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-   -   Yikes !!! (https://thetfp.com/tfp/general-discussion/65513-yikes.html)

DDDDave 08-11-2004 08:59 AM

Yikes !!!
 
Man, this is not what we like to see.

Gotta get my boat out of the water, test my generator, start making plans...

http://image.weather.com/images/maps...ke_720x486.jpg

Cowman 08-11-2004 09:01 AM

Sorry, im stupid and can't read that. I assume its some sort of weather pattern thats going to hit the seaboard there, but what is it? Lightning? Tidal wave? hehe

stonegrody 08-11-2004 09:06 AM

Hurricane?

maleficent 08-11-2004 09:10 AM

Hopefully by the time it reaches Sarasota, it'll have blown itself out.. or blown out to sea...

Cynthetiq 08-11-2004 09:13 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by maleficent
Hopefully by the time it reaches Sarasota, it'll have blown itself out.. or blown out to sea...
mmm... Sarasota...

I got married just off of Long Boat Key...

lurkette 08-11-2004 09:13 AM

Looks like rain for us this weekend. At least by the time it hits NC it will (presumably) have lost most of its steam from being over land for a few days.

DDDDave 08-11-2004 09:45 AM

This is projected path of what is currently Tropical Storm, soon to be Hurricane, Charley for the next four days from the National Hurricane Center. This the worst possible track for a tropical event. It will skirt the shore all the way up the coast. The left turning low forces the water ahead of itself into the northeast quadrant of a tropical storm/hurricane. This could mean 'storm surges' of 7 to 10 FEET ahead of the storm. This will flood massive areas of coastal Florida. I don't want to get too alarmed, but I think this will be real thing. Only question is the exact track of the 100mph plus eye.

analog 08-11-2004 11:39 AM

no way. i've lived in central florida for almost 11 years now. with it starting that far west, it'll catch the gulf stream and be blown straight north, barely touching us in florida. you'll see.

DDDDave 08-12-2004 04:57 AM

Sorry analog, I've lived on the southwest coast for 45 years. Been through many, many tropical storms and hurricanes. This is the real thing.

Latest storm tracking predicts landfall somewhere between Sarasota and Cedar Key on Friday late afternoon. The storm staying west of us is almost as bad as a direct hit. The storm surge event will cause massive flooding. The barrier islands will be completely under water.

With the storm track almost matching the coastline it is almost impossible to predict exact landfall. But the NE quadrant of the storm is where the storm surge is so any landfall to the north is not good news for me. My sister lives on Bayshore Blvd. in Tampa. They could get a 6' storm surge very easily. The water is forced up into the bays and creeks making the flooding worse than on the barrier islands.

Wish me luck.

whocarz 08-12-2004 08:44 PM

I always found it strange that people live in places where natural disasters happen regularly.

DelayedReaction 08-12-2004 09:08 PM

Awe crap. I gotta fly THROUGH that on Saturday!

On the plus side I'll be enjoying a post-storm calm in the Carribean all week. So good timing!

DDDDave 08-13-2004 05:31 AM

Man, oh man. Here it comes. Forecast to be Category 3', 115+mph winds. They are talking about a 10-12 foot storm surge with 5 to 6 foot seas on top of that in downtown Tampa. That is almost beyond comprehension.

Quote:

Originally posted by whocarz
I always found it strange that people live in places where natural disasters happen regularly.
Yeah, like blizzards, avalanches and mudslides.... It's called weather. The last hurricane to hit Tampa was 1921. I'd rather have three days warning and the ability to evacuate if I wanted to than to have a tornado pop up in an hour or an earthquake hit instantaneously.


I can't believe all the people who are leaving their boats at my marina. Double and triple lines are not going to do any good when the tops of the pilings are four feet underwater.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/radar/images...byx/latest.gif

Sp0rAdiC 08-13-2004 05:49 AM

Hmm... I'm flying into Wilmington, NC Saturday afternoon... I hope my flight doesn't get delayed too much, and I got a beach house for two weeks on the southern coast of NC... lets hope it survives!

Averett 08-13-2004 05:54 AM

Are you staying DDDDave? Or are you getting out? Either way, stay safe!

jwoody 08-13-2004 06:13 AM

This explains why there are so many 'buy-a-cheap-house-on-the-Florida-coast' type programs on British TV.

sherpahigh 08-13-2004 07:57 AM

As much as I hate Tampa from stealing the cup from us here in Calgary I wouldn't wish a hurricane on them. Sounds like it's going to be some kinda storm.

Good luck with everything there. Stay safe.

DDDDave 08-13-2004 08:05 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Sp0rAdiC
Hmm... I'm flying into Wilmington, NC Saturday afternoon... I hope my flight doesn't get delayed too much, and I got a beach house for two weeks on the southern coast of NC... lets hope it survives!
Sporadic, you need to call your airline. They generally close airports when winds reach 35+mph. The storm is predicted to be in Southern NC on Saturday noon.



Quote:

Originally posted by jwoody
This explains why there are so many 'buy-a-cheap-house-on-the-Florida-coast' type programs on British TV.
I predict there will be a lot more vacant land on the barrier islands by this time next week. :)



Averett, thanks. We will be riding it out. We are not in a mandatory evacuation area. We are about 2.5 miles inland so should not be affected by the storm surge part of the storm.
We used to have a house directly on the Gulf on Siesta Key. We left for Tropical Storm Keith in 1989. When we went back, the road to our house was buried in sand four feet deep.
I'm not complaining tho. Price you pay to live in paradise, I guess. We had a helluva hurricane party last night. :) :)

Scorps 08-13-2004 08:37 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Cowman
Sorry, I'm stupid and can't read that. I assume its some sort of weather pattern thats going to hit the seaboard there, but what is it? Lightning? Tidal wave? hehe

Quote:

Originally posted by stonegrody
Hurricane?
Yes a Hurricane..I live In Canada and I know what that is....I watch to much American news:D

Holo 08-13-2004 10:26 AM

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/radar/latest.../si.ktbw.shtml


Looks to be hitting Ft. Myers now. Looks like Tampa and Pinellas will just get tropical storm force winds...


unless it turns again

maleficent 08-13-2004 11:26 AM

Weather.com just mentioned that Charley's been upgraded to a Category 4 - -you might want to rethink that riding out the storm thing...

kutulu 08-13-2004 11:33 AM

I hear they are getting 145+ mph winds!

maleficent 08-13-2004 11:39 AM

Hurricane Charley
Charley is a dangerous Category 4 Hurricane
3:33 P.M. ET Fri.,Aug.13,2004
M. Ressler, Senior Meteorologist, The Weather Channel


After hitting western Cuba with wind gusts up to 124 mph and brushing by to the west of Key West with gusts nearing 60 mph at the airport, extremely dangerous Hurricane Charley, now a major category-4 storm with 145 mph winds, takes aim on the Gulf side of the Florida Peninsula. Charley is coming ashore between Tampa and Fort Myers. Destructive winds, high storm surge and torrential rains will all contribute to extreme tree, power line and structural damage along with widespread flooding over the western side of the peninsula especially along the northeast quadrant of its track.

Most of the Florida Peninsula is already soggy with August rainfall over the first 12 days 1 to 8 inches above average. Charley will head inland toward coastal Georgia overnight, gradually weakening. Charley will still produce damaging hurricane-force winds and torrential flooding rain across northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Over the weekend, a weakening Charley will cause flooding up the East Coast as it rapidly zips northward.

East of its track, the threat for tornadoes will be high. In the
central and eastern Atlantic, two tropical disturbances have potential for development as the 2004 hurricane season moves into high gear. In fact, the one just to the south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands has become Tropical Depression Four and will head west to west-northwest across the open Atlantic, slowly but steadily increasing.
<hr>
... and people want to live in Florida, why? The sense of adventure?

DDDDave 08-13-2004 11:46 AM

Looks like landfall at Useppa Island. That is just south of Boca Grande. That is about 45 miles south of me.
Worst is still to come. But I think we missed the eye.

Gotta ride it out now. Nowhere else to go now.

MSD 08-13-2004 11:53 AM

in #tfp:

[14:51] analog_hurricane_party> well ladies and gentlemen, it's starting to look like doomsday outside, so I must now take my leave of all things electronic

Holo 08-13-2004 04:09 PM

see ya Charley....have fun at Disney world.


http://www.crh.noaa.gov/radar/latest.../si.ktbw.shtml

It's still Cat 3 @ 115 Mph and looks ready to rip thru Orlando.

DDDDave 08-13-2004 05:41 PM

Whew. We made it fine but the folks just a half hour south got hammered. Some massive destruction up the center of the state too.

Hang on tight you guys in Orlando and on the east coast.

Scorps 08-13-2004 06:02 PM

Charley is going to kick a lot of ass...they think it is going to hit all the way up to Canada, didn't even think a Hurricane could live that long on ground:eek::eek:


I live out of its path but they say we are doing to get the rain....I hate rain, only when I have to work!

sailor 08-13-2004 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by lurkette
Looks like rain for us this weekend. At least by the time it hits NC it will (presumably) have lost most of its steam from being over land for a few days.
No shit. I was supposed to be in Raleigh moving my brother into school. That just got cancelled :(

QuasiMojo 08-13-2004 06:29 PM

Wouldn't it have been good if this ONE~TWO punch would've been called Bonnie and CLYDE?

QuasiMojo 08-13-2004 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by QuasiMojo
Wouldn't it have been good if this ONE~TWO punch would've been called Bonnie and CLYDE?

*ah afterthoughts

Not that hurricanes are good.

btw
i got wiped out in hurricane agnes in '72.
i was but a child......................................

Scorps 08-13-2004 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by QuasiMojo
Wouldn't it have been good if this ONE~TWO punch would've been called Bonnie and CLYDE?

*ah afterthoughts

If it happened by mistake that would be very weird.


Also why did they name this on after a guy..I though Hurricanes always have female names?

k1ng 08-13-2004 07:31 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Pain Train
If it happened by mistake that would be very weird.


Also why did they name this on after a guy..I though Hurricanes always have female names?

They alternate between male and female names. The next one will be named Danielle, then Earl, then Frances, and then Gaston, etc..

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml for a complete list of names.

thubpt 08-13-2004 07:36 PM

Is this thing still supposed to be affecting central NC? We had some tornado warnings earlier here in Orange County, but other than that, I've just seen a bit of rain. What's the haps?


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