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Old 11-21-2005, 05:55 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Safest and Unsafest cities

Two O.C. cities ranked among 10 safest
Quote:
By MONICA ROHR
The Orange County Register
Mission Viejo was designated the fourth-safest city in America for the second year in a row, according to a survey to be released today that ranks the country's safest and most dangerous cities.

This is the eighth year in a row that Mission Viejo was among the top 10 safest cities with populations of at least 75,000, in the annual City Crime Rankings by Morgan Quintno Press, a Kansas research and publishing firm.

"I'm really proud we've been able to hold on to one of the safest-city positions," said Mission Viejo Mayor Trish Kelley. "I'm proud of our Sheriff's Department and police services in Mission Viejo. The ranking goes nice with our being a community of character."

Lake Forest was the ninth-safest city on this year's list, down three places from its sixth-place ranking last year.

"It's a cooperative effort," said Lt. Jay LeFlore, Chief of Police Services in Lake Forest. "The city makes law enforcement a priority and we provide good quality service. I'm proud to be a part of that."

Irvine was ranked the 13th-safest city on this year's list.

Last year, an analysis by The Orange County Register of 2004 preliminary crime statistics compiled by the FBI showed Irvine, with only two homicides in 2004, to be the safest city in the United States in terms of violent crime.

The Morgan Quintno survey evaluates nearly 700 cities and metro areas based on six basic crime categories: homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary and motor vehicle theft.
Quote:
Top 10 Safest Cities
1. Newton, Mass.
2. Clarkstown, N.Y.
3. Amherst, N.Y.
4. Mission Viejo, CA
5. Brick Township, N.J.
6. Troy, Mich.
7. Thousand Oaks CA
8. Round Rock, Texas
9. Lake Forest, CA
10. Cary, N.C.
Quote:
Top 10 Least Safe Cities

1. Camden, N.J.
2. Detroit
3. St. Louis
4. Flint, Mich.
5. Richmond, Va.
6. Baltimore
7. Atlanta
8. New Orleans
9. Gary, Ind.
10. Birmingham, Ala.
Who's living in the safest cities? Do you agree? how about the unsafest cities? Does having this information make you want to move to or move away from any of these cities.
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Old 11-21-2005, 06:22 AM   #2 (permalink)
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I'd be curious to see the actual crime stats from both groups of cities. WIthout them It's hard to guage what "safe" is. How close and far apart are they?

Mal: Your link asks for a registration. Is there another source I can go to?

I know that crime happens in my city (Toronto), but I feel safe enough that I can walk through any neighbourhood at anytime. This is because I believe most crimes happen amongst those who know each other, and the odds are in my favour. Call me naive if you will, but I would never trade the bustle and diversity of my town for a gated community and a 1.5 hour commute.
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Old 11-21-2005, 06:26 AM   #3 (permalink)
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We're #6! We're #6!

Hey, in Baltimore you have to find SOMETHING to be proud of...
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Old 11-21-2005, 06:27 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fresnelly

Mal: Your link asks for a registration. Is there another source I can go to?
I posted the entire story... but if you go to google news.. and search on 10 safest cities... you'll get back a ton of links to this subject - this was the first story that listed the top ten in safest and unsafest cities.
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Old 11-21-2005, 06:29 AM   #5 (permalink)
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I'd also like to see other stats about those cities (population differences, income strata, etc.). I think it would be very telling.

I'd also like to know what is meant by "safe".


I too live in Toronto. I grew up in some of the roughest neighbourhoods in the city and yet never felt unsafe.

I don't live too far from Fresnelly and have the same take. There are few places that I wouldn't feel safe in this city.
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Old 11-21-2005, 06:38 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Charlatan
I'd also like to know what is meant by "safe".
.
Quote:
The Morgan Quintno survey evaluates nearly 700 cities and metro areas based on six basic crime categories: homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary and motor vehicle theft.


For the top city on the list... Newton Mass - here are the stats...
http://newtonma.areaconnect.com/statistics.htm

Vs Baltimore
http://baltimore.areaconnect.com/statistics.htm

Those are population statistics... there are income statistics as well - that i'll get eventually..
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Old 11-21-2005, 06:43 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Cary, NC is #10 safest, and I can concur. Nothing too scary in that overgrown suburb and strip-mall factory. The joke around here is that CARY is an acronym: Containment Area for Retired Yankees.

Where's Salt Lake City, where I grew up? That's one SAFE town.
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Old 11-21-2005, 08:02 AM   #8 (permalink)
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I'm surprised some of those north jersey cities like Patterson and East Orange didn't make the dangerous list. Those are the places that give NJ a bad name. I'm not sure if they've cleaned them up any since I moved away for college, but those were some scary places to drive through.
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Old 11-21-2005, 08:21 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ratbastid
Where's Salt Lake City, where I grew up? That's one SAFE town.
Undoubtedly on the list of safe large cities (with populations of ~150k+) or more. San Jose (my home town) is such a city - with close a million residents.

And yes, I'm too lazy to look up that info for you all. Paging Redlemon...

Last edited by Coppertop; 11-21-2005 at 08:24 AM..
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Old 11-21-2005, 08:26 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coppertop
Undoubtedly on the list of safe large cities (with populations of ~150k+) or more. San Jose (my home town) is such a city - with close a million residents.

And yes, I'm too lazy to look up that info for you all. Paging Redlemon...
Sorry, statistics make my eyes cross. You are on your own.

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Old 11-21-2005, 08:54 AM   #11 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Charlatan
I'd also like to see other stats about those cities (population differences, income strata, etc.). I think it would be very telling.

I'd also like to know what is meant by "safe".


I too live in Toronto. I grew up in some of the roughest neighbourhoods in the city and yet never felt unsafe.

I don't live too far from Fresnelly and have the same take. There are few places that I wouldn't feel safe in this city.

Ditto on the safety sentiment for me here in Toronto. Although with the recent gun violence, and a murder toll that has already reached 70 people this year alone, there is a sense of anxiety that the sky is falling.

Just last night my neigbour witnessed a fight between to people at the Woodbine/Danforth PetroCan station (i guess they were suffering from gas pump rage) one of them shouted that he had a gun in the car, and was going to get it. My neighbour had not yet started to pump gas, but she drove out as fast as she could, her gas cap still on top of the car. She came home, and right away called the police to report the car/licence# and description of the guy. She was very upset, and her kids were crying too.
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Old 11-21-2005, 10:35 AM   #12 (permalink)
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I dunno how St. Louis is so high on the unsafe side. Unless they include East St. Louis (actually in Illinois), I dunno how that can be. Either way, I live in the suburbs of St. Louis, not the downtown area which would probably have the higher crime rate.
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Old 11-21-2005, 10:52 AM   #13 (permalink)
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Ratbastid,
Utah does not publish ANY of thier statistics. Not to the federal government, not to any one. Not crime, not divorce, not anything that could reflect badly on the mormons. (Or atleast that is my understanding, coming from all of the mormons i have talked to, these things are kept very hush-hush.)
The only numbers i could find were from organizations such as http://www.disastercenter.com/crime/utcrime.htm
I do not know how reliable this info is, however.
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Old 11-21-2005, 04:05 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leto
Ditto on the safety sentiment for me here in Toronto. Although with the recent gun violence, and a murder toll that has already reached 70 people this year alone, there is a sense of anxiety that the sky is falling.
*shrug* - we've had what, 70 killings this year virtually everyone of them one little gangster shooting another or acts of domestic violence.

IMO, the average person has (virtually) diddly squat to fear as regards getting gunned down in T.O. - it's a rarity.
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Old 11-21-2005, 04:13 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soccerchamp76
I dunno how St. Louis is so high on the unsafe side. Unless they include East St. Louis (actually in Illinois), I dunno how that can be. Either way, I live in the suburbs of St. Louis, not the downtown area which would probably have the higher crime rate.
Thats like saying you live outside Detroit

Oh and I see Detroit is the #2 city, go figure.
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Old 11-21-2005, 04:47 PM   #16 (permalink)
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Yeah #3! They're talking about the city, not the suburbs. I can see where the crime comes from, mostly north of the city. The area just north of me is quite high crime. Probably the worst part is the burglary. Just two months after I moved here, my bike was stolen out of the basement. My friend's car has been broken into already. Not the most pleasant city.
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Old 11-21-2005, 05:42 PM   #17 (permalink)
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I'm glad to see Chicago NOT make the top 10 unsafe cities.

Gary, IN is a depressing city. Driving through it makes you realize that here is a city society has forgotten.
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Old 11-21-2005, 09:36 PM   #18 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ratbastid
Where's Salt Lake City, where I grew up? That's one SAFE town.
Maybe... but you pay for it by having to live among such a high number of Mormons. It's worse than being in the "bible belt", man.
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Old 11-21-2005, 10:08 PM   #19 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JumpinJesus
I'm glad to see Chicago NOT make the top 10 unsafe cities.

Gary, IN is a depressing city. Driving through it makes you realize that here is a city society has forgotten.
I've been to Gary, but I think Flint is worse. I've never seen a city that had such an air of desperation as Flint. How Detroit ranks ahead of Flint is beyond me.

Also suprising is how Troy ended up on the safest list. It's not bad, but the country must be much more dangerous than I thought if Troy is one of the safest cities.
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Old 11-22-2005, 12:41 AM   #20 (permalink)
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I recognize most of the unsafe cities as being among the highest in the US for murder rates (at least 3 of them have been the top city in the past decade; Gary, New Orleans, Detroit).
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Old 11-22-2005, 04:12 AM   #21 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by djtestudo
We're #6! We're #6!

Hey, in Baltimore you have to find SOMETHING to be proud of...
We're #4! We're #4!

Got you beat.

Seriously man. Flint's not that bad. The worst threat to the city right now is an incompetent mayor who just bought the election of 6 city council members.

The second worst threat to the city is a PC technician who posts negative things about the city on a forum from city hall on a city PC on city time.

/looks around and whistles a tune.
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Old 11-22-2005, 04:37 AM   #22 (permalink)
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Here's a link to a source without registration: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...112101386.html

And of course, when you're counting tiny cities like Mission Viejo, you're not going to see New York in the top ten. However, I think NY qualifies as one of the safest American metro areas (sans the NJ side!). Something must be said for that

disclaimer: I'm a NYer!
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Old 11-22-2005, 05:47 AM   #23 (permalink)
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Cary made the list... interesting... seeing as how it's right next to Raleigh, which I had always understood to be a pretty mean place.

Asheville is, at least as far as I can tell, a pretty safe place- there's only a few areas of the city I would not recommend someone going after dark, and that would only be if they were white. I like it here
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Old 11-22-2005, 07:11 AM   #24 (permalink)
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ha, I thought Mission Viejo was a gated community

surprise, surprise, the wealthiest sections of Orange County made it to the top of the safe list. Just don't drive too far down the 405 and land your ass in Santa Ana or Long Beach or too far east and find yourself in a nasty part of the Inland Empire...

If you want a portrayal of the wealth concentration in this area, tune into any one of those popular OC shows on the tele these days. It shouldn't take too long to understand why the residents aren't committing too much violent crime on one another.
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Old 11-22-2005, 11:23 AM   #25 (permalink)
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I for one would like to know exactly how they came up with this information. Not because I doubt the information per se (If I was going to just pick what I thought was the top 10 most dangerous cities I would have picked several of the ones on there just from personal experience and word of mouth) however I would like more information, like was this done per capita or not? It seems for the most part the 10 safest cities are considerbly smaller cities. The shame about articles (and research) like this is that is could tell us so much more then it does. They leave out most of the hard data because, for one, Americans as a whole have very short attention spans and would never get to that part of the article, that and if someone was to come to and show the corelations between crime and things such as income, education and health, well we just wouldn't want to hear such a thing.
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Old 11-22-2005, 08:05 PM   #26 (permalink)
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I believe the stats are for cities with populations over 75K. They are definitely per capita stats. I live within 5 miles of both Lake Forest and Mission Viejo, CA. It is almost unbearably safe down here. As smooth alluded to above, it is definitely a wealth thing, besides me of course . I see Lamborghinis or Ferraris driving around about every weekend. It's funny, a lot of people think Lake Forest is the "ghettoest" city in South Orange County.
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Old 11-25-2005, 09:24 PM   #27 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BBtB
I for one would like to know exactly how they came up with this information. Not because I doubt the information per se (If I was going to just pick what I thought was the top 10 most dangerous cities I would have picked several of the ones on there just from personal experience and word of mouth) however I would like more information, like was this done per capita or not? It seems for the most part the 10 safest cities are considerbly smaller cities. The shame about articles (and research) like this is that is could tell us so much more then it does. They leave out most of the hard data because, for one, Americans as a whole have very short attention spans and would never get to that part of the article, that and if someone was to come to and show the corelations between crime and things such as income, education and health, well we just wouldn't want to hear such a thing.
The reason smaller cities or towns tend to be safer is because they simply tend to be. One side-effect of highly populated urban areas is that you get large numbers of people who don't know each other in one area. When you don't know someone, it is easier to commit a crime. It also means you have a compact area with many social groups, all of which have their own sets of norms; these will inevitably clash from time to time. Not only are the OC areas wealthy, but they're homogeneous. You don't have anything much more different than little cliques going on, and hence little conflict.

If you really want to know more about crime rates, just look them up on the US census site. You can learn as much as you feel is possible from that data, which is as close to raw data as any person wants to get when it comes to a census.
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Last edited by Suave; 11-25-2005 at 09:26 PM..
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Old 11-28-2005, 07:39 PM   #28 (permalink)
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Hard to believe that Larado was not on the bad ass list...
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Old 11-29-2005, 02:21 AM   #29 (permalink)
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As a former resident of Thousand Oaks, CA, I must say.. safe = boring. It's a soccer mom infested suburbia, awash with SUVs, shopping malls, and grocery stores you need jogging shoes to survive in. Nothing happens - ever. Somebody dies of old age and it makes the paper.
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Old 11-29-2005, 02:41 AM   #30 (permalink)
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Funny...for all intent and purpose, Amherst, N.Y is Buffalo.....Hardly amongst the safest.
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Old 11-29-2005, 08:18 AM   #31 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Halx
As a former resident of Thousand Oaks, CA, I must say.. safe = boring. It's a soccer mom infested suburbia, awash with SUVs, shopping malls, and grocery stores you need jogging shoes to survive in. Nothing happens - ever. Somebody dies of old age and it makes the paper.
You know, there's this old curse, it goes something like:

May you live in interesting times.
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Old 11-29-2005, 08:37 AM   #32 (permalink)
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Damn... Denver sucks...


Oh well. I guess I have to start killing people to get on next years list.
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Old 11-29-2005, 09:56 AM   #33 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by World's King
Damn... Denver sucks...


Oh well. I guess I have to start killing people to get on next years list.
Start with the Colorado Avalanche and you won't get any complaints from anyone in this state.
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Old 11-29-2005, 12:31 PM   #34 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by God of Thunder
Start with the Colorado Avalanche and you won't get any complaints from anyone in this state.
Oddly... you might not get a bad reaction here either.
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