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host 11-02-2006 11:49 AM

IQ and Politics - Do lower income, lower IQ voters, Elect our Leaders?
 
Questions....does this seem accurate to you....it does, to me. If you disagree, please post why....

Does this data provide an explanation about the state that the country is in, to a large degree, a smaller degree, or not at all?

Quote:

http://sq.4mg.com/IQpolitics.htm
1. Support on this chart's data from http://www.isteve.com/04NovA.htm - a major hoax exposing site:

"The State IQ hoax claiming that Democratic states have much higher IQs (Connecticut = 113) than Republican states (Utah = 87) flared up again, with just one website publishing the fictitious table reporting 540,000 hits.. This time, however, lots of people immediately linked to my debunking from last May, providing iSteve.com with its busiest day ever on 11/5/04.

By the way, this page makes a good faith attempt to estimate average IQs by state from SAT and ACT scores. The methodology is far from bulletproof, but the author's results sound not too implausible: his estimates range from an average of 94 in Mississippi and South Carolina to 104 in New Hampshire. If you can think of a better way to do it, send the author an email."
<a href="http://sq.4mg.com/usingSQ.htm">Sloan responds to questions on IQ and SQ:</a>

<b>I included the states with highest populations, and seperately, states with highest and lowest average IQ and income. Comments in the following quote box, are mine <i>-host</i></b>
Quote:

http://sq.4mg.com/weighting.htm
New Hampshire 104 $34,702 Kerry
Massachusetts 103 $39,185 Kerry
Connecticut...102 $43,173 Kerry
Illinois......102 $33,590 Kerry
Vermont.......102 $30,740 Kerry
New York......101 $36,574 Kerry
Michigan......101 $30,439 Kerry
New Jersey....100 $40,427 Kerry
California....100 $33,749 Kerry
Maine.........100 $28,831 Kerry
Deleware.......99 $32,810 Kerry
Hawaii.........99 $30,913 Kerry


DC.............95 $48,342 Kerry

No state carried by the Kerry vote in 2004 had income below $28,831 or average IQ below 99.
DC is an interesting exception. 19 state carried by Bush in 2004 had average income below $28,831, an IQ average of 97 or lower, or both.

Colorado......102 $34,238 Bush
Montana.......102 $25,920 Bush
Alaska........101 $33,568 Bush
Ohio..........101 $29,944 Bush
Utah..........101 $24,977 Bush
Virginia......100 $33,671 Bush
Floria........ 98 $30,446 Bush
Texas......... 97 $28,372 Bush
South Carol... 94 $26,132 Bush
Mississippi... 94 $23,448 Bush
10 states, plus DC, had IQ levels of 97 or lower. Among them, (excluding DC) Georgia had the highest per capita, 2003 income, $29,442.
All ten of these states, (DC voted for Kerry) were carried by Bush in 2004.

flstf 11-02-2006 11:57 AM

Quote:

No state carried by the Kerry vote in 2004 had income below $28,831 or average IQ below 99.
I guess the poor underclass did not think voting for Democrats was in their best interest in those states.

ratbastid 11-02-2006 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flstf
I guess the poor underclass did not think voting for Democrats was in their best interest in those states.

Little did they know!

Willravel 11-02-2006 12:21 PM

Is it possible that the reason Bush got so many votes isn't as dependant on voter fraud, lies and deciet, etc? Is it possible that dumb people just vote for a dumb representative? Is that the brilliant strategy? I find this more frightening than anything....

Quote:

"In a democracy where the majority are fools, a fool will always lead."
-Willravel, 2006
/coined phrase

stevo 11-02-2006 12:46 PM

Just imagine if only land owners could vote. man that sure would solve a lot of problems.

Willravel 11-02-2006 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevo
Just imagine if only land owners could vote. man that sure would solve a lot of problems.

No one is suggesting disinfranchising anyone. As a matter of fact, more people should vote. The point is that we should have more educated masses. The point is that voting is a responsibility, and part of voting responsibly is doing your homework, and part of doing your homework is being able to even do homework.

It's my right to vote by the flip of a coin, but is that really the way our country wants to be lead?

stevo 11-02-2006 12:58 PM

I wasn't joking.

Jinn 11-02-2006 01:16 PM

A well known fact by civil lawyers is that the average intelligence of a civil jury is an EIGHTH GRADE EDUCATION.

When you accept that the majority of your country, society, and government are absolute idiots - you stop being surprised by voting results.

Seaver 11-02-2006 01:27 PM

Funny the only "resource" I found through 30min of searching their site is a link to the census bureau that goes no where.

Ustwo 11-02-2006 01:31 PM

http://www.snopes.com/politics/ballot/stateiq.asp

Quote:

The IQ numbers were originally attributed to the book 'IQ and the Wealth of Nations,' though they do not appear in the current edition. The tests and data were administered via the Raven's APT, and The Test Agency, one of the UK's leading publishers and distributors of psychometric tests. This data has been published in the Economist and the St. Petersburg Times, though this does not mean it should be taken as fact.

Origins: Some pranks are so good they keep working over and over again.

Back in November 2002, someone (using the name Robert Calvert) created and posted to a USENET newsgroup a phony chart which purportedly showed the average IQ per state in the U.S., along with the average income and a column indicating how that state voted in the 2000 presidential election. The gag was that all the states that voted for Vice-President Al Gore in the 2000 presidential election were clustered at the top of the IQ scale, while all the states that voted for then-Texas Governor George W. Bush were clustered at the bottom.

The chart's creator claimed to have been inspired by the book IQ and the Wealth of Nations and to have drawn his IQ data from the Ravens APM, but — save for the average income per state numbers, which were valid but outdated figures taken from the 1994 World Almanac — the chart was completely bogus. (The Ravens Advanced Progressive Matrices is not really a general intelligence test, nor do its publishers offer state-by-state test results data.) Nonetheless, a number of news publications (including the staid Economist) were taken in by the hoax — some mistakenly citing the information as having come from the book IQ and the Wealth of Nations, or even IQ and the Wealth of States — and published portions of the chart, and discussed it as if it were valid. (A similar hoax about presidential IQs produced similar media-fooling results back in 2001.)

Now, someone has dusted off the same chart and (omitting the economic data) applied it to the 2004 presidential election, keeping the primary gag intact: the "blue" (i.e., Democratic states) are all clustered at the top of the IQ scale, while the "red" (i.e., Republican) states are clustered at the bottom. Same hoax, different year. If 2008 produces another close presidential election as 2000 and 2004 did, expect to see this same joke again four years from now.

Last updated: 12 November 2004
Quote:

Originally Posted by stevo
Just imagine if only land owners could vote. man that sure would solve a lot of problems.

Ironicly I was thinking the same thing today.

Oh btw living in Illinois the richest counties I'm aware of voted for Bush and tend to vote straight Republican. No idea where this would be going as voting and IQ is not a state wide thing. I'd be happy, no elated if those who didn't graduate highschool were not allowed to vote, and it wouldn't be because Democrats would win :)

Oh and I found this
http://sq.4mg.com/IQpolitics.htm

Which uses ACT/SAT scores, shows there isn't a really big difference, and of course only counts those going to college and taking the exam. I'm sure its all those inner city republican droppouts that sway elections!

And beats hosts edited version.

Also since it doesn't say WHO is voting, its only by state, and states which have large urban centers tend to go to the Democrats, you have to wonder if anything really being measured here?

In other words, host give me a break, your side ain't smarter.

Ahhhh finally here someone did my homework for me.... I knew someone would understand.

First, the 'IQ' gap.

Quote:

A casual glance at the chart reveals two things: first, that the IQ differences between the states are actually quite small; and second, that there really isn't such a noticeable difference between the "blue" and "red" states after all. Kerry does seem to have a slight advantage, as the handful of states at the top of the chart are in his camp. But how great is the difference really?

It's easy enough to figure out. Since electoral votes are based on population (the more people that live in a state, the more electoral votes it has), one merely has to multiply each state's average IQ by its electoral vote count, then add up the totals in each candidate's column, and divide by each candidate's electoral vote total. The results will be a highly accurate average IQ of the voters for each side.

And without further ado, here are the results (feel free to do the computations yourself to confirm them, if you choose to):

Kerry voters: IQ 100.96 ~> 101
Bush voters: IQ 98.73 ~> 99

Kerry supporters have an average IQ of just under 101; and Bush supporters have an IQ of just under 99. For simplicity's sake, we'll round them both up to 101 and 99.

So, the evidence seems to show that the average Kerry voter has an IQ of 101, while the average Bush voter has an IQ of 99. While this 2-point difference may appear significant to partisan advocates, in truth the difference between 99 and 101 is negligable, so statistically insignificant as to be meaningless. If the average IQ is 100, it is not possible to tell the difference between someone who is 1 point above average and someone else who is 1 point below average. In fact, in casual conversation, you couldn't distinguish between someone with an IQ of 95 from someone with an IQ of 105.

This result alone is enough to show that there is in fact essentially no difference in intelligence between Bush voters and Kerry voters. But further analysis reveals something even more startling -- and a bit controversial.
To the above may I say 'duh'

Now for the grim reality to the democrats....

http://www.zombietime.com/iq_of_2004...nties-2004.gif

Quote:

One of the reasons standardized tests are so controversial and so disliked is that certain minority groups tend to score lower than average on them. I'm not here to defend these tests, or to theorize why these groups score lower on average (and there are many convincing and reasonable explanations); I'm merely pointing out a well-known and universally acknowledged fact. Specifically, that Native Americans, Hispanics, and African-Americans tend to score slightly lower on the SAT.

Why bring up this uncomfortable fact? Well, look at the map above again. In particular, look at New Mexico, Texas, and Mississippi, as examples. All three of these states went for Bush to varying degrees. But certain counties within each state voted for Kerry. In New Mexico, as the map reveals, the northern areas went for Kerry. Yet northern New Mexico is where most of the Native American reservations are. Thus, Native Americans tended to favor Kerry. Now look at Texas; the state went almost entirely for Bush, except for the area along the Mexican border, which has a high concentration of Hispanics. Thus, it seems that Kerry got a lot of Hispanic votes. Now on to Mississippi: mostly Bush, except for the counties that border on the Mississippi River -- counties which are majority African-American. (The same principle applies to many other states as well.)

It doesn't take a genius to see where this is heading. IF you accept the validity of IQ (which Kerry supporters unearthed to support their "Bush voters are dumb" thesis), and IF IQ can be accurately approximated from SAT results (as most statisticians believe), and IF you acknowledge that certain minority groups, for whatever sociological and economic reasons (poverty, language barriers, cultural differences), score slightly lower than average on SAT tests, THEN you can come to only one conclusion: that those residents of "red" states that are voting for Kerry are the ones with the lower-than-average IQs. Which means that the higher-IQ residents of many "red" states are the ones voting for Bush.

(I would like to repeat here that I personally do not ascribe to the validity of IQ tests, nor of standardized tests in general. I only use this data in order to rebut the false conclusion derived from it. Kerry supporters have dug this hole themselves, and now must suffer the consequences of their folly.)

The end result of this county-by-county analysis is that the tiny apparent IQ advantage held by Kerry voters is wiped out, if not reversed. By casting aspersions on southern and western states with high African-American and Native American populations, calling the people who live there "dumb" for voting for Bush, and attempting to prove it by dragging out statistics, the Kerry camp is flirting with behavior that borders on the offensive. Their accusations only highlight the fact that, even in pro-Bush states, it is those voters who are Kerry supporters that are the ones which account for the states' low test rankings.

CONCLUSION
a. There is no discernible intelligence difference between Bush voters and Kerry voters.
b. Kerry supporters who insist that Bush voters are "dumb," and who point out as evidence state-by-state IQ scores, are engaging in behavior that could be construed as racially inflammatory.

http://www.zombietime.com/iq_of_2004_voters_by_state/
:lol: host this was an easy one, add more links next time so I don't bother reading it.

Elphaba 11-02-2006 04:16 PM

Thank you, ustwo, for the resource effort made. I was going to post about the Bell Curve and that large numbers will fall within the mean, plus or minus one standard deviation. IQ's of 101 or 99 are statistically identical. I wasn't willing to "prove" my post, however. :)

NCB 11-02-2006 04:25 PM

People who vote for a living tend to vote Democrat. People who work hard and make their own way tend to vote GOP.

filtherton 11-02-2006 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NCB
People who vote for a living tend to vote Democrat. People who work hard and make their own way tend to vote GOP.

People who rape sedated puppies tend to vote gop. People who don't believe that all minorities are homosexual communists tend to vote democrat.



Perhaps we could all benefit from reading the things we plan on posting aloud, perhaps to other people so that we can avoid making broad sweeping statements that have no basis in reality.

ratbastid 11-02-2006 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NCB
People who vote for a living tend to vote Democrat. People who work hard and make their own way tend to vote GOP.

Let's see about that on Tuesday, shall we?

Even in our good old red-state North Carolina, 8 out of 12 congressional races are very likely to go Democrat--including some rural, traditionally conservative districts. I think this indicates that this year's election isn't about traditional demographics. It's a referendum on the failed policies of the administration and the congress that failed to rein them in. You don't have to be a liberal to disapprove of what's been going on the last couple years.

Interestingly, the exceptions are the district that contains non-metro Mecklenburg County (the county where Charlotte is located), non-metro Guilford County (the county where Greensboro is located), and the 3rd District (which is most of the coast), and one district in the mountains (the 10th--Lenoir is the biggest town there). I'm not surprised by the 3rd or 10th, but the areas immediately surrounding two of the state's largest cities are STRONGLY for their republican congressman--in some cases by 40 points or more. I find that puzzling. I'm willing to shrug and let it be a coincidence, unless anybody has a theory about it.

EDIT: Just figured it out. There aren't actually elections in all those districts. Silly me.

By the way, NCB, you're most likely stuck with Brad Miller for another six years. Good thing too--Vernon Robinson's a total sleazeball. He's run a DIRTY campaign. He sent out this vicious letter implying, among other things, that Miller is gay. He actually push-polled me yesterday in his own voice. Totally shameless.

NCB 11-02-2006 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ratbastid
By the way, NCB, you're most likely stuck with Brad Miller for another six years. Good thing too--Vernon Robinson's a total sleazeball. He's run a DIRTY campaign. He sent out this vicious letter implying, among other things, that Miller is gay. He actually push-polled me yesterday in his own voice. Totally shameless.

Robinson is great. You may not like him, but he doesnt hide from the tough questions. Miller is a complete pussy who wont answer to his constituents in a district that he literally drew up for himself.

Also, youre counting your chicken well before they hatch. Taylor will keep his seat, as will Walter Jones. Robin Hayes has a tougher road, but I think that he'll keep his seat too. If you like, we could come up with some small avatar bet. Care to make it interesting?

jorgelito 11-02-2006 05:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NCB
Robinson is great. You may not like him, but he doesnt hide from the tough questions. Miller is a complete pussy who wont answer to his constituents in a district that he literally drew up for himself.

Also, youre counting your chicken well before they hatch. Taylor will keep his seat, as will Walter Jones. Robin Hayes has a tougher road, but I think that he'll keep his seat too. If you like, we could come up with some small avatar bet. Care to make it interesting?

You know, this might be a good idea, have some good-ol' fashioned fun. It might reduce tensions in the Politics Forum a little bit and lighten things up too.

Lay down some background info so those of us not in your district have some idea and I'll make a side bet with anyone who's interested. This could be fun. What do you say TFP?

1010011010 11-02-2006 05:46 PM

Bush Co. makes a lot of reassuring noises from its mouths, but generally doesn't actually say anything. It talks about "Victory in Iraq". Though I listen to NPR for about two hours every day while commuting, I have never heard the conditions for "Victory" defined.

But it sounds good. Most of the reassuring noises that have no meaning make for great sound bites. To people who actually listen critically to politicians (I'm not sure why anyone bothers, regardless of affiliation) get so caught up in the emptiness of the rhetoric that they fail to notice how smoothly it's delivered.

Bush is an excellent speech reader backed by even better speech writers. He sounds like he's saying simple straightforward things that are easy for people who aren't really listening to understand. Well reasoned and multi-faceted opinions do not survive television concision or the spin of being dubbed "waffling". Many people pick candidates based on a handful of largely irrelevant cultural issues... play to those issues and otherwise avoid muttering anything substantive and they'll keep voting for you.

This is why Bush won. No one wants to be invited to think about their position on stem cells. Kerry launched on how current stem cell research lines are contaminated with mouse cells. What voters did he win over with that one? I don't even remember what Bush said, probably because he didn't actually say anything... just made reassuring noises that sounded like a point being made.

Ustwo 11-02-2006 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1010011010
Bush Co. makes a lot of reassuring noises from its mouths, but generally doesn't actually say anything. It talks about "Victory in Iraq". Though I listen to NPR for about two hours every day while commuting, I have never heard the conditions for "Victory" defined.

But it sounds good. Most of the reassuring noises that have no meaning make for great sound bites. To people who actually listen critically to politicians (I'm not sure why anyone bothers, regardless of affiliation) get so caught up in the emptiness of the rhetoric that they fail to notice how smoothly it's delivered.

Bush is an excellent speech reader backed by even better speech writers. He sounds like he's saying simple straightforward things that are easy for people who aren't really listening to understand. Well reasoned and multi-faceted opinions do not survive television concision or the spin of being dubbed "waffling". Many people pick candidates based on a handful of largely irrelevant cultural issues... play to those issues and otherwise avoid muttering anything substantive and they'll keep voting for you.

This is why Bush won. No one wants to be invited to think about their position on stem cells. Kerry launched on how current stem cell research lines are contaminated with mouse cells. What voters did he win over with that one? I don't even remember what Bush said, probably because he didn't actually say anything... just made reassuring noises that sounded like a point being made.

:lol:

Yes I voted for Bush, twice, because of his easy listening reassuring noises. You sure summed that up nicely.

NCB 11-02-2006 06:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jorgelito
You know, this might be a good idea, have some good-ol' fashioned fun. It might reduce tensions in the Politics Forum a little bit and lighten things up too.

Lay down some background info so those of us not in your district have some idea and I'll make a side bet with anyone who's interested. This could be fun. What do you say TFP?

EDIT: The truth is even sadder then the original post. Nothing to see here. Move along

Seaver 11-02-2006 06:36 PM

Can we stop this whole "only stupid people vote for Bush" already? It was old in 2000, it's simply retarded now. The majority of people vote Republican because they felt it was better than the alternative.

Don't assume you're more intelligent than everyone else simply because you feel differently politically.

Willravel 11-02-2006 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seaver
Can we stop this whole "only stupid people vote for Bush" already? It was old in 2000, it's simply retarded now. The majority of people vote Republican because they felt it was better than the alternative.

Don't assume you're more intelligent than everyone else simply because you feel differently politically.

There is no assumption in the data.

I am curious, though, as to why someone would vote for a bumbling idiot. I know that I am significantly smarter than George W. Bush will ever be (as a paleologist is smarter than a brontosaurus), but I'd never run for President because I don't think I am capable enough to do the best job in that position. There are amazing demands made on the President every day, and when a monkey is left to make those decisions it's no wonder that problems arise. I realize that Gore was boring, not that bright, and riding the Clinton coat tails, and Kerry was pretty weak, and not a strong candiadte, but were they so bad that you would vote for the halfwit?

djtestudo 11-02-2006 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by willravel
There is no assumption in the data.

I am curious, though, as to why someone would vote for a bumbling idiot. I know that I am significantly smarter than George W. Bush will ever be (as a paleologist is smarter than a brontosaurus), but I'd never run for President because I don't think I am capable enough to do the best job in that position. There are amazing demands made on the President every day, and when a monkey is left to make those decisions it's no wonder that problems arise. I realize that Gore was boring, not that bright, and riding the Clinton coat tails, and Kerry was pretty weak, and not a strong candiadte, but were they so bad that you would vote for the halfwit?

Sometimes the obvious half-wit is better then the guy you don't think has any wits despite acting otherwise (see: Gore, Al and Kerry, John).

Willravel 11-02-2006 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by djtestudo
Sometimes the obvious half-wit is better then the guy you don't think has any wits despite acting otherwise (see: Gore, Al and Kerry, John).

With the benifit of hinsight, I'm sure you've changed your mind. There is no way that Gore or Kerry would have us in the mess we're in now. Please tell me everyone is actually learning from their mistakes. Flip flippong from a mistake to the right decision is a good thing.

Seaver 11-02-2006 08:23 PM

Quote:

There is no assumption in the data.
I've yet to see any legitimate data. As I stated the "link" provided as a "resource" does not work. They could have easily just made everything up.

Besides, any "point" that people who vote for Bush are rednecks are easily negated by pointing out the inner-city vote-farms which the Dems set up.

Willravel 11-02-2006 08:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seaver
I've yet to see any legitimate data. As I stated the "link" provided as a "resource" does not work. They could have easily just made everything up.

Besides, any "point" that people who vote for Bush are rednecks are easily negated by pointing out the inner-city vote-farms which the Dems set up.

I'm "sorry" you "don't" think the data "is" legitimate. I'll "see" if I "can" find another source online"."

Elphaba 11-02-2006 08:49 PM

Once again, IQ's of 99 and 101 have NO statistical difference. There is no argument to be had here, unless that is the purpose of the OP and posters.

xxSquirtxx 11-02-2006 08:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Elphaba
Once again, IQ's of 99 and 101 have NO statistical difference. There is no argument to be had here, unless that is the purpose of the OP and posters.

Haven't you figured out by now? That's irrelevant when you want to trash conservatives.

djtestudo 11-02-2006 09:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by willravel
With the benifit of hinsight, I'm sure you've changed your mind. There is no way that Gore or Kerry would have us in the mess we're in now. Please tell me everyone is actually learning from their mistakes. Flip flippong from a mistake to the right decision is a good thing.

There is a reason for hindsight always being 20/20, but even so I don't think it's true in this case.

I wouldn't trust Al Gore to have done anything post-9/11, and we would likely still be in the same position in Iraq with Kerry, since I cannot see a Republican Congress voting to do anything else with the war other then fight it out.

Willravel 11-02-2006 09:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by djtestudo
I wouldn't trust Al Gore to have done anything post-9/11, and we would likely still be in the same position in Iraq with Kerry, since I cannot see a Republican Congress voting to do anything else with the war other then fight it out.

Do you really think Al Gore would have attacked Iraq? No way, Jose. That automatically means that we wouldn't have anywhere near as much debt, global terrorism would be less, a lot less dead soldiers, better relationships with our allies, and better approval presidental ratings. Also, Gore could pronounce "terrorism" instead of "terrsm" (i.e., he woulnd't make ridiculous verbal blunders day after day). Gore woulnd't have demoted Clinton's top terrorism expert, therefore 9/11 would have been less likely. It's guesswork, but I think it's a reasonable prediction.

As far as not doing anything post-9/11....what did we do? We attacked Afghanistan, now it's run by opium growing warlords (producing a vast majorty of the worlds opiates) and it's less stable than it was under the Taliban, if that's possible. We didn't go into Saudi Arabia; where the suspected 9/11 terrorists were born, raised, and trained; where the financing for 9/11 came from; one of the largest supporters of terrorism in the world. We still don't have any idea where Osama is.

Ustwo 11-02-2006 09:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by willravel
I'm "sorry" you "don't" think the data "is" legitimate. I'll "see" if I "can" find another source online"."

This isn't a 9/11 thread will, try looking at the data provided objectively and logically.

I 'debunked' this myth in my spare time between seeing patients. Its obvious, its clear, and you are twisting it to make it fit your world view.

host 11-03-2006 12:42 AM

Let's examine your "debunking" claim:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ustwo
http://www.snopes.com/politics/ballot/stateiq.asp





Ironicly I was thinking the same thing today.

Oh btw living in Illinois the richest counties I'm aware of voted for Bush and tend to vote straight Republican. No idea where this would be going as voting and IQ is not a state wide thing. I'd be happy, no elated if those who didn't graduate highschool were not allowed to vote, and it wouldn't be because Democrats would win :)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ustwo
Oh and I found this
http://sq.4mg.com/IQpolitics.htm

Which uses ACT/SAT scores, shows there isn't a really big difference, and of course only counts those going to college and taking the exam. I'm sure its all those inner city republican droppouts that sway elections!

And beats hosts edited version.

Also since it doesn't say WHO is voting, its only by state, and states which have large urban centers tend to go to the Democrats, you have to wonder if anything really being measured here?

In other words, host give me a break, your side ain't smarter.

Ahhhh finally here someone did my homework for me.... I knew someone would understand.

First, the 'IQ' gap.



To the above may I say 'duh'

Now for the grim reality to the democrats....



http://www.zombietime.com/iq_of_2004_voters_by_state/
:lol: host this was an easy one, add more links next time so I don't bother reading it.

Your "snopes.com" article is irrelevant, since:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ustwo
Oh and I found this
http://sq.4mg.com/IQpolitics.htm

Which uses ACT/SAT scores, shows there isn't a really big difference, and of course only counts those going to college and taking the exam. I'm sure its all those inner city republican droppouts that sway elections!

And beats hosts edited version.

<b>[1}</b> What you "found", was the first link that I posted in the OP, pointing to the principle citation (and influence) for the creation of the OP.
What do you mean, <b>"you found it?"</b>

<b>[2}</b>The reason that I prominently posted the link that "you found",
was because, the first thing that the linked page did, was <b>display the identical subject and argument against it, that your long, snopes.com, linked cut and past made....</b>

I posted the link to avoid what you did, anyway;
You attempted to confuse the info at Van Sloan's sq.4mg.com/IQpolitics.htm , by "linking" it with the snopes.com described, debunked IQ/Voting data and table.

<b>[3}</b> At the bottom of the page at the link that "you found",
http://sq.4mg.com/IQpolitics.htm, is a link in big, bokd letters:
<h3>Go to: <a href="http://sq.4mg.com/IQ-States.htm">Calculating state IQ's from SAT and ACT scores</a></h3>
The link above displays a page that lists IQ data by state. and at the bottom, <b>the adjustments to address your concerns</b>, are explained:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ustwo}
.....Which uses ACT/SAT scores, shows there isn't a really big difference, <b>and of course only counts those going to college and taking the exam. I'm sure its all those inner city republican droppouts that sway elections!</b>

And beats hosts edited version.[/quote

Also since it doesn't say WHO is voting, its only by state, <b>and states which have large urban centers tend to go to the Democrats, you have to wonder if anything really being measured here?</b>

In other words, host give me a break, your side ain't smarter.

Quote:

<a href="http://sq.4mg.com/IQ-States.htm">Calculating state IQ's from SAT and ACT scores</a>
Left side of chart is from http://christianparty.net/actstates.htm

ACT to SAT conversion from http://www.collegeboard.com/sat/cbse...l/stat00f.html

* IQ from the SAT - IQ estimator at http://sq.4mg.com/IQ-SATchart.htm

** IQ from the SAT webpage http://sq.4mg.com/SATstates.htm

<h3>Estimated IQ for all citizens of a state is normally set 10 points less than the IQ of ACT test takers, to make a national average of 100 IQ.</h3> This difference is proportionally reduced <b> when over 60% of high school grads take the ACT. The same reduction was made for SAT test takers.</b> Note that the <b>average IQ here for all states is about 100, which is slightly larger than America's 98 IQ</b> in the IQ comparison of nations.

<b>Viewer comment on the above paragraph</b>: So, we have a 10 point reduction taken across the board with no scientific data to back the reduction. What about <b>certain states with unusually high numbers of professionals due to local universities or white collar level jobs? Both of which could be attracted to the state from other locations, thus further skewing the results of the ACT test takers as it cannot take into account movement of people. Or a state with a large number of military bases where the average member is not college educated. There are SO many other potential factors that can skew statistics.</b> And non of this makes an attempt to gage common sense or what is known as practical understanding. (From http://www.sailinganarchy.com/forums...howtopic=11028 posted Nov 3 2004, 10:13 AM by Foredeck Shuffle)

<b>Sloan responds to above comment: Each of the viewer's comments could affect the average state IQ numbers. But until better data becomes available, I believe this page presents the best state IQ information available anywhere. </b>Two points: <b>(1) The10 point reduction produces state IQ's that average the expected 100 , and (2) The higher income professionals attracted to selected states tend to raise high SAT scoring children in those new states.</b>

This page is NOT a hoax, unlike the unverified state IQ's designed to show that Democrats were smarter.
....<b>Ustwo..... I cannot see where you "debunked" anything....... </b>
In addition to the two points that the "State IQ" site's author, Sloan made, in the sentences just preceding my closing comments...( please review what you've posted that refutes Sloan's claim that his <b>"page presents the best state IQ information available anywhere"</b>), you've ignored the more dramatic 2003, per capita income differences of the two groups of 2004 voters.

Now that your concerns:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ustwo
.....Which uses ACT/SAT scores, shows there isn't a really big difference, <b>and of course only counts those going to college and taking the exam. I'm sure its all those inner city republican droppouts that sway elections!</b>

...have been addressed by Van Sloan, what argument can you make to persuasively counter his fomula for determining state IQ averages? Is there more authoritative data, or a more impressive formula to determine state IQ,
that you can point to, for us?

Are the flaws in Sloan's method or his data, or his research on the relationships between SAT and ACT test scores, and IQ?

....and, to Ustwo, and Seaver:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Seaver
Funny the only "resource" I found through 30min of searching their site is a link to the census bureau that goes no where.

Seaver....<b>here is a link to the page at the "dead" census.gov link:</b>
http://web.archive.org/web/200411140...www/part6.html

...the last point in Ustwo's "debunking" effort, was anticipated on the page from the this prominent link, displayed in the OP:
Quote:

http://sq.4mg.com/weighting.htm

(<b>Near the bottom of the page:</b>)
.....As you can see, after weighting each state for population, there is a much stronger correlation between IQ of a state's population and voting democratic than your analysis suggests.

Since it appears that you want your site to show as accurate representation of the data as possible, I thought you'd be interested in this.

Thanks for your time.

Sincerely,

Doug Waage
<b>Seaver obviously found his way to the page in the preceding quote box, the link Seaver described as,.... "link to the census bureau that goes no where."....is displayed on that page.</b> The calculations of Doug Waage, that impressed Van Sloan enough to create an entire page for...at the preceding link....also impressed me enough to author a new thread about.
<b>So....why do you, Ustwo, ignore it, and instead, post this?:</b>
Quote:

http://www.zombietime.com/iq_of_2004_voters_by_state/
host this was an easy one, add more links next time so I don't bother reading it.
Since the first link in the thread OP was to Sloan's display of the matrial covered in your snope.com linked material, and making clear that his data and methodology had corrected the flaws in that 2004 internet hoax, why did you lead your "debunking" with the snopes.com article?

<b>In summary....Ustwo, all of the major points that you made in your "debunking" post, were addressed....before you raised them:</b>
1.) The 2004 "internet hoax" described in the first link in this thread OP

2.) "and of course only counts those going to college and taking the exam. I'm sure its all those inner city republican droppouts that sway elections!"

3.)"Also since it doesn't say WHO is voting, its only by state, and states which have large urban centers tend to go to the Democrats, you have to wonder if anything really being measured here?"

4.)"Ahhhh finally here someone did my homework for me.... I knew someone would understand.

First, the 'IQ' gap."

"It's easy enough to figure out. Since electoral votes are based on population (the more people that live in a state, the more electoral votes it has), one merely has to multiply each state's average IQ by its electoral vote count, then add up the totals in each candidate's column, and divide by each candidate's electoral vote total. The results will be a highly accurate average IQ of the voters for each side."
<b>host asks: didn't the core quote box....in the thread OP, the one with the list of more than 20 states...already provide <a href="http://sq.4mg.com/weighting.htm">States IQ chart - weighted by population</a></b>....and doesn't that weighting provide a clearer measure of IQ average, by state, than an "electoral vote", weighting?

Ustwo 11-03-2006 05:09 AM

host look at the county map and refute that, otherwise dont' waste my time, you didn't address either the 101 - 99 IQ 'margin' or the county map. I have to go play doctor now and you can play internet pundit.

Now I see why the left has such a hard time figuring out 9/11, and the mechanics behind it, they are confused by numbers and what they really mean.

ratbastid 11-03-2006 05:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ustwo
Now I see why the left has such a hard time figuring out 9/11, and the mechanics behind it,

Easy there. We're not the ones who think Iraq was involved.

Willravel 11-03-2006 07:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ustwo
This isn't a 9/11 thread will, try looking at the data provided objectively and logically.

I 'debunked' this myth in my spare time between seeing patients. Its obvious, its clear, and you are twisting it to make it fit your world view.

You didn't debunk anything. You brought up points that had already been addressed, then did a victory dance.

Also, just becuase you can't grasp the simple physics behind 9/11 doesn't mean you can bring it up in every single thread. This thread isn't called "what really happened on 9/11", so either stop flaming and threadjacking and/or move into the appropriate thread.

Seaver 11-03-2006 08:53 AM

http://web.archive.org/web/200411140...www/part6.html

How this is is supposed to be a resource is equivilant to me making a website of www.uglyduck.com/us.gov.html and claiming that it is the US Government's website. The "link" which is attempted to be hidden in that follows as... http://www.census.gov/statab/www/part6.html unfortunately, as I said before, it does not work. Therefore this is by definition unsupported documentation, which justly gets thrown out of any argument.

This is the part of the "link" which it supposably is part of. It leads no where. I can put census.gov somewhere in a URL link and it will go no where in the census bureau.

When I see it there maybe I'll believe, until then try forging information some other way.

seretogis 11-03-2006 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seaver
http://web.archive.org/web/200411140...www/part6.html

How this is is supposed to be a resource is equivilant to me making a website of www.uglyduck.com/us.gov.html and claiming that it is the US Government's website. The "link" which is attempted to be hidden in that follows as... http://www.census.gov/statab/www/part6.html unfortunately, as I said before, it does not work. Therefore this is by definition unsupported documentation, which justly gets thrown out of any argument.

This is the part of the "link" which it supposably is part of. It leads no where. I can put census.gov somewhere in a URL link and it will go no where in the census bureau.

When I see it there maybe I'll believe, until then try forging information some other way.

This is silliness. The web archive at archive.org is completely legitimate as it archives previously live web pages. Instead of attacking the source, perhaps attack the fact that the data has been removed for some reason.

dc_dux 11-03-2006 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seretogis
Originally Posted by Seaver
http://web.archive.org/web/200411140...www/part6.html

How this is is supposed to be a resource is equivilant to me making a website of www.uglyduck.com/us.gov.html and claiming that it is the US Government's website. The "link" which is attempted to be hidden in that follows as... http://www.census.gov/statab/www/part6.html unfortunately, as I said before, it does not work. Therefore this is by definition unsupported documentation, which justly gets thrown out of any argument.

This is the part of the "link" which it supposably is part of. It leads no where. I can put census.gov somewhere in a URL link and it will go no where in the census bureau.

When I see it there maybe I'll believe, until then try forging information some other way
.
This is silliness. The web archive at archive.org is completely legitimate as it archives previously live web pages. Instead of attacking the source, perhaps attack the fact that the data has been removed for some reason.

I agree with the silliness...both the question raised in the OP and the reactionary comment by Seaver,re: the link "which is attempted to be hidden".

The link doesnt work because Census Dept moved the Statistcal Abstract of the US from www.census.gov/statab/www to http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/

Seaver 11-03-2006 01:55 PM

Sorry Sertogis, in my opinion it is as legitimate as Wikipedia. While it may be good for quick referencing, it is only as good as the source who delivers it. Being that the source is quite litterally attempting to paint the stupid brush on his opponents I'd say there's reason to question it.

And I've yet to see any data on the census website which delivers any sembilance of SAT/ACT scores, while there are plenty of graduation rates/etc which are similar I've yet to see anything which supports said thesis.

Elphaba 11-03-2006 03:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ustwo
host look at the county map and refute that, otherwise dont' waste my time, you didn't address either the 101 - 99 IQ 'margin' or the county map. I have to go play doctor now and you can play internet pundit.

Ustwo, do you read Time magazine? Your map is a distortion, using a winner-take-all approach. I'm certain you must know that every state is actually a blend of both dems and reps, with most states being fairly evenly divided. This month's Time displays that version of the "map" and is far more accurate representation of the popular vote, vs. your Electoral College map.

Nice catch, host. :thumbsup:

flstf 11-04-2006 08:44 AM

I don't know which party has the voters with the lowest IQ but from the negative campaign commercials I have seen it is apparent that they must think we are all pretty stupid.

jorgelito 11-04-2006 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flstf
I don't know which party has the voters with the lowest IQ but from the negative campaign commercials I have seen it is apparent that they must think we are all pretty stupid.

Wow, that's it right there. Best quote ever. Sums it up nicely.

Really, broad brush labeling is non-constructive: there are obviously brite and stoopid peepel on bof sides.

Elphaba 11-04-2006 10:37 AM

flstf has hit it. jorgelito, isn't "sides" spelt "cides?" :)

_God_ 11-04-2006 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by willravel
I'm "sorry" you "don't" think the data "is" legitimate. I'll "see" if I "can" find another source online"."


The level of discourse above does not indicate an intelligence greater than Bush's.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ratbastid
Easy there. We're not the ones who think Iraq was involved.

Do you think that once OBL is captured, the threat of terrorism is over?
Do you think that al Qaeda has no significant presence in Iraq?

/threadjack

Coincidentally, I had been thinking of how voters will align at the next election.

Specifically:

1. Will illegal aliens vote Republican or Democrat? (What's to prevent them from voting if they can't be asked for ID?

2. Will drug addicts vote Republican or Democrat?

3. Will the unemployed vote Republican or Democrat? (Today's paper reported that unemployment is down to 4.4%. As Dick Cheney said, since the stock market is up, unemployment is down, and gas prices are down, what else does the administration have to do to get any credit for a job well done with the economy?)

4. Will people who have never worked for a living, including third-generation welfare recipients, vote Republican or Democrat?

5. Will single parents on government assistance vote Republican or Democrat?

6. Will people who are taxed to support those who do not work vote Republican or Democrat?

7. Will members of the US military vote Republican or Democrat?

Biased questions? Certainly some will think so. Revealing questions? Likewise.

host 11-04-2006 01:19 PM

There are several charts on pages in the recent State IQ study at the link above the quote box.

If you curiousity is not aroused by the spectacle of a president who repackaged himself from a Connecticut born, silver spoon yankee, a holder of undergraduate and graduate degrees from Yale and Harvard, prepared for university at a presitigious <a href="http://www.andover.edu/about_andover/notable_alums.htm">New England boarding school</a>, into a caricature of a bible belt BA christian, a "southern man", most supporters see as approachable enough to "have a beer with...even though he is not "one of them", doesn't drink beer, and is the most secretive and unapproachable POTUS in modern history.....

.......and is still defended, by those who voted for him, and the troops who serve under him.......and taken at his word, notwithstanding his six year history of distortion and scare tactics, passed off as a "dialogue" between the POTUS and the people, and the spectacle of local support for congressmen and senators, representing the states experiencing the most economic distress, voting for bankruptcy "reform" that hobbles the sick and the many families experiencing home foreclosures and the disappearance of jobs paying decent wages and benefits, then this thread and these study excerpts probably won't interest you.

For the rest of us, there is a need for an explanation for why, Connecticut, for example, a state with the highest national per capita income, and the birthplace of George W. Bush has voted against their "native son" and against a POTUS who lowered and has vowed to keep their taxes lower, and why nearly all of the states with the highest measured average IQ and income, elected representatives to congress that voted against the bankruptcy "reform" bill, and against the tax cutting POTUS, Mr. Bush. Or why, the majority of voters, conversely, in all of the states with lowest income and lowest average IQ.....states with much higher than average, per household foreclosure and bankruptcy voted the opposite way.

http://64.233.161.104/search?q=cache...s&ct=clnk&cd=1
Quote:

Estimating state IQ: Measurement challenges and
preliminary correlates
Michael A. McDaniel
Virginia Commonwealth University, United States
Received 12 March 2006; received in revised form 5 August 2006; accepted 21 August 200


(from page 2: )

Little research has addressed the topic of state
intelligence. An estimate of the intelligence (IQ) of a
state would involve aggregating the IQ of its citizens and
assigning the mean of the individuals' IQ as the state IQ.
Lynn and Vanhanen (2002) estimated the IQ of countries
using data from the average of various measures of
intelligence. Their IQ estimates were criticized because
of concerns about the representativeness of the samples
and the appropriateness of the measures (Barnett &
Williams, 2004; Ervik, 2003; Richards, 2002; Volken,
2003). Thus, any effort to develop an estimate of state IQ
should specifically address the representativeness of the
samples and the appropriateness of the IQ measure. It is
ironic that little research has examined the IQ of states
given that IQ or IQ-related data are collected routinely in
states. For example, college and graduate school
entrance exam data are available by state. Likewise, a
variety of cognitive ability and achievement tests are
collected in primary and secondary schools and are
potentially available. Finally, various tests are normed on
nationally representative samples and their data could be
reported by state.
State IQ can be expected to have correlates with
state-level variables given the correlations between IQ
and other variables when examined at the level of the
individual. For example, IQ is a predictor of productiv-
ity at the individual level (Schmidt & Hunter, 1998),
thus state IQ should predict productivity at the state
level as measured by gross state product. Likewise, IQ
predicts health for individuals (Batty & Deary, 2005;
Hart,Taylor, & Smith, 2005), thus state IQ should
predict state health statistics. IQ also predicts who is
likely to engage in crime (Farrington, 2005; Gordon,
1987), thus state IQ should predict state crime data.
Intelligent individuals tend to evaluate cognitively
complex information more efficiently and accurately,
thus making more informed decisions (Gottfredson,
2004; Hunt, 1995). Thus, state IQ may have correlates
with the effectiveness of government based on decisions
made by elected individuals.


(from page 8: )
3. Discussion
Most of the measures in this study were aggregates of
multiple years of data to reflect the status of states on
average. Consider gross state product. In a given year, a
state may have an unusually low gross state product due to
a natural disaster (e.g., hurricane) or economic conditions
(e.g., oil prices or terrorism leading to reduced tourism)
that affect one state more than another. Data were ag-
gregated across years which served to balance out these
kinds of effects. The reliability data reported are alpha
reliabilities of the variable across years. These reliability
statistics are best interpreted as an indication of the
stability of a variable over time. All the reliabilities were
above 0.88. The median reliability was 0.99. These high
reliabilities indicate that the rank order of the states was
extremely stable across years for any given variable.

3.1. Development and evaluation of a measure of
estimated state IQ
The first goal of this paper was to develop and esti-
mate state IQ and examine the strengths and weakness
of the measure. Reading and math tests are excellent
measures of intelligence (Jensen, 1998). Critics of the...


(from page 9: )

(continued from page 8)....NAEP reading and math data as the basis for an IQ
measure may attempt to raise a distinction between
achievement and intelligence tests. Specifically, the
NAEP reading and math test are academic achievement
tests and some might argue that they are either (1) not
exactly the same as intelligence tests or (2) nothing like
intelligence tests. This is an old debate. Coleman and
Cureton (1954) documented the very substantial overlap
in content between measures labeled achievement and
measures labeled intelligence. Cronbach (1984) noted
that the distinction “is one of point of view, more than
test content” (p. 32). In more recent times, Frey and
Dettermam (2004) have argued that the Scholastic
Assessment Test (SAT) is “mainly a test of g” (p. 273).
Koenig (2006) has made similar arguments for the
American College Test (ACT). Even when one treats
achievement and intelligence tests as distinct forms of
assessment, they are very highly correlated (Deary,
Strand, Smith & Fernandes, in press). Deary et al. (in
press) reviewed the literature and concluded that there is
substantial agreement that intelligence and achievement
are highly correlated. Thus, we offer the state IQ
estimate based on reading and math scores as a
reasonable measure of state IQ. Those who attempt to
define intelligence with less research-based definitions
of intelligence (practical intelligence, successful intelli-
gence, emotional intelligence) may criticize the mea-
sure, but it is clear that the use of reading and math as
measures of general cognitive ability is well supported
by the intelligence literature......


...Substantial research can be conducted to improve
estimates of state IQ and to identify the factors that cause
state IQ differences. Suggestions are presented below for
improving state estimates of IQ and for exploring the
causes of state IQ.
The measure of state IQ used in this study is highly
cognitively loaded, consistent with the traditional view
of IQ as a measure of cognitive capacity. The exploration
of state differences in other conceptualizations of intel-
ligence and in other important individual difference
variables is needed. For example, can the stereotypes
concerning the cordiality of Southerners and the lower
cordiality of residents New York be confirmed by data?
Are residents of Missouri, the “show me” state, more
skeptical than others?
More representative estimates of state IQ could likely
be obtained. For example, many cognitive ability tests
are normed on national samples. Although state data.....

(from page 10: )

(continued from page 9)....from a nationally representative sample are not neces-
sarily representative by state, it may be possible to esti-
mate representative values from such data. To the extent
that estimates of state IQ derived from different data
sources and different construction strategies agree, one
can have greater confidence in the quality and accuracy
of the measure of state IQ.
Research into the causes of state differences in IQ can
be informed by knowledge of the reasons or correlates of
the individual differences in IQ. At the level of indi-
viduals, IQ is clearly a function of both genetics and
environment (Bouchard, 2004). Although the specific
genetic and environmental mechanisms that cause IQ are
relatively unknown, research in these areas is on going. It
is reasonable to suggest that the genetic and environ-
mental factors that cause individual differences in IQ,
will also cause differences in state IQ......

....States might alter state IQ by influencing who lives in
the state. For example, a state might encourage busi-
nesses that rely on highly educated employees to relocate
to their state. States might also increase the selectivity of
their universities so that they attract higher IQ faculty and
students. The influx of higher IQ faculty and their
families would directly impact state IQ. High IQ college
students might be given incentives to stay in the state
after graduation. Although not tied to IQ, the city of
Kalamazoo, Michigan has started to provide free or
reduced college tuition to city residents who are educated
in the public schools (Boudette, 2006). Incentives asso-
ciated with higher education opportunities are likely to
attract families who value education. Such plans may
result in attracting higher IQ individuals to the locality.
Some ethnic groups such as Ashkenazi Jews and some
Asian populations have higher than typical IQs and
states may take steps to make their state appealing to
individuals in these groups. For example, some colleges
make their campuses Jewish-friendly to encourage more
Jewish students with high cognitive skills to attend their
universities (Wiener, 2002).
Some of these strategies (e.g., attracting those with
high IQ to move to the state) might raise the IQ of a state
at the expense of IQ in another state. As such, they may
not be reasonable policies for the nation as a whole.

(from page 11: )
3.3.4. Government effectiveness
States with higher estimated IQ have more effective
government (r=0.34; B=0.46). This may occur because
more intelligent individuals tend to vote for leaders who
can effectively manage and direct large organizations.
Another possibility is that higher IQ states have fewer
problems with respect to health and crime and greater gross
state product....

Willravel 11-04-2006 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
The level of discourse above does not indicate an intelligence greater than Bush's.

Well, then let me say this:

"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me."

That makes me much, much smarter than Bush could ever hope to be.

djtestudo 11-04-2006 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by willravel
Well, then let me say this:

"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me."

That makes me much, much smarter than Bush could ever hope to be.

Not sure what that has to do with the President.

Sounds to me like you are either mocking those who voted for Bush, or the Democrats who couldn't find a competent candidate.

Willravel 11-04-2006 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by djtestudo
Not sure what that has to do with the President.

"There's an old saying in Tennessee — I know it's in Texas, probably in Tennessee — that says, fool me once, shame on — shame on you. Fool me — you can't get fooled again." - President George W. Bush
http://politicalhumor.about.com/libr...a/foolbush.mov
Quote:

Originally Posted by djtestudo
Sounds to me like you are either mocking those who voted for Bush, or the Democrats who couldn't find a competent candidate.

Not "or". "And". I see that the massively corrupt smut machine that is the Republican Party is responsible, and the weak, little Democratic Part was unabnle to present someone who was actually able to make a stand on serious issues and show people why voting Democrat can help. Gore and Kerry were weak speakers and they let themselves be the pawns of their parties and didn't stand up for themselves. Gore could have easily taken a strong stand on the environment during his 2000 campaign. He sure as hell has post 2000. He didn't, and that's part of why he was never sworn in (that, and the massive cheating done in Florida).

ratbastid 11-04-2006 04:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
Do you think that once OBL is captured, the threat of terrorism is over?

No. I don't see what that has to do with what I said, though.

Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
Do you think that al Qaeda has no significant presence in Iraq?

There's currently an organization called "al Qaeda In Iraq". It's unclear what connection they have to al Qaeda outside of Iraq.

Prior to the US invasion, there was no significant al Qaeda presence in Iraq--in fact, Saddam Hussein considered al Qaeda an enemy, and was fighting to keep them OUT of Iraq. Now that the shit has hit the fan there, al Qaeda In Iraq is just one of many terrorist organizations we've engendered and emboldened with our presence.

Now that that's settled: /threadjack.

dksuddeth 11-04-2006 04:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by willravel
Is it possible that the reason Bush got so many votes isn't as dependant on voter fraud, lies and deciet, etc? Is it possible that dumb people just vote for a dumb representative? Is that the brilliant strategy? I find this more frightening than anything....

I would think that this goes along with your life philosophy of people being generally stupid.

Seaver 11-04-2006 05:53 PM

I know I'm just an undergrad... but does no one know how to site sources? Under his works cited section at the end they simply lead to the home sites of various bureaus. They do not lead you to WHERE the information is found so that it is defendable.

Host you can post as many of these as you want, but until I see the data It's bunk as far as I'm concerned.

Charlatan 11-04-2006 06:15 PM

I see no benefit to this discussion.

Given the bell curve mentioned above and the fact that the election was split about 50/50 it is probably safe to say there are just as many low IQ people voting on either side.

In the end who gives a rat's ass.

Stupid is as stupid does or even smart people can vote for bad policy.


(and don't suppose I am taking a side on this... neither side is exempt from bad policy)

host 11-04-2006 07:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seaver
I know I'm just an undergrad... but does no one know how to site sources? Under his works cited section at the end they simply lead to the home sites of various bureaus. They do not lead you to WHERE the information is found so that it is defendable.

Host you can post as many of these as you want, but until I see the data It's bunk as far as I'm concerned.

Not to worry...the link you objected to was just for the convenience of anyone
who wanted to view the entire "work" without loading a .pdf file....

Here's the link if you want to pay to view the study:
Quote:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science...1a57e14a3bac16
Estimating state IQ: Measurement challenges and preliminary correlates

Michael A. McDaniel [a], E-mail The Corresponding Author

Virginia Commonwealth University, United States

Received 12 March 2006; revised 5 August 2006; accepted 21 August 2006. Available online 10 October 2006
....and here it is...in a .pdf file, if you want to view it without charge, on author Michael A. McDaniel's own, Virginia Commonwealth University page:

http://www.people.vcu.edu/~mamcdani/...state%20IQ.pdf

Here is the link to a list of linked sources of Michael A. McDaniel's published papers:
http://www.people.vcu.edu/~mamcdani/...blications.htm


Seaver, there is not, as you are aware, much research on this topic. I appreciate that you are interested enough to ask about the link. Since available research is so limited, I don't yet have an opinion on whether McDaniel is the "best and the brightest" in his field. I'm still attempting to reverse an impression that the subject of comparative US states IQ has been "debunked".

To answer you, Charalatan....I explained what motivates me to post about this subject. I just don't understand how Bush could persuade so many people to vote for him....how he kept up any pretense of who he pretended to be....
a southern, "man of the people", after he took office, and even whether he is competent, or deliberately portrayed as incompetent....now.....this far into his presidency. Also....what is up with droves of comparatively poor, white, lower income, less educated, primarily southerners, with high bankruptcy and home foreclosure rates, lacking health benefits more often on average, than higher income northerners....voting for republican congressional representatives, and for Bush. Is it simply because of religious and racial worldview, with a healthy dose of anti democractic party propaganda....or is it because of ???????

More to pounder.....
Quote:

http://www.people.fas.harvard.edu/~h...HillygusPB.pdf
THE MISSING LINK: Exploring the
Relationship Between Higher Education
and Political Engagement
1
D. Sunshine Hillygus

(from page 30: )
In other words, intelligence, rather than education, is the more important
determinant of political sophistication. And political sophistication in turn
engenders political participation. Hess and Torney (1967) similarly find in a
study of elementary age children that more intelligent children of all socio-
economic classes were more likely to discuss, read about, and participate in
political activities than were less intelligent children. Neuman (1986, p. 261)
concludes that ‘‘the evidence supports the idea of an independent cognitive
effect’’ as part of the proved link between socioeconomic status and political
participation.
The determination of average adult IQ in a given country seems a much more daunting task than determining a reliable IQ average of folks of voting age in a given US state.....yet it is being seriously attempted by academic researchers:

Quote:

http://www.iapsych.com/articles/dickerson2006ip.pdf

Exponential correlation of IQ and the wealth of nations
Richard E. Dickerson
Molecular Biology Institute, Boyer Hall, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1570, USA
Received 24 January 2005; received in revised form 11 July 2005; accepted 18 September 2005

Willravel 11-04-2006 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dksuddeth
I would think that this goes along with your life philosophy of people being generally stupid.

Everyone is stupid. It's something to work on.

roachboy 11-04-2006 08:05 PM

i am confused.
i am not persuaded that this direction in analysis says anything that is useful.
i do not have a particular problem with the study and its methods, but i am not sure that its design is terribly informative or explanatory.

maybe this is a function of my affection for the kinds of analysis i have been indulging concerning contemporary american conservatism since the late 1980s. this is the possibility that has me confused, truth be known.

from the outset i have been more interested in the structure of conservative discourse and have been thinking alot about how it functions, what it does and why it appeals to folk.

the discursive framework is pretty tight, and thinking about it strips alot of the interest out of reading most conservative responses to issues simply because you can pretty much derive them before anyone says anything.

those which are initially a surprise can be generally explained by looking at adjustments made by the media apparatus.

i dont think the appeal of conservative discourse is a function of people being stupid. i think it is something else--maybe a response to globalizing capitalism in a way--shifting to the frames of the nation and of the will is a way to enable folk to imagine that the categories that enable them to locate themselves socially still function, even though they are being eroded by the reorganization of capitalism.

maybe to some extent you could map one way of thinking about this onto the other, and conclude that folk who are in the most exposed class position are the most likely to avail themselves of a discourse that enables them to deny what is obviously the case--that the organization of the economic model they rely on to eat (say) is changing and that they are or will soon become the second great canary in the mineshaft insofar as consequences are concerned.

this would line up contemporary american conservatism with a long tradition of radical nationalist ideologies that speak to the sense of being-exposed of the petit bourgeois in part by enabling them to cope via denial, by retreating into a fantasy of a pure nation that has somehow or another been betrayed or is under some Threat from a curiously amorphous Enemy.

if this study speaks to anything for me at least, it is an index of the extent to which one of the features of contemporary america that really freaks me out (and i use this term with some rigor): that the system of social reproduction has not been able to catch up to changes in the labor market at all, and that it continues to produce and reproduce an outmoded labor pool. this would be a direct reflection of the rigid class structure of american public education--a subject about which the right has nothing coherent to say, really--all they have ever proposed is a system that would privatize class stratification in order to erase the problem as political. the same dysfunction would continue--in fact they would become worse--but the question itself would be shifted away from politics. if i am right, however, and the system of social reproduction is radically out of phase with contemporary reality and cannot be adjusted with any speed to a shifting reality, i would say that the we are maybe in one of the more benign periods of the gradual implosion of the united states.
this last bit actually connects to the methodology of the study in that sat/act scores are more a measure of class position than intelligence.
whence the underlying suspicion about the study: does it naturalize class disparities? does it conflate the effects of a radically stratified educational system with "natural abilities"?

filtherton 11-04-2006 09:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
Coincidentally, I had been thinking of how voters will align at the next election.

Specifically:

1. Will illegal aliens vote Republican or Democrat? (What's to prevent them from voting if they can't be asked for ID?

I don't know, isn't bush the one who favors some sort of amnesty for teh illegals?

Quote:

2. Will drug addicts vote Republican or Democrat?
I don't know, how do you think rush limbaugh will vote?

Quote:

3. Will the unemployed vote Republican or Democrat? (Today's paper reported that unemployment is down to 4.4%. As Dick Cheney said, since the stock market is up, unemployment is down, and gas prices are down, what else does the administration have to do to get any credit for a job well done with the economy?)
Good question. I guess they should start taking credit for an improving economy if they start acknowledging that they were responsible for it going down the tubes as well. Only a fool would give them credit for the good times without blaming them for the bad times.

Quote:

4. Will people who have never worked for a living, including third-generation welfare recipients, vote Republican or Democrat?
Depends on if you're talking about rich people who have never worked for a living or poor people who have never worked for a living.

Quote:

5. Will single parents on government assistance vote Republican or Democrat?
Well, since apparently being a single parent is frowned upon by the republican party, not to mention the idea that even poor children need to eat, i'd guess they'd probably vote democrat.

Quote:

6. Will people who are taxed to support those who do not work vote Republican or Democrat?
That's a good question too. We all pay taxes and the polls seem to indicated that republicans are going to take a hit this election, so i guess there's your answer.

Quote:

7. Will members of the US military vote Republican or Democrat?
It probably depends on how much they believe that we're doing the right thing in iraq. I imagine a large portion of the military doesn't really care much for the republican party's broad support for donny rumsfeld.

Quote:

Biased questions? Certainly some will think so. Revealing questions? Likewise.
I think that they reveal more about you than any sort of objective reality.

Willravel 11-04-2006 09:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
1. Will...

Yes?
Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
2. Will

What?
Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
3. Will

What?!
Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
4. Will

WHAT?
Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
5. Will

WHAT DO YOU WANT!!?!?
Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
6. Will

OH GOD, WHAT?!!!
Quote:

Originally Posted by _God_
7. Will

*in the corner in the fetal position*

Seaver 11-04-2006 11:01 PM

I think we hit on a powerful point with your McDaniel link Host, on Page 4 he states:

Quote:

... States with higher estimate state IQ have a smaller proportion of Black, Hispanic, and Asian residents, larger expenditure per student and smaller class sizes.
Sorry, but there are very few blacks or hispanics in the majority of states touted to prove the superior intelligence of blue states. While California has it's share, there are very few blacks or hispanics in Connetticut.

States like Florida, Arizona, New Mexico, California, and my homestate of Texas are forced to face problems which Northern states would never imagine. I doubt there are people in New Hampshire who do not speak a word of English, and are effectively illitterate, and are forced onto a High School and then handed standardized tests. I doubt Mass. has to spend upwards of an 8th of their budget on English as a Second Language.

So can we end this and say that both sides that toute this line are baseless?

host 11-04-2006 11:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by roachboy
.....the discursive framework is pretty tight, and thinking about it strips alot of the interest out of reading most conservative responses to issues simply because you can pretty much derive them before anyone says anything.

those which are initially a surprise can be generally explained by looking at adjustments made by the media apparatus.

i dont think the appeal of conservative discourse is a function of people being stupid. i think it is something else--maybe a response to globalizing capitalism in a way--shifting to the frames of the nation and of the will is a way to enable folk to imagine that the categories that enable them to locate themselves socially still function, even though they are being eroded by the reorganization of capitalism.

maybe to some extent you could map one way of thinking about this onto the other, and conclude that folk who are in the most exposed class position are the most likely to avail themselves of a discourse that enables them to deny what is obviously the case--that the organization of the economic model they rely on to eat (say) is changing and that they are or will soon become the second great canary in the mineshaft insofar as consequences are concerned.

this would line up contemporary american conservatism with a long tradition of radical nationalist ideologies that speak to the sense of being-exposed of the petit bourgeois in part by enabling them to cope via denial, by retreating into a fantasy of a pure nation that has somehow or another been betrayed or is under some Threat from a curiously amorphous Enemy.

if this study speaks to anything for me at least, it is an index of the extent to which one of the features of contemporary america that really freaks me out (and i use this term with some rigor): that the system of social reproduction has not been able to catch up to changes in the labor market at all, and that it continues to produce and reproduce an outmoded labor pool. this would be a direct reflection of the rigid class structure of american public education--a subject about which the right has nothing coherent to say, really--all they have ever proposed is a system that would privatize class stratification in order to erase the problem as political......

The ideas and research that I'm posting on this thread, may not be that far apart from what I think that you were getting at in your last post, rb.

We perceive that our political system, economic system, and our US society is out of whack, i.e., behaving irrationally, compared to our individual POV:

This seems to be an obvious symptom, but to what degree am I handicapped by it, as well?:
Quote:

http://tip.psychology.org/festinge.html
.....Scope/Application:

Dissonance theory applies to all situations involving attitude formation and change. It is especially relevant to decision-making and problem-solving.

Example:

Consider someone who buys an expensive car but discovers that it is not comfortable on long drives. Dissonance exists between their beliefs that they have bought a good car and that a good car should be comfortable. Dissonance could be eliminated by deciding that it does not matter since the car is mainly used for short trips (reducing the importance of the dissonant belief) or focusing on the cars strengths such as safety, appearance, handling (thereby adding more consonant beliefs). The dissonance could also be eliminated by getting rid of the car, but this behavior is a lot harder to achieve than changing beliefs.

Principles:

1. Dissonance results when an individual must choose between attitudes and behaviors that are contradictory.

2. Dissonance can be eliminated by reducing the importance of the conflicting beliefs, acquiring new beliefs that change the balance, or removing the conflicting attitude or behavior.
Quote:

http://conjecturesandrefutations.net/weblog/?p=44
Speaking of Cognitive Dissonance
by Matt McIntosh

This is just too funny not to point out. Amanda Schaffer sets out to attack Evolutionary PsychologyTM (in what is more or less a rehash of David Buller’s criticisms); she reveals her motivation by attacking EP on the grounds that it allegedly supports sexist conclusions. But in the process, she inadvertantly backs into a position that I don’t think she really considered the consequences of:

<b>New research suggests that evolutionary change can occur much faster than was previously believed.</b> Natural selection is thought to effect rapid change especially when a species’ environment is in flux—precisely the situation in the last 10,000 years as humans learned to farm, domesticate animals, and live in larger communal groups.

What’s so odd and amusing about this? Well, the fact that in her zeal to fight what she percieves as sexist pseudo-science, she stumbles into agreement with paleocon extraordinaire and mister Human Biodiversity himself, Steve Sailer, of all people:

Evolutionary Psychology™ has a quasi-Creationist tendency to assume that human evolution miraculously came to an end with the invention of agriculture. In truth, it probably sped up at that point as conditions leading to survival or death changed radically. <b>To take one obvious example, people whose recent ancestors didn’t know how to make alcohol, such as Eskimos, most American Indians, and Australian aborigines, have a much harder time dealing with alcohol today than do people descended from a long line of imbibing Eurasian farmers.</b> And among those, Mediterranean peoples such as Italians and Jews are much less likely to be ravaged by alcoholism than are Northern Europeans who didn’t have access to wine until recently.

For those unfamiliar with the debate, Sailer has often been reviled as a racist for pointing out that it’s very likely that evolution has led geographically dispersed populations to evolve apart over the last 10,000 years, not only causing them to have physical differences but also mental ones. Speaking of which, we now hit the other plank of Schaffer’s accidental agreement with Sailer:

[T]he central, underlying assumption of EP—that humans have hundreds or thousands of mental problem-solving organs produced by natural selection—is questionable. Many cognitive scientists believe that such modules exist for processing sensory information and for acquiring language. It does not follow, however, that there are a plethora of other ones specifically designed for tasks like detecting cheaters. In fact, considering how much dramatic change our forebears faced, it makes more sense that their problem-solving faculties would have evolved to be flexible in response to their immediate surroundings. … Indeed, our mental flexibility, or cortical plasticity, may be evolution’s greatest gift....
Quote:

http://web.archive.org/web/200503110..._10_21_04.html
<a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20050305140429/www.pipa.org/OnlineReports/Pres_Election_04/Report10_21_04.pdf">The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters - October 21, 2004</a>

Bush Supporters Still Believe Iraq Had WMD or Major Program,
Supported al Qaeda

Agree with Kerry Supporters Bush Administration Still Saying This is the Case

Agree US Should Not Have Gone to War if No WMD or Support for al Qaeda

Bush Supporters Misperceive World Public as Not Opposed to Iraq War,
Favoring Bush Reelection

Even after the final report of Charles Duelfer to Congress saying that Iraq did not have a significant WMD program, 72% of Bush supporters continue to believe that Iraq had actual WMD (47%) or a major program for developing them (25%). Fifty-six percent assume that most experts believe Iraq had actual WMD and 57% also assume, incorrectly, that Duelfer concluded Iraq had at least a major WMD program. Kerry supporters hold opposite beliefs on all these points.

Similarly, 75% of Bush supporters continue to believe that Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda, and 63% believe that clear evidence of this support has been found. Sixty percent of Bush supporters assume that this is also the conclusion of most experts, and 55% assume, incorrectly, that this was the conclusion of the 9/11 Commission. Here again, large majorities of Kerry supporters have exactly opposite perceptions.

These are some of the findings of a new study of the differing perceptions of Bush and Kerry supporters, conducted by the Program on International Policy Attitudes and Knowledge Networks, based on polls conducted in September and October.

Steven Kull, director of PIPA, comments, "One of the reasons that Bush supporters have these beliefs is that they perceive the Bush administration confirming them. Interestingly, this is one point on which Bush and Kerry supporters agree." Eighty-two percent of Bush supporters perceive the Bush administration as saying that Iraq had WMD (63%) or that Iraq had a major WMD program (19%). Likewise, 75% say that the Bush administration is saying Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda. Equally large majorities of Kerry supporters hear the Bush administration expressing these views--73% say the Bush administration is saying Iraq had WMD (11% a major program) and 74% that Iraq was substantially supporting al Qaeda.

Steven Kull adds, "Another reason that Bush supporters may hold to these beliefs is that they have not accepted the idea that it does not matter whether Iraq had WMD or supported al Qaeda. Here too they are in agreement with Kerry supporters." Asked whether the US should have gone to war with Iraq if US intelligence had concluded that Iraq was not making WMD or providing support to al Qaeda, 58% of Bush supporters said the US should not have, and 61% assume that in this case the President would not have. Kull continues, "To support the president and to accept that he took the US to war based on mistaken assumptions likely creates substantial cognitive dissonance, and leads Bush supporters to suppress awareness of unsettling information about prewar Iraq."

<< RESUME READING >>

This tendency of Bush supporters to ignore dissonant information extends to other realms as well. Despite an abundance of evidence--including polls conducted by Gallup International in 38 countries, and more recently by a consortium of leading newspapers in 10 major countries--only 31% of Bush supporters recognize that the majority of people in the world oppose the US having gone to war with Iraq. Forty-two percent assume that views are evenly divided, and 26% assume that the majority approves. Among Kerry supporters, 74% assume that the majority of the world is opposed.

Similarly, 57% of Bush supporters assume that the majority of people in the world would favor Bush's reelection; 33% assumed that views are evenly divided and only 9% assumed that Kerry would be preferred. A recent poll by GlobeScan and PIPA of 35 of the major countries around the world found that in 30, a majority or plurality favored Kerry, while in just 3 Bush was favored. On average, Kerry was preferred more than two to one.

Bush supporters also have numerous misperceptions about Bush's international policy positions. Majorities incorrectly assume that Bush supports multilateral approaches to various international issues--the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (69%), the treaty banning land mines (72%)--and for addressing the problem of global warming: 51% incorrectly assume he favors US participation in the Kyoto treaty. After he denounced the International Criminal Court in the debates, the perception that he favored it dropped from 66%, but still 53% continue to believe that he favors it. An overwhelming 74% incorrectly assumes that he favors including labor and environmental standards in trade agreements. In all these cases, majorities of Bush supporters favor the positions they impute to Bush. Kerry supporters are much more accurate in their perceptions of his positions on these issues.

"The roots of the Bush supporters' resistance to information," according to Steven Kull, "very likely lie in the traumatic experience of 9/11 and equally in the near pitch-perfect leadership that President Bush showed in its immediate wake. This appears to have created a powerful bond between Bush and his supporters--and an idealized image of the President that makes it difficult for his supporters to imagine that he could have made incorrect judgments before the war, that world public opinion could be critical of his policies or that the President could hold foreign policy positions that are at odds with his supporters."

The polls were conducted October 12-18 and September 3-7 and 8-12 with samples of 968, 798 and 959 respondents, respectively. Margins of error were 3.2 to 4% in the first and third surveys and 3.5% on September 3-7. The poll was fielded by Knowledge Networks using its nationwide panel, which is randomly selected from the entire adult population and subsequently provided internet access. For more information about this methodology, go to www.knowledgenetworks.com/ganp.
Indeed....<a href="http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/showthread.php?t=110290">a new thread</a> that I started on this forum. less than 24 hours ago, has links to two new Bush administration disinformation stories anout WMD, fully two years after the preceding quotebox of the PIPA survey......they've been doing this, over and over....for five full years since 9/11, and variants of it....since the late 90's to install Bush as POTUS, in the first place. All along, the "faithful" have fallen away....but support ("belief"), seems suspended for about a year, within five percentage points of the current level.

It seems ominous that support for Bush and congressional republicans remains so high....more than half the US military KIA in Iraq have been since the PIPA survey was published in Oct., 2004...


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