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Politics Obama - Actually doing a good job?

Discussion in 'Tilted Philosophy, Politics, and Economics' started by rogue49, Mar 10, 2012.

  1. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    If you are a low income family and WIC payments are stopped, it might be close to Armageddon for that family.

    Or if you are a military working spouse and free on-base day care is closed, it might not be Armageddon, but it will hurt the family pocketbook.

    Or if you are one of the 2 million people each year who might face bankruptcy as a result of a medical emergency, it might be close to Armageddon if the ACA is delayed. Or if you are one of the 80+ million with a preexisting condition and your condition continues to deteriorate because you cant afford insurance, it might be close to Armageddon.
     
  2. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    Is it merely rhetoric? We should look at precedent and actual potential outcomes. Then maybe decide for yourself.

    With the current level of dysfunction in Washington right now, I wouldn't put it past them that the intention is to shoot for a full-on default.

    Here's what happened during the last debt ceiling fight in 2011:
    The Doomsday scenario of a U.S. default - The Globe and Mail

    Actual, measurable results.

    Now what would happen if it were to go further?

    October 17: At this point, the U.S. government can no longer add to debt. With $30 billion on hand, after inflows and outflows, this will drop to $27.5 billion by the end of the day.

    October 18 to 29: Taking in an average of about 70 cents for every dollar spent, there will be a fluctuation where the government takes in more than it spends, but this will be short-lived, and on October 24th, over $15 billion will need to be paid out, when only $9.6 billion is expected to come in.

    This may lead to an unpredictable situation:
    We're talking about a collapse of the U.S. bond market.

    October 30: Probable default. By this time, the U.S. government will be $7 billion short. Everyone will get shafted, from schools and welfare recipients to defence contractors. There is no picking and choosing.

    This would send a shockwave through the economy from the bottom to the very top.

    November 1 and beyond: While trying to keep up with interest payments and paying out to creditors, millions of Americans get the shaft, including military personnel and seniors.

    What would a U.S. default look like? - The Globe and Mail

    So how much rhetoric are we talking about here?

    Have you, by any chance, read anything about what's happening in Greece? Yeah, well, if no one bails out the U.S., it could be worse than that. Much worse.

    The only rhetoric to worry about, I think, is that of the right-wing extremists in Washington who are holding the country hostage. Maybe they'd like all of this to unfold, and then pin the blame on Obama heading into future elections.

    Worst-case scenario: It opens to door to more right-wing extremism—28% unemployment can do that to a nation.
     
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2013
  3. Spiritsoar

    Spiritsoar Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    New York
    Well, for one, functioning doesn't mean functioning well. I work in a federal healthcare facility. I'm pretty convinced that the main reason we're still "functioning" is because we have a large population of military staff to try to cover essential tasks, in addition to the duties they already had. We can delay certain functions temporarily, but we're already having issues with facilities maintenance, equipment management, training management, safety inspections, etc. Not to mention the "excepted" civilian staff morale. Unfortunately, essential does not mean getting paid. It means they're coming to work with uncertainty about whether they'll be able to pay their bills. The majority of staff have shown amazing resilience, but we still have people who have left, frustrated after being first furloughed, and then coming to work without pay. Our staff was already diminished after some people left during the last furlough. Patient care suffers.
    You're right, the rhetoric is tiresome. The rhetoric that an obstructionist block of government is doing the country a favor by shutting down government because they don't agree with a program that was lawfully passed.
     
  4. Stan

    Stan Resident Dumbass

    Location:
    Colorado
    It's not like the ACA was passed without negotiations or compromise. We've had a presidential election since then and the candidate promising to dismantle Obamacare lost. Claiming the president won't compromise is dishonest. It's already been done. No one expects the ACA is in it's final form. Present your "better idea" in the House, negotiate it with the Senate, and fix the ACA the same as any other major bill.

    This is just a temper tantrum with serious consequences.
     
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2013
  5. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
  6. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Yes, it is insane...question is Obama able to counteract the insanity?

    I'm sorry we've gotten to this point...and it looks like it might potentially go over the edge.
    So, there is "some" precedent that may allow Obama to pay on the debt despite the insanity.

    But will he use it?
    This is the time that history is made...and it is scarier than hell.

    I have a feeling he will, especially considering some of the moves his Secretaries have made recently. (ex: Hagel's unfurloughing of DoD workers)
    But still the ambiguity is unnerving.

    I'm surprised the Money Makers aren't pounding on the GOP to make it go away...but I've read they don't have as much influence as before.

    Where are my rolaids??? :confused:
     
  7. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    With the right sort of slip up (i.e., the really wrong kind), the US could head towards an outcome of irreparable damage. I think they and most of the world have taken for granted the stability of the US within the context of the globalized economy. What happens when the stability is pissed away for political reasons? At worst, people jump ship. They go to where there is better stability. Where would this be? I don't know. China? A select set of European players? Canada?
     
  8. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Now this takes balls...and some confidence in your position.

    Last time I remember he did this, at the beginning of his presidency, he had them impressed...and the firebrand rhetoric muted.
    I don't know why he doesn't do it more often.
    On another note, Obama is about to nominate Yellen for the Fed Chair. Link

    I just get the feeling that Obama is about to go for a knockout.
    He always does this...gets on the ropes, gets in a mess...then pulls out of it and defeats his opponents.
    Must frustrate them to no end... (well, that's kind of obvious :rolleyes:)
     
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2013
  9. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    If anyone hasn't noticed...since they're focused on the ACA website issues for now.
    The US budget deficit is the lowest in FIVE years.

    BTW...this is including the price for the wars, now only in Afghanistan
    Obama added these in to the budget when he started his administration. (GWB decided not to add those in to his, when he was prez)
    Everything counts.

     
  10. ASU2003

    ASU2003 Very Tilted

    Location:
    Where ever I roam
    I guess that 2% 'increase' in taxes on the top earners hasn't ruined the economy (unemployment rate is down), and the deficit is going in the right direction, just like it did under Clinton.
     
  11. samcol

    samcol Getting Tilted

    Location:
    indiana
    you act like this budget deficit is some huge victory. it's still over spending on ridiculous levels. also the budget deficit takes the eye off the real ball which is the national debt. the national debt shows how much we are really spending, not just 'budgeting'.
     
  12. ASU2003

    ASU2003 Very Tilted

    Location:
    Where ever I roam
    And how would you cut the budget to bring it down. You only have three options, Military, Social Security, and/or Medicaid. Those are the big reasons the budget is where it is at. You could also raise taxes and close loopholes that US companies use to avoid taxes...
     
  13. samcol

    samcol Getting Tilted

    Location:
    indiana
    cut military. no new taxes. eliminate departments like education and let the states handle it.
     
  14. loquitur

    loquitur Getting Tilted

    The sequester brought down spending, too. Don't forget that one.
     
  15. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Cutting the deficit to below 5% of GDP annually is a pretty big deal. (certainly better than the Bush deficit reduction approach by fund the Iraq war off budget, thus showing low annual deficits while being the biggest contributor to the current debt).

    The Tea Party notion of debt reduction as quickly as possible and at any cost (except of course, tax increases) is ideological extremism and counter-productive to both short and long term economic growth.

    The only rational way to reduce the debt over time is a slow but steady balanced approach of discretionary cuts (including defense), entitlement reform (not dismantling Medicare and Social Security) and revenue increases, not a slash and burn approach with no consideration of the impact on the economy.

    A timely example of slash and burn - Republican proposal to cut SNAP by $40 billion while ignoring the impact on the working class and the economy given that many (most) estimates suggests that SNAP generates about $1.70 in economic activity for every $1 in benefits.

    The question is whether reasonable minds can prevail over the ideologues on both sides (D – no entitlement cuts, R – no tax increases)?
     
    • Like Like x 1
  16. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    It's more important to look at debt as a proportion to the economy, and not the net debt on its own.

    This means, basically, that deficits and GDP growth are an essential part of the equation.

    To tackle the current deficit from this point forward will likely require further cuts, lower spending increases, and increased tax revenue.

    Once you set ideologies aside, there is the math.

    It seems that Democrats (Clinton and Obama) get it at least in part and despite external economic pressures.

    If only "tax-cut and spend" Republicans would clue in. (And the slash-and-burn Tea Partiers would fade away.)
     
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2013
  17. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Eliminating the Dept of Education is one of those budget cutting approaches that is purely ideological w/o any consideration of the impact.

    We need to spend federal education dollars more wisely, but how would eliminating the Dept of Education help the US compete with other industrialized nations in a global economy, given that we are already falling behind in the basic language, math and science skills?
     
  18. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    "In 100 years we have gone from teaching Latin and Greek in high school to teaching Remedial English in college."​
    —Joseph Sobran, American journalist and writer​

    I think Sobran and I would disagree on the solutions, but you can't deny the problem.
     
  19. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    If I hear one more idiot use the word "incompetence" to describe Obama...I'm going to scream. (get the ice cream ready...my throat is going to be sore)

    First, what they say he's doing, he's not...I've seen what his administration is doing on the inside...and it is working its ass off to make things more efficient.
    Doesn't help you got life-long 'crats with territories...and Congress budgeting for things not needed nor asked for.

    Second, what are they comparing it to??? This one goes to the media...and wishy-washy Dems. Damn, everyone has short memories.

    Third, let's see anyone else do better in the same position, with the same opposition. Hell, I'm having enough trouble with my own company with it's half-assed ways. Can't imaging the prez.

    And so on that note...
     
  20. Derwood

    Derwood Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    Columbus, OH

    The states are worse at running things than the fed is