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Barring some wild news from either camp:
- Bush with a slim margin (3-6 points)
- I don't think Nader will be a major factor
I just think people will be voting with "security" in their mind. Other issues are just as important, but I think defense will be the deciding factor. Say what you will, but the polls seem to favor Bush in this category.
If there were a different candidate on the ticket (someone more likeable, more moderate--i.e. Clinton-like) I would say the opposite.
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