Ah, but who's ahead? I clicked back and saw the title.
If I were a bettin man, I'd give it about a 70% chance of a Dean victory at this point. It's likely that he'll win the caucuses (no matter what the polls say; caucuses work rather differently). Then, he'll go into NH and win there as well.
Clark has had a free ride in NH because the other candidates have been hitting Iowa so hard. His lead in the tracking polls might soften when Iowa is over and they renew their focus up North. This is particularly true if the Iowa outcome is good for Kerry and Dean (which is pretty likely at this point).
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