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Politics Obama - Actually doing a good job?

Discussion in 'Tilted Philosophy, Politics, and Economics' started by rogue49, Mar 10, 2012.

  1. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    I read the footnote and I understand how you conclude what is stated in the footnote is true.

    However, I have not seen a CBO report recently that actually shows the net impact of taxes, penalties, fees, transfers, premiums and other so called revenues. If you have a link to one please share.

    There is a reason why the CBO is reporting the way they are reporting, I think it is because they see the "revenues" more suspect and that accounting tricks like transferring Medicare costs to Obamacare is not a proper manner in calculating deficit reduction. The numbers of people subject to penalty is a big unknown. The number of actual State Exchanges is an unknown. The actual costs to subsidize the exchanges is an unknown. Then we have things like taxes on medical devises, where the government will impose a tax, the devise makers will increase prices to cover the tax, and since the government will be a customer, the government will pay higher prices, etc.

    CBO chose to make their analysis narrow. I see your point and I will be more specific when I refer to the insurance provision impact on the deficit.
    --- merged: Feb 16, 2013 at 4:22 PM ---
    Orwell's - 1984, forms of government speak is getting confusing. The US government can reduce the deficit to zero anytime it wants by either printing money or taxing privately held wealth. Or they can say in 10 years they will print money to pay-off the debt or increase taxes to do it. Either way, I do not see the government "saving" anything, increasing "revenues", or accomplishing anything worthy of note. However, the commitment in Obamacare is a real commitment to spend money, consume resources, or actually incur real "costs". Government is not a business and using business terminology is improper in my opinion. So, Obamacare is going to run a 10 year "profit" and if we don't do it this "profit" won't be available to reduce the debt??? CBO credibility is being strained.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Feb 23, 2013
  2. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    The first CBO analysis (including the manager's amendments - basically a substitute final bill - but before the Supreme Court decision) includes revenue projections.

    The reduction in federal deficits has since been revised down to just over $100 billion, extended through 2023.

    That being said, I'm not interested in going around in your Orwellian circles on what constitutes "debt reduction" -- additional tax revenues, reduced Medicare payments to providers with no reduction in services to seniors (despite the misrepresentation by Republicans), and savings from Medicare/Medicaid fraud all reduce the federal cost of providing health care, thus contributing less to the federal debt.
    --- merged: Feb 16, 2013 at 5:56 PM ---
    The ACA also includes a provision for competitive bidding for these devices (and supplies) in Medicare already resulting in significant savings in limited test markets:

     
    Last edited by a moderator: Feb 23, 2013
  3. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Where is the analysis? Where is the report? Even you can pick a random number out of the air, what is the value in it? Why segregate "savings" from the report? All questions you won't ask.

    Is it truly your desire to go along with psychological manipulation?

    Why did you have the desire to post this? Why is it important to you? Do you believe a tax on medical devises will result in a more competitive market and lower prices? Do you believe increasing costs actually lowers costs? Do you believe the actual designation of "competition" results in "competition"? Is your definition of brilliant government policy, simply the absence of ineffective government policy?

    As usual all rhetorical questions - I know what the limitations are.
     
  4. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    I agree that there are limitations to my willingness to keep providing data that demonstrates new revenues, new cost cutting measures and new savings.

    I can please some of the people some of the time with my understanding of the law...I cant please ideologues with closed minds.
     
  5. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    I got one:

    The government can give me $1 billion and in 10 years I will repay the $1 billion plus $1.

    Think about it - The cost (according to your math and probably the reason the CBO doesn't play along anymore) over 10 years will be zero and it will contribute to debt reduction!

    Or, tell me how do you do this one?

    What is the cost of a $5 billion air-force carrier? I say it is $5 billion (plus operating costs), you say???? What are the "savings"? Perhaps spending $5 billion will contribute to debt reduction

    Or, how about this one?

    government spends $1 billion on a road? I say the government is spending $1 billion on a road. What do you say...ah, there is the gas tax, ah, the tax on vehicles that use the road, ah, the tax on the restaurants that might be built on the road, and ah, it will all add up to debt reduction????

    Or is it simply nothing done by the government has a cost because eventually they can tax or print money to cover the cost - so everything the government does is in fact free - just like Obamacare! Do you really believe Obamacare is free?
     
  6. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Actually sir, does it really matter anyway as long as we are a viable nation?

    The same debt cycles back around, dependent on the value of our currency and the volume.

    It's all an illusion...based on how much we as a nation accomplish and how much the rest of the world sees our stability.

    See, this is the REAL damage obstruction does to our nation...provoking the "sense" of unstability and slowing down accomplishments.
    We get less done, and other investors don't feel warm & fuzzy.

    THIS is why the stimulus was valuable, it made the workers and investors feel like someone was doing something.
    It got liquidity going again, when all had stalled. It allowed companies to take a breath, after floundering in water.

    Even right now, our debt will be erased to a certain extent to a variety of factors.
    Less war, increased exports, new found resources, building something...more.

    Money is an illusion.
    Example in WWII stamps had more value in the end than currency.
    Gold is bursting its bubble since the global market is stabilizing. (from $1000 to $2000 to $1500 and down...)

    All this talk of the "world ending", "sacraficing our children" and so on is the equivalent of claiming the sky is falling.
    The US isn't truly in trouble, unless we shoot ourselves in the foot. (meaning we dupe ourselves again investing in nothing)

    It's what people value.
    Your arguments are creating the chaos...you are hurting yourself.

    Obama gets this...I see this. Do you?
     
    • Like Like x 1
  7. Charlatan

    Charlatan sous les pavés, la plage

    Location:
    Temasek
    As long as these Tea Party types keep trying to make an equivalency between house hold budgets and national budgets, they will never get it.
     
  8. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    The Tea Party types, and conservatives in general, are not big fans of any objective, nonpartisan government reports...unless such reports support their position and ideology.

    They like to point to selected findings of CBO reports on ACA and then dismiss the overall conclusions.

    They demand the withdrawal of CRS reports that find that tax cuts for the rich do not increase jobs or grow the economy but only add to income inequality.

    They dismiss NOAA reports on climate change as junk science.

    They block funding to implement the recommendations of a DHS report on growing security threats from right wing anti-government organizations and militias and characterize the report as an attack on patriot Americans.

    They legislate against allowing CDC or other agencies to conduct any research on gun related violence.

    Their response is consistently to ignore any data that challenges their beliefs and instead attack the messenger.
     
  9. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    This is a complex challenge. The American economy was under-regulated with regard to certain aspects of banking practices, and now it's (finally) modernizing its economy regarding health care access. No one said it was going to be easy, not even Obama himself.

    In the end, if Americans learn their lessons of what went wrong and prevent it from happening again, and once they adjust to the unfolding of PPACA, and even once further tweaks and adjustments are made, the nation will come out stronger.

    It's unfortunate that the more radical aspects of the GOP want to get in the way of that and maintain the broken status quo.
     
  10. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    It's all about the Ego.
    No, we can't change our minds...you have to cater to ours.
    We won't change, you have to be wrong.

    Look at the facts, observe the trends...move the ball forward.
    Most people aren't asking for you to become liberal...they are asking for solutions, NEW solutions...or at least acting on ones that may be even partially right.
    Democracy is messy...it doesn't have to be an all or nothing thing...just getting better, bit by bit.
    But that requires cooperation.

    Git off your friggin' high horse and do something productive.
    STOP blocking everything.

    Obama is NOT the devil...he's not a god, far from it...but at least stop looking at everything he does as "evil"
    Hell, the man is throwing out YOUR OWN ideas...and you're not doing anything because he's been cunning enough to adopt them.

    So are you looking to do it RIGHT?
    Or just get the credit?

    Obama is playing the long-game. He doesn't care about elections.
    Hell, he really doesn't care much about the Dems, they just happen to be in sync with his own plans.
    But if they don't win, no sweat off his back.
    But he is playing to move his own agenda, his own goals...and if that makes the GOP which has shit on him look like fools, bonus.
    So, if he gets the GOP blamed for obstruction, the Dems win.
    And right now...the story is the GOP are cock-blockers...and Obama is the Adult in the room.

    It's a win-win situation for him as long as they keep falling for the same stupid ploys.

    Remember, Bill Clinton was playing the GOP the same way,
    drove them CRAZY, hell even said there was a "murder list" out there from our crazies.
    But he gave them a rope...got himself caught with his dick in a woman's mouth. *shocking*
    And the GOP used that to lose his moment and credibility. Distraction galore.

    I don't think Obama is going to caught doing something so crude.
    So the GOP better do it right this time...and it's not going to be easy.
    Obama's got the momentum.
    And they only have 2 years...he's got all the time until the end of his time.

    Hell, even Karl Rove is worried about the pathetic/crazy candidates the GOP is putting up.
    Wasting all his RichBitch monies.
    Hell again, even Gingrich is calling the GOP plays college level to Obama's pro moves.
    Both stated live on the Sunday news shows.

    Obama has just got to bide his time.
    Right now, the GOP will sooner or later just put their foot in it.
     
    Last edited: Feb 18, 2013
  11. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    and so the story goes...

    I think Obama has finally figured out a good method.
    1. Attempt a goal
    2. When blocked, try a compromise
    3. When fail, set the trap...letting the Congress make their own rope.
    4. Wait, then seem like the Adult in the Room, asking for action, cooperation and rational thinking.
    5. Let the opposition stick their foot in it by over-reacting and making over-compensated proposals.
    6. Provoke even more by asking for action or acting without Congress
    7. Blame the opposition for not getting things done.
    8. Repeat
     
  12. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    What is not to get? A budget is not complicated. The consequences of spending being greater than income is not complicated? Can you elaborate on your point?
    --- merged: Feb 21, 2013 at 5:18 PM ---
    Costs are not. The government can do what it wants with fiat money/currency, however, the actual costs to live can not be controlled by government currency policy.
    --- merged: Feb 21, 2013 at 5:28 PM ---
    I am going to keep pointing this out until it sinks in. The President of the US, Democrats who control the Senate, the number of moderate Republicans both in the Senate and in the House - are not being held hostage by a handful of Tea Party elected officials or extreme right-wing conservatives. In order to believe the Tea Party controls the agenda in Washington you have to believe President Obama is the weakest most ineffective President since Andrew Jackson. Is that what you believe?

    President Obama needs to one day start acting like he is President and lead.

    Show me how the CBO is calculating Obamacare is going to basically be free and actually reduce the federal debt? How does that happen? Oh, I remember taxes = savings, is that what you think? Or, taxes reduce costs. Pure double speak, understand that we all don't buy into to that!
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Feb 28, 2013
  13. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    At the risk of putting words into Charlatan's mouth (better than something else, I suppose), I don't think he's referring to the generic concept of a budget but rather the substantial differences in considerations between a household budget and a national budget, or many other types of budgets vs. a government budget for that matter. For example, a budget for a lemonade stand doesn't require the same considerations as a budget for the federal government. The basic concepts are the same, but the net effect of the considerations aren't. So it isn't just a matter of spending vs. income and all things are essentially equal. They're not. So when you say "a budget is not complicated," it sounds like you think every government in recent history besides Bill Clinton's is either treasonous or idiotic. Is that the case? I mean, the federal budget is just like that of a lemonade stand's, right? Isn't not complicated, right?
     
  14. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    First, national polls regarding congressional approval are meaningless. Respondents are basically saying my guy/gal is o.k., yours is not. If I was polled I would respond the same way, I like my Congressman and odds are I don't like yours!

    Second, what is the point of going through steps 1-8 if it repeatedly results in failure? How about a better approach? Perhaps starting out by not, I repeat not saying the guy on the other side of the table wants babies to drink polluted water, breath poisoned air, doesn't want them educated and want their grandmothers to eat dog food - or whatever he is actually saying lately. Just because people disagree, doesn't mean their motives are bad.
    --- merged: Feb 21, 2013 at 5:43 PM ---
    There are differences but there are also similarities. In a generic way of looking at a budget - there are components they all share. Just because one is discussing the issue from the perspective of similarities, it does not necessarily follow that the differences are not understood. The explanation is inadequate.

    First, the US government is not operating under a real budget. The government is operating under a series of spending initiatives.

    Second, I have no issue with the use of debt. Debt can be used productively.

    And as usual, your post is littered with straw-man arguments. You are consistently making wild assumptions. I don;t understand why you do this.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Feb 28, 2013
  15. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    "A budget is not complicated" is inadequate, but that's mostly what I had to work with.

    So what's the source of your problem then? The magnitude of the elements? You aren't alone there.

    Really? Where are they? Would you care to point them out and refute them?
     
  16. Charlatan

    Charlatan sous les pavés, la plage

    Location:
    Temasek
  17. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    My statement is in fact true. Do you have difficulty with truth? You are going in a strange direction, and I am sure everyone thinks it is my fault, why not acknowledge what I wrote was correct and move on?

    Demagoguery is the source of my problem.

    Read your post that preceded my comment. As I read your post, your assumption appeared to be that a lack of discussion of differences illustrated a lack of understanding those differences. One does not necessarily follow from the other. I wrote that, and now I am repeating myself - was it really not clear the first time?
     
  18. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Are we back to your wife's shopping habits again as some inane comparison to federal spending on health care?
     
  19. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    Isn't the 2013 U.S. federal budget nearly 2,000 pages? A lemonade stand budget could be adequately written on a single 3"X5" index card.

    "A budget is not complicated" is only conditionally true. It depends on context. The phrase is vague. "A woman is not complicated." How does that phrase work for you?

    A plague o' both your houses! All are punish'd!

    It might be the source of your problem, but like many things distilled too far or reduced to essentialism, it isn't very useful.

    You might want to try to be more specific.

    No. Not very clear. You're being vague.
     
  20. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    If you thought my illustrating my wife's shopping habits was a commentary on her, you have a problem that I can not help you with.