My picks for NFL Week 9 - Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community

Gun · 10-30-2003, 07:01 PM

Tell me what you think about my picks for Week 9. I put $40.00 in, and get $940.00 out if I win ALL FIVE of these games:

Baltimore (-7.0) over Jacksonville
New Orleans (+8.5) over Tampa Bay
Carolina (-7.0) over Houston
Cincinatti (-3.0) over Arizona
St. Louis (-3.5) over San Francisco.

I haven't placed the bet yet. What should I drop, change, or acquire? I want to keep it to five games, and these are the ones I feel safe with.

Spartak · 10-30-2003, 08:13 PM

Hmm could anybody explain to me what the +/- numbers (eg -7.0 or +8.5) mean ? I always see this on NFL bets, but never can work it out.

I agree with your picks except one, I think TB might beat the Saints.

Superbelt · 10-30-2003, 08:57 PM

Saints are gonna lose

and the cincy v. arizona game is iffy. Arizona has been playing well at home beating both GB and SF there.

spectre · 10-30-2003, 09:05 PM

I think the Saints will win. The Saints swept Tampa last year when Tampa was a better team then they are now. Tampa has also had a habit this season of game outcomes being Win - Lose - Win - Lose, and they won last week. And the teams that have beaten Tampa know their major weakness, the run. Wear down the defense by pounding the ball, then the pass is left open later in the game. Deuce knows how to do that against this defense. Add to that Tampa's having problems with injuries to their secondary, opening up the pass. That said, I think Tampa will lose.

jwoody · 10-31-2003, 01:02 AM

For the benefit of spartak:

The point spread - also called "the line" or "the spread" - is used as a margin to handicap the favorite team. For betting purposes, the oddsmaker predicts that the favored team will win by a certain number of points. This number of points is the point spread. The favorite is always indicated by a minus sign (e.g. -5.5) and the underdog by a plus sign (e.g.+5.5). If you bet on the favorite, you win your bet if the favorite wins AND their margin of victory is greater than the point spread. If you bet on the underdog, you win if the underdog wins, ties, or if the favored team wins but fails to exceed the point spread. It is standard for point spread bets in most sports that you wager $110 to win $100.

Spartak · 10-31-2003, 02:21 AM

I see, it's all clearer now.. thanks jwoody

Gun · 10-31-2003, 03:47 AM

The spread is another reason that will help the Saints win. 8.5 is generally a pretty big line.

gov135 · 10-31-2003, 09:40 AM

Baltimore and Carolina aren't two of my favorites as high as the spread has them. Kyle Boller and Jake DelHomme are just looking for an excuse to throw the game away. I wouldn't lay a dime on an offense that runs through these two - no consistency = a hard wager. By the way, if you do take the Ravens, most major books have them at -6.5 and I'd insist on the same line.

I do like St. Louis -4 and Cincinatti -3.

How about the Dolphins (-3) against the Colts? I also really like the Patriots (+2) against the Broncos - the Broncos are beat up pretty good.

Finally, I would carefully consider any parlay or "group" bet before I made it. Take a hard look at the odds and good luck!!

P.S. If you have a strong stomach, let us know what your final picks were.

Gun · 10-31-2003, 01:55 PM

Thought hard, took advice from all over, including you guys.

Bringing it down to three games:

St. Louis over SF
Cincinatti over Arizona
New England over Denver

Denver's on third string QB, 49ers are without Garcia, and Arizona is due for a home loss.

Spartak · 10-31-2003, 06:34 PM

Agree with those above.

Also the Niners are sucking even with Garcia, and Bulger is running the Greatest Show on Turf II.

Sion · 11-01-2003, 09:31 AM

Baltimore (-7.0) over Jacksonville - this is a pretty safe bet
New Orleans (+8.5) over Tampa Bay - this is iffy, but a spread that big is hard to ignore
Carolina (-7.0) over Houston - safe bet
Cincinatti (-3.0) over Arizona - wouldnt touch this game with a ten foot pole
St. Louis (-3.5) over San Francisco. - semi-safe bet

Fantasma · 11-01-2003, 09:56 PM

I just put $20.

Baltimore (-7.0) over Jacksonville
New Orleans (+8.5) over Tampa Bay
Philadelphia (-5.0) over Atlanta
Seattle (-3.5) over Pittsburgh

I think It is easy money.

Gun · 11-02-2003, 07:36 PM

Damn 49ers. That will teach me to ever bet against my favorite team.

Lost $40, and a potential $180.

Fantasma · 11-04-2003, 01:38 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Fantasma
I just put $20.

Baltimore (-7.0) over Jacksonville
New Orleans (+8.5) over Tampa Bay
Philadelphia (-5.0) over Atlanta
Seattle (-3.5) over Pittsburgh

I think It is easy money.

I win $120!!

It should be $200 but ravens didn't do their job well

10-30-2003, 07:01 PM	#1 (permalink)
Gun Banned Location: Long Island	My picks for NFL Week 9 Tell me what you think about my picks for Week 9. I put $40.00 in, and get $940.00 out if I win ALL FIVE of these games: Baltimore (-7.0) over Jacksonville New Orleans (+8.5) over Tampa Bay Carolina (-7.0) over Houston Cincinatti (-3.0) over Arizona St. Louis (-3.5) over San Francisco. I haven't placed the bet yet. What should I drop, change, or acquire? I want to keep it to five games, and these are the ones I feel safe with.

10-30-2003, 08:13 PM	#2 (permalink)
Spartak Bang bang Location: New Zealand	Hmm could anybody explain to me what the +/- numbers (eg -7.0 or +8.5) mean ? I always see this on NFL bets, but never can work it out. I agree with your picks except one, I think TB might beat the Saints. __________________ I can read your mind... looking at you... I can read your mind...

10-30-2003, 09:05 PM	#4 (permalink)
spectre Junkie	I think the Saints will win. The Saints swept Tampa last year when Tampa was a better team then they are now. Tampa has also had a habit this season of game outcomes being Win - Lose - Win - Lose, and they won last week. And the teams that have beaten Tampa know their major weakness, the run. Wear down the defense by pounding the ball, then the pass is left open later in the game. Deuce knows how to do that against this defense. Add to that Tampa's having problems with injuries to their secondary, opening up the pass. That said, I think Tampa will lose. __________________ "Fuck these chains No goddamn slave I will be different" ~ Machine Head

10-31-2003, 01:02 AM	#5 (permalink)
jwoody Shackle Me Not Location: Newcastle - England.	For the benefit of spartak: The point spread - also called "the line" or "the spread" - is used as a margin to handicap the favorite team. For betting purposes, the oddsmaker predicts that the favored team will win by a certain number of points. This number of points is the point spread. The favorite is always indicated by a minus sign (e.g. -5.5) and the underdog by a plus sign (e.g.+5.5). If you bet on the favorite, you win your bet if the favorite wins AND their margin of victory is greater than the point spread. If you bet on the underdog, you win if the underdog wins, ties, or if the favored team wins but fails to exceed the point spread. It is standard for point spread bets in most sports that you wager $110 to win $100. __________________ .

10-31-2003, 02:21 AM	#6 (permalink)
Spartak Bang bang Location: New Zealand	I see, it's all clearer now.. thanks jwoody __________________ I can read your mind... looking at you... I can read your mind...

10-30-2003, 08:57 PM	#3 (permalink)
Superbelt This vexes me. I am terribly vexed. Location: Grantville, Pa	Saints are gonna lose and the cincy v. arizona game is iffy. Arizona has been playing well at home beating both GB and SF there.

10-31-2003, 03:47 AM	#7 (permalink)
Gun Banned Location: Long Island	The spread is another reason that will help the Saints win. 8.5 is generally a pretty big line.

10-31-2003, 09:40 AM	#8 (permalink)
gov135 Junkie Location: Midwest	Baltimore and Carolina aren't two of my favorites as high as the spread has them. Kyle Boller and Jake DelHomme are just looking for an excuse to throw the game away. I wouldn't lay a dime on an offense that runs through these two - no consistency = a hard wager. By the way, if you do take the Ravens, most major books have them at -6.5 and I'd insist on the same line. I do like St. Louis -4 and Cincinatti -3. How about the Dolphins (-3) against the Colts? I also really like the Patriots (+2) against the Broncos - the Broncos are beat up pretty good. Finally, I would carefully consider any parlay or "group" bet before I made it. Take a hard look at the odds and good luck!! P.S. If you have a strong stomach, let us know what your final picks were.

10-31-2003, 01:55 PM	#9 (permalink)
Gun Banned Location: Long Island	Thought hard, took advice from all over, including you guys. Bringing it down to three games: St. Louis over SF Cincinatti over Arizona New England over Denver Denver's on third string QB, 49ers are without Garcia, and Arizona is due for a home loss.

10-31-2003, 06:34 PM	#10 (permalink)
Spartak Bang bang Location: New Zealand	Agree with those above. Also the Niners are sucking even with Garcia, and Bulger is running the Greatest Show on Turf II. __________________ I can read your mind... looking at you... I can read your mind...

11-01-2003, 09:31 AM	#11 (permalink)
Sion Dumb all over...a little ugly on the side Location: In the room where the giant fire puffer works, and the torture never stops.	Baltimore (-7.0) over Jacksonville - this is a pretty safe bet New Orleans (+8.5) over Tampa Bay - this is iffy, but a spread that big is hard to ignore Carolina (-7.0) over Houston - safe bet Cincinatti (-3.0) over Arizona - wouldnt touch this game with a ten foot pole St. Louis (-3.5) over San Francisco. - semi-safe bet __________________ He's the best, of course, of all the worst. Some wrong been done, he done it first. -fz I jus' want ta thank you...falettinme...be mice elf...agin...

11-01-2003, 09:56 PM	#12 (permalink)
Fantasma Psycho Location: Ciudad De La Furia	I just put $20. Baltimore (-7.0) over Jacksonville New Orleans (+8.5) over Tampa Bay Philadelphia (-5.0) over Atlanta Seattle (-3.5) over Pittsburgh I think It is easy money. __________________ Siempre es Hoy

11-02-2003, 07:36 PM	#13 (permalink)
Gun Banned Location: Long Island	Damn 49ers. That will teach me to ever bet against my favorite team. Lost $40, and a potential $180.