Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community

Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community (https://thetfp.com/tfp/)
-   Tilted Fun Zone (https://thetfp.com/tfp/tilted-fun-zone/)
-   -   Election market (https://thetfp.com/tfp/tilted-fun-zone/98165-election-market.html)

Yakk 12-01-2005 09:22 AM

Election market
 
http://esm.ubc.ca/CA06/index.php

1$ buys you one share in each of "Liberal Majority", "Conservative Majority" and "Other outcome".

The payout is 1$ per share of what happens, or 0$ per share of nothing happening.

Or, 1$ buys you a share of all of L, NDP, C, B and O popular vote. The payout is the fraction of the popular vote any share you own gets.

Or, 1$ buys you a share of all of L, NDP, C, B and O seat count. The payout is the fraction of seats any share you own gets.

This is a research attempt to apply the powers of a market economy to predicting elections. Sort of neat. You can look at the results of the BC election prediction that they ran.

The money being traded is real.


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 05:04 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Search Engine Optimization by vBSEO 3.6.0 PL2
© 2002-2012 Tilted Forum Project


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73