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Originally Posted by Elphaba
It should also be noted that al-Sadr has ordered his Mahdi Army to stand down temporarily and I think some of the reduction in conflict can be credited to that.
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Exactly, and there are plenty of other contributing factors. It's the most transparent of political grandstanding to say "The surge is working". Is anyone actually naive enough to think that cause-and-effect can possibly be that simple in as complex a theater as Iraq is right now?