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I think the Lakers will be a decent team without Shaq, but I wouldn't be surprised if they fail to get a playoff spot. The Western Conference should be even deeper than usual next year, with teams like the Suns ready to get back into the playoffs again.
Meanwhile the Heat should be very good and have smooth sailing in the East. Shaq instantly becomes the undisputed leader of the team, something he never really was on the Lakers. The Pistons still have to be considered the favorites, but I wouldn't put the Heat very far back.
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