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Get a GeForce FX 5900. It's the best card out right now for under $200. Do not get the FX 5900 SE; it's...well, not good. And don't get the Ultra since they're well over $300. A Radeon 9800 will do good as well, but I couldn't find any for under $200.
There's a small problem in the video card market right now. The "budget" DirectX 9 cards have benchmarked decent in Doom 3, but play most of today's games (BF 1942, FFXI, UT2k3, Max Payne 2, etc.) at an unimpressive rate. On the other hand, the older DirectX 8 cards (GeForce 4 TI series) perform much better than the newer budget DX 9 cards in today's games, but don't do as well in Doom 3.
See my point? You need a card that will perform today's games good as well as future games that rely heavily on DirectX 9. I'd go for a GeForce FX 5900. If you want to spend more money, there's more powerful cards out there.
-Lasereth
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"A Darwinian attacks his theory, seeking to find flaws. An ID believer defends his theory, seeking to conceal flaws." -Roger Ebert
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