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Election market
http://esm.ubc.ca/CA06/index.php
1$ buys you one share in each of "Liberal Majority", "Conservative Majority" and "Other outcome". The payout is 1$ per share of what happens, or 0$ per share of nothing happening. Or, 1$ buys you a share of all of L, NDP, C, B and O popular vote. The payout is the fraction of the popular vote any share you own gets. Or, 1$ buys you a share of all of L, NDP, C, B and O seat count. The payout is the fraction of seats any share you own gets. This is a research attempt to apply the powers of a market economy to predicting elections. Sort of neat. You can look at the results of the BC election prediction that they ran. The money being traded is real. |
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