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Old 05-25-2007, 06:13 AM   #9 (permalink)
Redlemon
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Statistics says take the chance: the "expected value" of the gamble is $250 versus the guaranteed $200. However, I'd still go with the guaranteed money. I'm extraordinarily risk-adverse.

Quasi: Your proposed bet would have an expected value of -$2,000; I don't think anyone would take that bet.
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