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Originally Posted by Elphaba
Politico, McConnell does look good and he seems likely to win approval from both parties. I don't see Jones any more likely than Maureen Mahoney or Edith Brown Clement.
Bush has indicated that he doesn't feel compelled to choose a woman or minority this time, so I don't think McConnell has any less chance than anyone else.
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Here's what we know about the candidate:
1. He/She will not be a member of the President's inner circle. Alberto Gonzalez is definitely qualified for the job, but Bush will not choose him.
2. He/She will not be a quota hire. This means that it is more likely that a man will be nominated, as there are more males on the short list than females.
3. He/She will have at least some experience as a judge.
4. He/She will placate the extreme conservative Senators that derailed Miers' nomination.
With these criteria in mind, Edith Jones seems a natural choice. The only thing that could derail her nomination would be lack of support from moderates in the event of a filibuster attempt.
McConnell, on the other hand, is equally qualified, but has an interest first and foremost in upholding the Constitution, not in advancing conservative doctrine. Reminds me of John Roberts, actually. I hope Bush is smart enough to pick my man...