economies.... I get huge paychecks and raises and bonuses for "saving the company".

That's where America stands today...... and thus the richer will get richer and the poor will get poorer.


As for Yakk:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Yakk
I'm Bob.

I say to Charlie "I want to buy a Tractor". Charlie says "sure, 10000$".

I say "I'm good for it -- but can I pay you 300$ per year (3%) for 10 years, then pay you the 10000$?"

Charlie says "sure, your credit is good with me!".

Charlie then goes to Alice. "Hey Alice. I need some spare parts. I have a note here from Bob that says he'll pay me 10000$ in 10 years -- can I swap for some parts?"

Alice says "sure, I'll give you 7000$ in Parts for that".

Alice then sells the Bob debt to Doug for 7000$ in metal to make Parts with.

Doug then sells the 7000$ Bob debt back to Charlie to buy a Truck.

Notice that Bob Debt(tm) is acting like cash. That 10000$ note says "this is a promise to pay 10000$ on the 1st of Janurary 2017 made by Bob".

If Bob is well enough known to make good on his debts, that promissary note is as good as cash. Now, imagine if Bob was a bank.

The Bob note would act as cash.

That's how it worked at one time.... but now Bob may not be in business for 10 years, so you really can't count on his credit.... if Bob defaults, then Charlie defaults, then Alice defaults and Doug.... till eventually everyone defaults....

And if "Bob" is a bank and someone defaults and he needs the money to pay the interests and CDs and honor his accounts and can't.... then you are truly fucked... cause he needs to find help fast.... if he forecloses and calls in the loans he gave, but still can't honor his own debt..... game over.

But in the above example you gave, I don't see how "Bob" could have been the bank.

What you are describing is a beautiful and intricate domino design.... unfortunately what you fail to show is the effect of the first domino falling will have on the last domino.

It's like saying ok, my widget company needs a loan, I am worth a million, so I borrow against my worth now from you. You go to Ace, tell him you need some cash.... Ace says "ok, you have Pan's note and your own so ok."

I default. the collaterol you had of mine that you used is now worthless... Ace comes to you, says, "um Yakk, I see Pan went under, I need to see more collaterol from you now."

You don't have enough to cover your loan.... Ace forecloses on you.

The person financing Ace, says, "Ace where's my money?" Ace can't raise it, he defaults.... and so on and so on.

Look at the rate of bankruptcies, foreclosures and credit writeoffs the past 10 years.... see which way the trend is going.

We're mortgaged out, no savings, creditally maxxed out and living on a bubble and someone has a needle waiting to pop it..... when that happens..... we're all done, rich, poor, capitalist, communist, EVERYONE, except the person or group holding the titles to everything.

Yakk 01-30-2007 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pan6467
And if "Bob" is a bank and someone defaults and he needs the money to pay the interests and CDs and honor his accounts and can't.... then you are truly fucked... cause he needs to find help fast.... if he forecloses and calls in the loans he gave, but still can't honor his own debt..... game over.

Yes, that can happen. But people delt with it and factored the that into the cost of the debt.

Quote:

But in the above example you gave, I don't see how "Bob" could have been the bank.
Why not? He gives a note saying "In 1 year, I will pay you 1000$". He doesn't have the 1000$ now, but he believes he will have it in 1 year if you ask for it. You also believe the bank.

Anyone can make up bills of credit, and if they are creditworthy they will have some worth. If they are less creditworthy, then they have less worth, all the way down to junk bonds.

The top end banks are very creditworthy. They hedge their bets, they behave in regulated fashons that says the government will cover some of their deposits if they go under, and in general are pretty damn safe. Not perfectly safe, but safer than any banking institution the world has ever seen.

Quote:

What you are describing is a beautiful and intricate domino design.... unfortunately what you fail to show is the effect of the first domino falling will have on the last domino.
With enough fudge room, the loss from dominoes falling isn't that huge. Remember, only 1 person has the debt at any one time. Suppose they have 1000 different people's debts and 30% of them default -- so long as they factored in that default rate, everything is fine. If the default rate is higher, they can use their credit to pay off some of the extra.

The current currency system of the world is based off of this, except we get bills of credit from the government and/or from a central bank in the end.

Quote:

It's like saying ok, my widget company needs a loan, I am worth a million, so I borrow against my worth now from you. You go to Ace, tell him you need some cash.... Ace says "ok, you have Pan's note and your own so ok."

I default. the collaterol you had of mine that you used is now worthless... Ace comes to you, says, "um Yakk, I see Pan went under, I need to see more collaterol from you now."
Or you simply sell him, or a third-party loan buyer, Pan's note.

Or Ace factors in the chance that Pan goes under into his rates.

Quote:

You don't have enough to cover your loan.... Ace forecloses on you.

The person financing Ace, says, "Ace where's my money?" Ace can't raise it, he defaults.... and so on and so on.
Ace, if smart, lent to more than 1 person, and charged interest rates high enough that even if some of them default he can pay off the loan.

Quote:

Look at the rate of bankruptcies, foreclosures and credit writeoffs the past 10 years.... see which way the trend is going.
Sure, credit is easy to get. At the same time, you still make lots of money by lending cash. So long as the banks don't have a large number of bad loans on the books (every foreclosure is a bad loan cleared off the books) -- and by large, I mean "larger than expected" -- things work.

Quote:

We're mortgaged out, no savings, creditally maxxed out and living on a bubble and someone has a needle waiting to pop it..... when that happens..... we're all done, rich, poor, capitalist, communist, EVERYONE, except the person or group holding the titles to everything.
I'm not morgaged out. I have savings. My credit is nowhere near maxxed out. My investments are relatively globally based (although I am not invested enough into developing countries).

So who is this "We"? There are people who are morgaged out, who have no savings, who live on credit. There are other people who make lots of money providing credit to those people.

And remember, a title is worthless. You need an orderly society to enforce your title, and you need your property to be able to produce something you actually need.

ASU2003 01-30-2007 04:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pan6467
Quote:
How about the gentleman Will smith is playing in his latest movie ( I have not seen it), I understand he was homeless and is now the CEO of his company.


Have no idea, can't comment on it.

He did have to live in the subway system, and I'm sure that he would have appreciated some basic social services that would have treated him (and his son) as a human even during the poor years. But, it did give him the drive to get a job and make money. But a lot of people that get down have other problems that good basic medical services, rehab, consoling services and education could get them back on their feet.

As for other people that have become CEOs from nothing, I would say Bill Gates, Steve Jobs and the two Google guys plus a lot of tech and internet people have been able to turn ideas into their own companies. Yes, this is still a good country for doing that.

The problem is the second generation CEOs are usually the ivy league business school MBAs, with a few other upper management jobs for experience. They write these contracts that the shareholders basically have to approve (who else will they get?), and they get a golden parachute if the company fails or if they are fired. These are rarely the lower and middle class people getting these jobs (unless they started a huge business before).

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Back to the original topic, are you thinking that the problem is the Fed Reserve creates a billion dollars, and then pockets the interest? Doesn't the interest from that new money go towards paying the interest in people's bank accounts, plus the operation of banks? Inflation is a problem in my mind, and what most Americans are facing as their money is worth less and less. (though we don't care about that, most people would rather make 40k in 2007 dollars instead of 25k in 2001 dollars). They would instantly think 40k is more, it must be better. If you are buying electronics, shoes and cheap stuff at Wal-Mart, the 40k is better, those prices are down from 2001. If you are buying houses, health care, or traveling around the world, the 25k with 2001 prices would be the better choice.

I don't know, it's been a while since I learned about the banking system in the US.

pai mei 03-06-2007 06:06 PM

http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...451279&q=money
Minute 13 - how banks work.
You will never see a banker saying "I cannot lend you anything I lended out all my money"

Dilbert1234567 03-06-2007 06:22 PM

that video has many fundamental misunderstandings of the banking system.

Yakk 03-06-2007 09:30 PM

*sigh* -- in case you didn't notice, they mentioned "at one point, people used feathers".

Also note that at 15 minutes, the creator of the video fails to divide by 9. 10,000$/9 is not 9,000, it is 1,111$.

...

So, let's note that the money lent out by the bank is also borrowed from someone -- be it the government or a depositor. The central bank of the state controls the interest rate of borrowing money by issuing governent-backed bonds.

That interest rate is set based on policy -- typically keeping inflation under control.

Next, note that when a borrower defaults, the bank is screwed. They have to make up the difference.

The supply of money is kept under control this way -- the price of new money is determined by the interest rate. This creates a supply-demand system, and those who want and can justify capital more than others get access to it.

If people stopped wanting to borrow money, they could just reduce the price of borrowing money. If you could borrow money for 0.1% annual interest, you would be pretty damn tempting.

Note that at minute 25, there are issues. It ignores the growth of the economy. The economy grows exponentially, just like debt. You'll notice at 26:30, they don't make the world "bigger" -- which is dishonest. The economy everything is working off is growing really damn fast.

And "natural resources" are not the fuel of the economy -- at least no fixed resource. The multiplier factors of "improving" natural resources is where economic growth comes from, together with increasing abilities to find and extract natural resources. As time goes on, more and more of the economy is service-based (ie, not resource based) -- and one could imagine a world in which nearly none of the economic activity exists in the "real world", it is all information services.

The monetary system is designed to facilitate exponential growth. Exponential growth means your standard of living gets better and better.

And it contains peak oil claims that it will happen right now. :) Considering this is about the 8th peak oil scare in the last 100 years... Could we be at the peak of the peak oil scare scare frequency?

I'll note rather cutely that the video contains a rather lot of medium-subtle jew-baiting. ;)

Gave up at 37 minutes. Tired of it.

Dilbert1234567 03-06-2007 10:03 PM

oh thank you yakk. i wish i had time to pick it apart, i made it to minute 3 before the smell was unbearable.

pai mei 03-07-2007 06:03 AM

It's "lent" not "lended" sorry for my english, I am from Romania. We have banks here too. Exponential growth means exponential destruction of the environment and exponential mining for resources. It means "better living" and now we are living in that golden age, just before we realize the planet has a finite surface

Dilbert1234567 03-07-2007 08:18 AM

well thats half true, no resource is finite, all get replenished at a certain rate, this rate is extremely slow in some cases like oil. when trees are cut down, new trees are planted, we currently have the same level of forestation in the US today, as we did when European settlers first arrived. luckily for all of us, we have these really smart people called scientist, who are working on technology so that we can keep expanding .

Yakk 03-07-2007 09:47 AM

If you want to be dirt poor and starving to death, you are allowed to. Right now. Nothing is stopping you.

Because that is what exponential wealth creation has done. Taken what used to be "well off" and made it "dirt poor" -- people who where in the top half of their societies wealth curve, even as recently as 1000 years ago, would be considered dirt poor and starving to death today.

Note that exponential growth of the economy doesn't mean you will extract and produce an exponential amount of goods.

We don't create horseshit anymore, industry isn't fueled by wood stoves, and transportation isn't bottlenecked by the supply of tall trees to build masts. Technology progressed, and better alternatives where found.

The power plants of today generate insanely more power than the ones 100 years ago, and generate ridiculously less pollution per unit of power produced. Smog in north american cities has plummitted when we noticed it was a problem, and starting making cleaner burning cars.

Exponential wealth creation is not exponential stuff -- it is exponentially better stuff. It does mean we get exponentially better at extracting resources, and rather than leaving the resources in the groud we do did them up and use them -- but that isn't why we are getting exponentially wealthier.

The planet earth has a finite surface -- but humankind has only touched a fraction of the resources earth can provide. Assuming improved technology, there is a ridiculous amount of resources that can be extracted from the earth -- I mean, our deepest mines are only a few miles deep, and the earth has a radius of 1000s of miles. We haven't even started deep ocean mining. And then there is asteroid mining.

We know how to get more resources than we currently extract, but the stuff we are grabbing is the easy stuff to get ahold of. Why are we grabbing the easy stuff? Because it is a waste to go after the hard stuff when there is easy stuff we can extract.

The fact of the matter is, when you talk about "sustainable development" you are talking about a moving target. As technology progresses, the level of development we can sustain grows. And we are consuming non-renewable resources to fuel the economy right now, because mankind has learnt that in 20 years we will have technologies that make large numbers of todays problems and key resources quaint.

London isn't buried under a mile of horseshit, dispite what people predicted. They stopped using horses.

pai mei 03-21-2007 04:19 PM

The system is 2000 years old, that is why it's legal. I said legal, I do not talk about any conspiracy here.

Quote:

“The modern banking system manufactures money out of nothing. The process is perhaps the most astounding piece of sleight-of-hand that was ever invented. Banking was conceived in inequity and born in sin... But if you want to continue to be slaves of the bankers and pay the cost of your own slavery, then let the bankers continue to create money and control credit .”
"Banking was conceived in iniquity and born in sin. Bankers own the earth; take it away from them but leave them with the power to create credit; and, with a flick of a pen, they will create enough money to buy it back again. Take this power away from them and all great fortunes like mine will disappear, and they ought to disappear, for then this world would be a happier and better world to live in. "
Josiah Charles Stamp (English Economist President of the Bank of England in the 1920's and the 2nd richest man in Great Britain)
Quote:

The banks do create money. They have been doing it for a long time, but they didn't quite realise it, and they did not admit it. Very few did. You will find it in all sorts of documents, financial textbooks, etc. But in the intervening years, and we must all be perfectly frank about these things, there has been a development of thought, until today I doubt very much whether you would get many prominent bankers to attempt to deny that banks create credit. H. W. White, Chairman of the Associated Banks of New Zealand, to the New Zealand Monetary Commission, 1955.
Quote:

Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on forever in a finite world is either a madman or an economist.—Kenneth Boulding, economist.
People do not know because they never asked, most do not even know that the question exists
http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...451279&q=money

http://www.basicincome.com/basic_banks.htm

Quote:

That means for every dollar of cash in their vaults or deposited with the central bank (i.e. the BoC) the banks have conjured up $357 from the void which they've invested or lent out with interest. Hence the record profits. Meanwhile not one person in a hundred grasps the fact that our government permits private banks to create about 95 percent of our money supply bringing huge profits to them and endless debt to us.

Solution : take away this power to create money from the banks. The state alone must have this power. We will borrow money from the state, then when we return them the state(we) will be richer, not some bankers, and the state will be able to use those money for something like tax cuts
Everytime a bank makes a loan, new money are created out of nothing, with a click of the mouse the money appear on some credit card. People will work to give back those money or they will lose their mortgage or something. The perfect theft.
Yes our society needs new money to grow, no the power to create them must no be in the hands of private people. The state must do this
Imagine me lending out money I do not have = jail
Bankers have done this for 2000 years, because it is so old , that is why this system is legal. Today it is called "fractional reserve banking" and they say it is useful for "flexilble money suply". Yes it is, no private people must not control it. The state must have control over it, and we will profit when we borrow and when we return the money

Yakk 04-02-2007 08:52 AM

How do you decide how much money should be created and loaned out, on a second-by-second basis?

What happens when the government lends money to people who can't afford it, and too many of them default?

How does the government choose who gets to borrow the money from the government?

Do you want to make it a crime to create an "IOU" of any kind?

You can create your own money right now. Write up a bunch of IOUs that say "I will pay you 5$ on __DATE__." Figure out how much people will pay you for them. Use that money you get to make a profit -- maybe lend it out to people. If your credit is good enough, you can lend people IOUs instead of cash, because 3rd parties will accept your IOUs in exchange for goods and services.

To give an example of something like this happening in the real world, Canadian Tire corperation in Canada gives out "canadian tire money", which are paper bills that can be exchanged for goods from Canadian Tire.

There are businesses that accept this money at face value on some special occasions: a local burger joint chain that lets you pay for one particular kind of burger with canadian tire money, a drycleaners that accepts canadian tire money on tuesdays, etc.

Those IOUs from Canadian Tire can be exchanged for goods and services with 3rd parties. Canadian Tire sometimes objects to this, and sends cease and desist orders.

...

So, what do the banks do? They solve the second-by-second problem, and generate incentive for people to figure out who should have the newly created money. If they are wrong and they lend the newly created money to someone who can't pay it back, they lose money. Even though they created that cash, the debts that they don't collect on cut into their profits.

And if they find someone who is more creditworthy than other lenders think they are, they can make a good profit lending money to them.

If their profit is too large, the person borrowing can possibly find a better rate from some other bank: the banks compete over what rates they charge individuals. Doing so is profitable to the other bank -- because if the rate from bank #1 is too high, it means that bank #2 can make a profit by stealing the customer and charging the customer less interest.

These problems that the banks are solving are not easy problems. The profits the banks get from this process are, effectively, their incentive to solve these problems.

If you had a centrally regulated money creating and doling out process, you'd have to solve these problems in any case: to do so, you would have to provide an incentive for people to solve the problems.

It has been shown in history that when solving the microeconimic "pricing problem" in any reasonably complex situation, using the market works pretty damn good. You have to watch out for macroeconomic market failures and tweak the system, but trying to beat the market on the moment-by-moment and solution-by-solution level tends to be pretty damn inefficient.

host 12-08-2007 09:06 PM

roachboy, I think this is a good spot to break the "money" and fiat currency issues out of the "Bush is a Socialist" thread.

I posted this earlier on this thread:
Quote:

http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/showpos...8&postcount=24

.....You make the same argument Greenspan attempted to make....and there is no history of that concept working to result in anything but devaluation of the medium of exchange, and surges and pullbacks in liquidity, i.e., credit availability, with all of the behavior that accompanies the waves of euphoria and despair of the surges. The euphoric times of easy credit always end with malinvestment....the false demand of house and condo "flippers" in the US for the past five years will result in an inventory excess that will take ten years to sell into actual demand....people needing a residence, as opposed to flippers who create demand that prompts the construction of unneeded housing units....

This speculation was initiated as the US central bank attempted to cushion the impact of the last bubble that it created with interest rate reductions, the stock market bubble. The reduction of the discount rate to one percent was in reality, a flood of liquidity, soaked up by speculators in a real estate market that had too little inventory to meet a sudden surge in artificial, liquidity induced demand. To keep it going, GSEs...Government sponered enterprises, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac introduced even easier, lower interest terms for mortgages....low doc, no doc, (you didn't have to provide evidence of how much money you made, or of your existing debts and assets to qualify for a mortgage), they agreed to buy mortgages written under those new guidelines, as well as interest only mortgages, and "no down payment" mortgages that actually lent 103 percent of the appraised property value, to cover closing costs of penniless homebuyers.

In a market where the only borrowing would come from holders of gold or silver who would have to be paid a high enough interest rate to persuade them to risk lending their "money" to a prospective homebuyer, would any of the above ridiculously lax criteria be tolerated? The Fed and the GSEs worked together to eliminate any competition for borrowers to obtain funds. Everyone was instantly qualified to borrow, and the demand drove prices of the underlying assets....real estate parcels, to the stratosphere.

Now we sit back and watch the mess unwind.....

<h3>If only those with assets did the lending, there would be no periods of easy or hard to come by credit.....there would be near constant interest rates and no spikes and troughs in demand.</h3>

There isn't much inflation because central banks around the world trade the US currency that comes into their countries' exporters, for paper currency that they print up out of thin air. Toyota for example, has little use for the hundreds of millions of US dollars that arrive in it's accounts in Japan each year. The Japanese central bank obligingly prints yen up, trades them for Toyota's dollars, and buys US treasuries with the dollars. Japan attempts to create an inflation psychology among it's domestic consumer base with the constant flood of yen, and it keeps the yen low enough to make Japanese exports competitive. The Japanese are satisfied to buy US central bank paper at 4-1/2 percent, with US dollars that they obtained in trade for yen that they printed up out of thin air.

This is the "system" that you are supporting....it will work until it doesn't. Gold and petroleum will relentlessly creap up in price, if I am correct, and the dollar will eventually collapse. The Japanese and Chinese see a greater reward than a risk...even it the US defaults on it's outstanding treasury obligations, they are only "out" the yen and the yuan that they printed up out of thin air to acquire the dollars. The US treasury bonds that they owned were simply an entry on a balance sheet.....
I agree with your description of Ron Paul. I think it is revealing that a "flake" is the only representative with oversight responsibilities who even came close to challenging Greenspan's "nonsense", during his long tenure as Fed chairman....

Sun Tzu 12-09-2007 09:56 AM

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