Unfortunately I think Half-Life 2 is going to be the first of many games that are going to require a top of the line system to run at full detail. I don't know that there's a card out there for $200 or less that will greatly increase the performance of HL2. All of the benchmarks thus far have been using 2.8ghz processors with 800mhz fsb, 1gb of ram, and then several high end graphics cards. Even with those specs and a 9800 pro, the average framerate at 1024x768 was only 60fps. I would bet that in high detailed areas (like city-17 with firefights) that those numbers drop to the 40's or less.
The days of getting extreme framerates with your games are over. Espcially if you want all the bells and whistles that come with DirectX 9. I think that if you want to see a dramatic increase in performance, you're going to have to fork over some dough.
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