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I find it laughable to think that Al Qaeda is too busy in Afghanistan and Iraq to attack elsewhere. Madrid? Now London? Al Qaeda is not fighting in Afghanistan and Iraq so that they can't hit elsewhere - that simply isn't true.
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Madrid was carried out by terrorists in their own country. They presumably got assistance from AQ, but AQ did not carry it out. It's much easier to tell someone over the internet whom belongs to a cousin group than taking care of the transportation/paperwork/lodging/etc. of your own people. I imagine the same thing in London. If you read my post I never said they couldnt lend assistance, I said I dont think they could pull this all off themselves. A 9 year old can bomb in their own country, it takes lots of connections and money to do it in someone else's.