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Lance won the stage today, finishing 9+ minutes ahead of the leader. Basso finished second and Ulrich finished third. It's going to come down to these three riders, but I would expect Lance to win. Ulrich is basically out, he made a move today but the peloton caught up with him fairly quickly. If he was going to compete for the yellow jersey, he needed to do something today.
Sailor... Basso only finished 27 seconds behind Armstrong in the Prologue. I read that Basso had an equipment failure early in that stage too. Lance will win, but this could be as close a finish since 91. Ultimately, Lance will outsmart Basso.
Isis... at this point, if Lance crashes, there is no way that Basso will wait for him.
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