I think its going to be an extremely rough transition. On the one side, you're going to have Palestinean radicals like Hamas demanding a hardline, inflexible successor to Arafat. The other option will take more courage and imagination: elect a moderate Palestinean willing to 1) acknowledge and accept the existence of Israel, 2) take an honest stand against Palestinean terrorism, 3) have a sincere desire to establish a peace treaty with Israel, 4) LEAD the Palestineans out of the 10th Century.
I see outside Arab forces playing an enormous role in the process as well. The power vacuum will be immense, and EVERYBODY in the region is going to want to have their say in the matter. The entire situation is at a Crossroads.
I also wonder if Israel will let Arafat back into Ramallah if he survives his illness, regardless of what they're saying now. I think now is a good time to banish him from the region permanently.
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