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It's the economy, stupid: Obama vs. Romney has already begun

Discussion in 'Tilted Philosophy, Politics, and Economics' started by Baraka_Guru, Apr 19, 2012.

  1. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    The current political environment in the U.S. is obviously toxic. Given that, Obama does seem to be the lesser of two evils. Given the current global problems we all face, America should remain centre-right to ensure stability for the next four years.

    If anything, Obama has helped deliver stability in terms of GDP and jobs. I think his next term will be about continuing that while tackling the deficit in a responsible manner.
     
  2. Tully Mars

    Tully Mars Very Tilted

    Location:
    Yucatan, Mexico
    There's a part of me that says "the lesser of two evils is still evil." The realists in me knows the options are pretty cut and dry. I either vote for evil or completely insane evil. So I'll yet again simply be voting for evil.
     
  3. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Eh. I'll put it to you this way...
    Ignoring the obvious trends and history which in relative terms are pretty good, Obama hasn't done bad.

    Why would I go for the unknown and potentially upset the applecart?
    The other side hasn't told me anything yet that would make me consider otherwise and switch lanes...but it's a long summer up ahead.

    The ones that are slamming Obama have already picked sides, not truly judging anything.
     
  4. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Ah yes...one more thing.​
    Everything I have directly heard by the GOP lately has been some type of negative or dismissal of Obama, as their response to any action or word.​
    Yet in truth, I do not see any specific mention or promotion of their own ideas of policy and related details.​
    The only thing I have heard is generalities & talking points of the SOS.​
    • tax cuts (but no means to pay for them)​
    • small government (whatever that means...which from what I understand is ONLY getting rid of those things they don't like...not govt as a whole)​
    • intrusion into personal matters (morality, reproductive, relationship and more...)​
    • foreign policy opposite of whatever Obama says or does (even if it contradicts things they've said before) but nothing else.​
    • business (anything that supports corporations and seems to undermine consumers)
    Have I forgotten anything??

    Hey, I'm not naive or too idealistic...I don't mind a bit of spin, mud-slinging, corruption, favors, agendas or anything related to politics.
    But do try to minimize it...and just don't make it your WHOLE protocol. You need something of substance.

    Now, if they can start coming up with specific plans, I'd love to hear them out.

    Because believe it or not, I'm not a Liberal nor a Obama demagogue.
    I don't mind the Death Penalty, nor Guns, nor Military or use of force if necessary.
    I love being a Capitalist, I'm all for efficient government ("small" is misused) and removing unnecessary.
    I'm not a Greenie, I'm a Libertarian that wants ALL government matters out of personal decisions.

    But they have to be rational, balanced and use math...real math that doesn't hide anything.
    Plus I like details...the more details the better. (BTW...I am reasonable, I know you don't have all the details and things change)

    I don't want to hear abstracts...I want to see results.

    BTW, I've seen it on the inside...I've seen the true policy inacted, the efforts and the results.
    So don't try to bullshit me.

    Go ahead, make my day.
    Give me your real stuff,
    and stop trying to contradict or disrespect your opponent as your total perspective.
     
    • Like Like x 2
  5. roachboy

    roachboy Very Tilted

    i don't see the republicans as having anything to say. they've no ideas. their policies have been a disaster. yet, somehow, they persist.

    it's interesting today that sarkozy got booted out in france in favor of hollande, a moderate socialist party guy who at least has the insight to figure out that neo-liberal ideas, including (centrally) this lunacy of austerity in a period of deep crisis rationalized by some imaginary notion of "fiscal responsibility" which only makes sense inside a neo-liberal framework is exactly the opposite of an approach that should be taken to begin dealing with this multi-variate fiasco that is contemporary capitalism. sarko was running a campaign very much like the republicans in the states, too---appealing to various neo-fascist friendly themes like xenophobia in an attempt to gain traction among the far right. and he was advocating a range of other positions that a us republican would find acceptable--and he's out.

    it seems too much to hope that the american electorate will suddenly come to its senses in a massive way and recognize the degeneracy of neo-liberalism and the nonsense they are fed by the mainstream infotainment system and the ways in which they converge in precluding coherent discussion--not to mention the advancing of coherent policy ideas---that may address the present situation. what's sure is that the same nonsense that got us into this mess is the worst possible way to get out. and that romney is an entirely vile candidate---ask almost anyone from massachusetts.
     
    • Like Like x 3
  6. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    Oh, and this idea/rebuttal has been making its rounds, though I doubt it gets much traction, especially not in the U.S.


    George Osborne is wrong. Austerity is for the boom years, not the slump | Robert Skidelsky | Comment is free | The Guardian
     
  7. roachboy

    roachboy Very Tilted

  8. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    What's interesting about this piece is its simplicity. I recall early on in my Economics 101 course in business school the basic practice of cutting spending during the booms and increasing spending during the recessions — basically: avoiding overheating the economy and avoiding creating troughs.

    That was Economics 101. I suppose the "real world" isn't that simple. Well, that's really too bad. I suppose we're only human.

    Canada hasn't done too poorly in this regard over the past couple of decades. We've posted surpluses during booms and deficits during recessions. We are, however, in danger of the same austerity crap that seems in vogue these days. The Tories are adamant about returning to the black no matter how premature it may be.
     
    Last edited: May 7, 2012
  9. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Here is an idea - make it easier for employers to employ people, i.e. less costly, less risky. Step one would be get rid of Obamacare. Doing that one thing will result in a hiring spike. Picking the low hanging fruit first seem so obvious and so simple. If you think I am full of it or that I don't know what I am talking about, talk to some business owners - or better listen.
     
  10. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Here's a better idea. Put more money in the hands of the stagnant middle class and working poor consumers and pay for it by raising tax on the top 1/2 of 1 percent!

    You know who I mean...protect the seniors who have saved (but would lose) $3-4 billion to-date on the cost of their prescriptions under Obamacare or the working family with a child with a pre-existing condition that are now required to be covered (but would lose) or a lifetime limit on out of pocket expenses to protect families from the number one cause of personal bankruptcy (but would lose).

    Or how about investing in infrastructure, clean energy technology, basic R&D... (all of which are being sacrificed to protect the top wage earners and big oil companies from paying a few dollars more) so that we dont lose competitiveness in a global economy.
     
    Last edited: May 7, 2012
  11. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Here is the problem with your idea. We have to understand what comes first - the way to put more money in the hands of the stagnant middle class is for them to get well paying jobs from healthy and profitable businesses.

    If you have a goose that lays golden eggs, you gotta take care of the goose. Everything that flows from that will be golden, if you know what I mean, if you don't I am talking about the eggs. We can hire someone for the other stuff that flows through a goose.

    Liberal theories and talking points, make simple matters far too complicated.
     
  12. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Yet they contributed to the creation of 4 million private sector jobs in the last three years, not to mention again, the savings on health care costs for millions of Americans to-date.

    As others have pointed out, the greatest job growth since WW II has come under Democratic presidents (and those liberal theories) and supply side/trickle down economics still doesnt work. :)
     
  13. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Pretty funny.

    You do realize that just given population growth the US economy has to create jobs and that the jobs created since Obama was elected (key word as compared to sworn in - because there was a direct business response to his election in the context of employment), the US has not even come close to the number needed, and certainly not enough for strong economic growth.
     
  14. Derwood

    Derwood Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    Columbus, OH
    ?
    So you want to take insurance away from millions of kids and people with preexisting conditions? How does that help
     
  15. Tully Mars

    Tully Mars Very Tilted

    Location:
    Yucatan, Mexico
    Really? Because the population grows steadily while job grow goes up and down-

    [​IMG]

    Like most of your arguments on here your statement is pure fiction and or fantasy.
     
  16. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    It's too bad there is no such goose.

    As for jobs: they'll keep coming around so long as demand keeps coming around, "Obamacare" or not.

    Consumer Borrowing Rose 10.2% in March - WSJ.com

    Oh, wait. Your "golden goose" thing was a comment on liberalism?
     
    Last edited: May 7, 2012
  17. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Rather than parroting talking points, why not look at real data? There has been no net job growth under Obama!

    To see some trend data I start with total private sector employment in 1/05 and pick up 8/08, prior to Obama's election - raw numbers.

    1/05 - 110,718,000
    8/08 - 114,184,000
    9/08 - 113,759,000
    10/08 - 113,279,000
    11/08 - 112,482,000
    1/09 - 110,985,000
    3/12 - 110,824,000

    Under Bush private sector employment peaked at about 115.6 million in 1/08, the economy was in a recession in 2008, and the economy suffered job losses. Also in Bush's first term the recovery from the 2001 recession we saw slow job growth, until after his tax plan took effect. The biggest job declines occurred after Obama, with his anti-business rhetoric, was elected.

    There are many places to get raw job numbers, I used this link because the data is available month to month and is easy to follow. The numbers in your chart are deceptive.

    Total private: All Employees, Thousands, SA

    On a side note, I wish you folks would stop with the Ace is "fantasy" or whatever b.s. Address the points. I have back up for my views. It always makes me laugh when I get the Ace is this or that, I provide back up, and never get a "yea you are right" response. It makes you folks seem petty.
     
  18. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    You know there was a recession, right? You must because you mentioned a recession in your post.

    Also, the biggest jobs decline happened under Bush. Obama reversed it overall. Clearly. The data is all there. He may break even before the end of his first term. That's a herculean feat.

    I look forward to seeing the growth opportunities he will foster in his next term. Maybe it will rival Clinton's.
     
    Last edited: May 8, 2012
  19. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Metaphorically speaking there is. Use your creative thought process, and see that in the US economy the golden goose is small business. In Canada the golden goose may be something different, perhaps oil/gas/natural resources industry. In China the golden goose may be their labor force. In Suadi Arabia the golden goose is oil and oil production. Etc, Etc, Etc.

    And if you did not understand the point, which I doubt, it is in the best interests of each nation to protect and nurture those industries/sectors/resources that provide national wealth. it is simply dumb to do the opposite.
    --- merged: May 8, 2012 at 12:04 PM ---
    Yes. Job growth will slow or become negative during a recession, it is a part of the normal business cycle in the US. I illustrated the absurdity in the current Obama talking point regarding 4 million jobs created. The presentation is deceptive.
    --- merged: May 8, 2012 at 12:09 PM ---
    Obamacare is not a solution to our healthcare availability/affordability problem in this country. All it does it create problems and eventually bankrupt this country.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 15, 2012
  20. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    You say that liberals make simple matters too complicated. Maybe they do sometimes. I think it's because they look at things beyond immediate impact. They look at the big picture. That is often a good thing.

    However, you tend to take complicated matters and oversimplify them, which is misleading at best and dangerous at worst. The concept of a golden goose is from Aesop's fable that basically teaches the moral that short-sighted action can destroy the profitability of an asset. It seems to me that you believe there is only one golden goose entity: small business. This is short-sighted itself. Because America has far more assets than that. What about labour? What about government? What about natural resources? What about laws? What about international relations? etc.

    There is no such thing as a golden goose. There is only society and its many parts. Lose the effectiveness of any major asset, and that's going to be a problem.

    If you want to use your metaphor: each nation has a flock of golden geese. Take care of the flock and the nation will prosper.

    Then they are 4 million what? You seem to want to suggest that Obama has done nothing regarding jobs.

    What's absurd?

    Do I need to ask you the implications of gross jobs vs. net jobs? I don't think I should.
     
    Last edited: May 8, 2012