The auto industry in the US is already having trouble marketing their product. I believe if they file anything that even smalls (I mean smells, don't you love spell check?) like Chapter 11 they're toast.
As for...
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assuming the UAW is just going to lie there and get kicked on
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What are the options for them? As I see it laying there and getting kicked around a little beats the shit out of trying to pick the bones of a dead dinosaur. They're going to have to make concessions, IMO. Either that or start practicing the phrases "did you want fries with that" and whatever a Wal-Mart is trained to say.