Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community

Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community (https://thetfp.com/tfp/)
-   Tilted Politics (https://thetfp.com/tfp/tilted-politics/)
-   -   Are Democrats making the wrong choice in who could defeat Bush? (https://thetfp.com/tfp/tilted-politics/45566-democrats-making-wrong-choice-who-could-defeat-bush.html)

Mojo_PeiPei 02-18-2004 11:35 AM

Its not just me. In comparing this democratic primary to Clinton vs. Bush senior it makes sense. You have the well known non-charismatic established politician, he is from the northeast. Going against him you have the lesser known charasmatic southerner. I realize the primaries are a different thing. But going into the actual Presidental election I'm sure many democratic strategists are concerned about the fact that Kerry is an old school old money northeasterner going against a would be "charsimatic southerner" in Dubya. Who do you honestly would have an easier time carrying the southern vote Sparhawk, Kerry or Bush? Granted as pointed out, you don't need the south to win the election, but as a trend no elected president in the last 50 odd years has won the office without the southern vote.

Superbelt 02-18-2004 11:45 AM

Quote:

Who do you honestly would have an easier time carrying the southern vote Sparhawk, Kerry or Bush?
If Bush were a democrat, still ran his campaign the exact same way he did in 2000, same issues, everything. The democrats would STILL lose all the south. Voting party-line is an automatic thing down there.

But I agree that we need a President that can start pulling the south back into contention. Someone who can at least boost other democratic candidates for elections in the south. Hopefully take back one of the legislative wings in the process before 2008.

Sparhawk 02-18-2004 12:19 PM

I think 'The South' is in contention no matter which Democrat we put in there. There are possibilities in plenty of states, like LA, TN, VA, WV, and FL to pick from, not to mention a couple that have shown Democratic trends, like NC. I disagree with Superbelt about party-line voting - I'm pretty sure that trend has gone down *everywhere*, including 'The South'.

mml 02-20-2004 12:49 PM

Gore won the election without winning the South. Florida is the key, since it is not a traditional southern state. If Kerry can win what Gore won, and pick up Florida or Ohio, he wins both the popular vote and the electoral college. It would certainly be easier if the Democratic candidate could win some of the south, but at this stage of the game it seems unlikely even if Edwards is the nominee.

Superbelt 02-20-2004 02:27 PM

Well, Edwards could take either or both Carolinas.

But I think that is about it.


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 04:12 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Search Engine Optimization by vBSEO 3.6.0 PL2
© 2002-2012 Tilted Forum Project


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360